Weekly Lines · 2010
Week 9.
13 games and 10 plays, replayed walk-forward on angles chosen from the seasons before 2010. Every number is open.
This week's plays: 7-3, +4.6u flat at -110. Season through week 9: 79-41, +49.9u flat at -110.
| Game | Market | Total | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 ARI @  MINSun, Nov 7 13:00 ET | MIN +7 | 42.5 | ARI 24 at MIN 27MIN +7 closed · ARI covered |
 CHI @  BUFSun, Nov 7 13:00 ET | BUF -3 | 41.5 | CHI 22 at BUF 19BUF -3 closed · push |
 DAL @  GBSun, Nov 7 20:20 ET | GB +7 | 46 | DAL 7 at GB 45GB +7 closed · GB covered |
 IND @  PHISun, Nov 7 16:15 ET | PHI +3.5 | 46.5 | IND 24 at PHI 26PHI +3.5 closed · IND covered |
 KC @  OAKSun, Nov 7 16:15 ET | OAK -1 | 41 | KC 20 at OAK 23OAK -1 closed · OAK covered |
 MIA @  BALSun, Nov 7 13:00 ET | BAL +5 | 40.5 | MIA 10 at BAL 26BAL +5 closed · BAL covered |
 NE @  CLESun, Nov 7 13:00 ET | CLE -4 | 44 | NE 14 at CLE 34CLE -4 closed · CLE covered |
 NO @  CARSun, Nov 7 13:00 ET | CAR -5.5 | 40 | NO 34 at CAR 3CAR -5.5 closed · NO covered |
 NYG @  SEASun, Nov 7 16:05 ET | SEA -7 | 40.5 | NYG 41 at SEA 7SEA -7 closed · NYG covered |
 NYJ @  DETSun, Nov 7 13:00 ET | DET -5.5 | 42.5 | NYJ 23 at DET 20DET -5.5 closed · DET covered |
 SD @  HOUSun, Nov 7 13:00 ET | HOU -3 | 50 | SD 29 at HOU 23HOU -3 closed · SD covered |
 TB @  ATLSun, Nov 7 13:00 ET | ATL +10 | 44.5 | TB 21 at ATL 27ATL +10 closed · TB covered |
 PIT @  CINMon, Nov 8 20:30 ET | CIN -5 | 41.5 | PIT 27 at CIN 21CIN -5 closed · PIT covered |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
DAL @ GB - model fades them by 2.0+, underdog, big underdog (7+), on the road 13-8 (62%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, big underdog (7+), on the road 13-8 (62%)
- model fades them by 1.0+, underdog, big underdog (7+), worse QB 21-13 (62%)
- and 8 more angles on this side
IND @ PHI - model likes them by 1.0+, on the road, won last week, elite QB 37-17 (68%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, underdog, better record, elite QB 17-8 (68%)
- model likes them by 2.0+, on the road, better QB, elite QB 36-17 (68%)
- and 19 more angles on this side
NE @ CLE - model likes them by 0.5+, on the road, won last week, elite QB 41-22 (65%)
- model likes them by 0.5+, less rest than the opponent, won last week, elite QB 14-8 (64%)
- model likes them by 0.5+, favorite, on the road, elite QB 16-10 (62%)
- and 1 more angle on this side
NYG @ SEA - model likes them by 0.5+, big favorite (7+), won last week, low total (41 or under) 15-8 (65%)
- model likes them by 0.5+, on the road, won last week, elite QB 41-22 (65%)
- model likes them by 0.5+, favorite, on the road, on turf 16-9 (64%)
- and 6 more angles on this side
NYJ @ DET - model fades them by 0.5+, on the road, better coach, in a dome 36-21 (63%)
- model fades them by 1.0+, lost last week, better QB, better coach 53-32 (62%)
- model fades them by 1.0+, on the road, better coach, in a dome 31-20 (61%)
- and 6 more angles on this side
KC @ OAK TOTAL- under when rain in the forecast, division game 43-31 (58%)
- under when rain in the forecast, a team looking ahead to a division game 65-51 (56%)
TB @ ATL TOTAL- over when in a dome, division game 57-44 (56%)
CHI @ BUF TOTAL- over when in a dome, line inside 3 47-38 (55%)
NYJ @ DET TOTAL- over when in a dome, a new starting QB 45-35 (56%)
IND @ PHI TOTAL- over when a new starting QB, road team off Monday night 15-7 (68%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. This season was replayed walk-forward: the angles were chosen on the seasons before it and fired on its games, so nothing here was scored on the games that found it. It is a replay, not a published record. 2026 is the first season we posted before kickoff.