Weekly Lines · 2010
Week 7.
14 games and 11 plays, replayed walk-forward on angles chosen from the seasons before 2010. Every number is open.
This week's plays: 8-3, +9.7u flat at -110. Season through week 7: 65-33, +39.8u flat at -110.
| Game | Market | Total | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 ARI @  SEASun, Oct 24 16:05 ET | SEA +6.5 | 40.5 | ARI 10 at SEA 22SEA +6.5 closed · SEA covered |
 BUF @  BALSun, Oct 24 13:00 ET | BAL +12 | 39.5 | BUF 34 at BAL 37BAL +12 closed · BUF covered |
 CIN @  ATLSun, Oct 24 13:00 ET | ATL +3.5 | 43 | CIN 32 at ATL 39ATL +3.5 closed · ATL covered |
 CLE @  NOSun, Oct 24 13:00 ET | NO +12 | 44 | CLE 30 at NO 17NO +12 closed · CLE covered |
 JAX @  KCSun, Oct 24 13:00 ET | KC +9 | 38.5 | JAX 20 at KC 42KC +9 closed · KC covered |
 MIN @  GBSun, Oct 24 20:20 ET | GB +2.5 | 43.5 | MIN 24 at GB 28GB +2.5 closed · GB covered |
 NE @  SDSun, Oct 24 16:15 ET | SD +2.5 | 49 | NE 23 at SD 20SD +2.5 closed · NE covered |
 OAK @  DENSun, Oct 24 16:15 ET | DEN +7 | 43 | OAK 59 at DEN 14DEN +7 closed · OAK covered |
 PHI @  TENSun, Oct 24 13:00 ET | TEN +3 | 41 | PHI 19 at TEN 37TEN +3 closed · TEN covered |
 PIT @  MIASun, Oct 24 13:00 ET | MIA -3 | 40.5 | PIT 23 at MIA 22MIA -3 closed · MIA covered |
 SF @  CARSun, Oct 24 13:00 ET | CAR -1 | 36.5 | SF 20 at CAR 23CAR -1 closed · CAR covered |
 STL @  TBSun, Oct 24 13:00 ET | TB +3 | 38.5 | STL 17 at TB 18TB +3 closed · STL covered |
 WAS @  CHISun, Oct 24 13:00 ET | CHI +3 | 40.5 | WAS 17 at CHI 14CHI +3 closed · WAS covered |
 NYG @  DALMon, Oct 25 20:30 ET | DAL +3.5 | 45 | NYG 41 at DAL 35DAL +3.5 closed · NYG covered |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
CIN @ ATL WIN ATL -3.5 1.0u
- model likes them by 3.0+, at home, better record, on turf 20-11 (64%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, lost last week, better QB, better coach 38-22 (63%)
- model likes them by 2.0+, got blown out last week, better QB 25-15 (62%)
- and 10 more angles on this side
JAC @ KC LOSS JAC +9 1.0u
- model likes them by 1.0+, lost last week, better QB, better coach 38-22 (63%)
- model likes them by 0.5+, got blown out last week, better QB, better coach 13-8 (62%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, got blown out last week, better QB, low total (41 or under) 21-13 (62%)
- and 5 more angles on this side
MIN @ GB WIN MIN +2.5 2.0u
- model fades them by 1.0+, won last week, worse record, elite QB 16-8 (67%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, underdog, won last week, better coach 19-10 (66%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, underdog, better coach, division game 15-8 (65%)
- and 26 more angles on this side
CLE @ NO WIN NO -12 3.0u
- model fades them by 2.0+, blew someone out last week, in a dome 25-9 (74%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, won last week, blew someone out last week, in a dome 25-9 (74%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, blew someone out last week, in a dome, on turf 21-8 (72%)
- and 39 more angles on this side
PIT @ MIA WIN PIT -3 3.0u
- model fades them by 1.0+, on the road, blew someone out last week, low total (41 or under) 18-7 (72%)
- model fades them by 0.5+, on the road, blew someone out last week, low total (41 or under) 22-10 (69%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, elite QB, better coach, low total (41 or under) 23-11 (68%)
- and 25 more angles on this side
WAS @ CHI LOSS WAS +3 1.0u
- model fades them by 0.5+, lost last week, better coach, low total (41 or under) 63-36 (64%)
- model fades them by 0.5+, underdog, better coach, low total (41 or under) 31-20 (61%)
- model fades them by 0.5+, lost last week, better QB, better coach 55-36 (60%)
ARI @ SEA TOTALWIN Under 40.5 1.0u
- under when rain in the forecast, division game 43-31 (58%)
- under when rain in the forecast, on turf 37-30 (55%)
MIN @ GB TOTALLOSS Under 43.5 1.0u
- under when rain in the forecast, division game 43-31 (58%)
CLE @ NO TOTALWIN Over 44.0 1.0u
- over when in a dome, a new starting QB 45-35 (56%)
SF @ CAR TOTALWIN Over 36.5 1.0u
- over when line inside 3, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 46-32 (59%)
- over when line inside 3, a new starting QB 69-55 (56%)
PIT @ MIA TOTALWIN Over 40.5 1.0u
- over when line inside 3, a new starting QB 69-55 (56%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. This season was replayed walk-forward: the angles were chosen on the seasons before it and fired on its games, so nothing here was scored on the games that found it. It is a replay, not a published record. 2026 is the first season we posted before kickoff.