Mac Jones
San Francisco 49ersMac Jones is a QB for the San Francisco 49ers on a deal paying $3.5M a year through 2026, a $3.1M cap hit in 2026 (updated November 6, 2026).
Model Score by season
Holding at 80.2.
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
A quarterback whose rebirth rides on the system.
The case for
- 21-rank jump from 2024 to 2025, second-largest in the top fifteen behind Daniel Jones.
- Career 66.5 percent completion percentage is intact across all four prior systems, so the accuracy floor travels.
The worry
- Three tier-8 seasons from 2022 to 2024 are the dominant prior; one year of tier-3 play is a tiny correction on top.
- 67 career TDs against 50 INTs is a worse ratio than every other top-15 QB except Daniel Jones.
What to watch: Whether year two of the Shanahan offense produces a tier-1 or tier-2 line, or whether 2025 was a one-year scheme bump.
Full take and bio
Jones climbed from STTM #31 tier 8 in 2024 to STTM #10 tier 3 in 2025 in his first year in the Shanahan system, the same kind of reset Brock Purdy authored two years earlier. Whether this is a real ceiling shift or scheme-amplified efficiency is the entire question. The career arc before this year is three tier-8 seasons and a Pro Bowl rookie line, so the variance band is enormous.
Jones was born in Jacksonville, played at The Bolles School, and won the 2020 College Football Playoff title at Alabama while sweeping the Johnny Unitas Golden Arm, Davey O'Brien, and Manning awards. New England drafted him 15th overall in 2021, and he made the Pro Bowl as a rookie. After three rough years in New England and a 2024 backup stint in Jacksonville, he signed with San Francisco in 2025 and reclaimed a starting job.
Comps
The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.
Plays like: Tom Brady, Neil O'Donnell, Case Keenum. Built like: Matthew Stafford, Matt Flynn, J.T. O'Sullivan. Coming out: Will Grier, Brandon Weeden, A.J. McCarron.
Of his 20 closest coming out: 4 stars, 5 starters, 9 backups, 2 didn't stick.
Mac Jones Injury StatusNot listed
Mac Jones is not on the injury report as of Nov 6. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
This season · 1 games
-0.2 fantasy points a game. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.
Contract2026 cap
Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.
Fantasy outlookWeek 9
Our rest-of-season board has Mac Jones at QB49 (the public consensus says QB44); the model has 17 PPR points left for him this season.
Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.
Draft & College
Round 1, pick 15 to the New England Patriots in 2021, out of Alabama (SEC). He went about where consensus had him.
In college, 2018-2020, 28 games: 5,600 pass yds, 53 TD, 6 INT, 72.2% completions.
Recruited
Class of 2017 · Quarterback · High school: The Bolles School, Jacksonville, FL
AlabamaHis full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2017 class are still being added.