Weekly Lines · 2012
Week 8.
14 games and 14 plays, replayed walk-forward on angles chosen from the seasons before 2012. Every number is open.
This week's plays: 6-8, -9.4u flat at -110. Season through week 8: 51-58, -21.8u flat at -110.
| Game | Market | Total | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 TB @  MINThu, Oct 25 20:20 ET | MIN +5 | 43 | TB 36 at MIN 17MIN +5 closed · TB covered |
 ATL @  PHISun, Oct 28 13:00 ET | PHI +1.5 | 43.5 | ATL 30 at PHI 17PHI +1.5 closed · ATL covered |
 CAR @  CHISun, Oct 28 13:00 ET | CHI +7 | 41.5 | CAR 22 at CHI 23CHI +7 closed · CAR covered |
 IND @  TENSun, Oct 28 13:00 ET | TEN +3.5 | 46.5 | IND 19 at TEN 13TEN +3.5 closed · IND covered |
 JAX @  GBSun, Oct 28 13:00 ET | GB +15 | 45 | JAX 15 at GB 24GB +15 closed · JAX covered |
 MIA @  NYJSun, Oct 28 13:00 ET | NYJ +1 | 38.5 | MIA 30 at NYJ 9NYJ +1 closed · MIA covered |
 NE @  STLSun, Oct 28 13:00 ET | STL -7.5 | 46 | NE 45 at STL 7STL -7.5 closed · NE covered |
 NO @  DENSun, Oct 28 20:20 ET | DEN +6 | 55 | NO 14 at DEN 34DEN +6 closed · DEN covered |
 NYG @  DALSun, Oct 28 16:25 ET | DAL -1.5 | 47.5 | NYG 29 at DAL 24DAL -1.5 closed · NYG covered |
 OAK @  KCSun, Oct 28 16:05 ET | KC +1 | 41.5 | OAK 26 at KC 16KC +1 closed · OAK covered |
 SD @  CLESun, Oct 28 13:00 ET | CLE -2.5 | 40.5 | SD 6 at CLE 7CLE -2.5 closed · CLE covered |
 SEA @  DETSun, Oct 28 13:00 ET | DET +3 | 42.5 | SEA 24 at DET 28DET +3 closed · DET covered |
 WAS @  PITSun, Oct 28 13:00 ET | PIT +4.5 | 44.5 | WAS 12 at PIT 27PIT +4.5 closed · PIT covered |
 SF @  ARIMon, Oct 29 20:30 ET | ARI -7 | 37.5 | SF 24 at ARI 3ARI -7 closed · SF covered |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
SF @ ARI LOSS ARI +7 3.0u
- model likes them by 2.0+, big underdog (7+), division game, in a dome 14-6 (70%)
- model likes them by 0.5+, big underdog (7+), division game, in a dome 18-9 (67%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, big underdog (7+), division game, in a dome 17-9 (65%)
- and 3 more angles on this side
JAC @ GB LOSS GB -15 1.0u
- model likes them by 1.0+, won last week, better QB, elite QB 89-59 (60%)
NE @ 
LAR LOSS NE -7.5 3.0u
- model fades them by 2.0+, big favorite (7+), on the road, elite QB 34-14 (71%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, big favorite (7+), on the road, better QB 41-21 (66%)
- model fades them by 1.0+, big favorite (7+), on the road, elite QB 37-21 (64%)
- and 12 more angles on this side
NO @ DEN LOSS NO +6 3.0u
- model likes them by 0.5+, on the road, less rest than the opponent, elite QB 16-4 (80%)
- model likes them by 0.5+, elite QB, better coach, high total (48+) 26-8 (76%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, elite QB, better coach, high total (48+) 23-8 (74%)
- and 40 more angles on this side
WAS @ PIT WIN PIT -4.5 1.0u
- model likes them by 1.0+, won last week, better QB, elite QB 89-59 (60%)
SEA @ DET LOSS SEA +3 1.0u
- model likes them by 1.0+, underdog, better record, in a dome 27-15 (64%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, lost last week, better record, in a dome 17-10 (63%)
- model likes them by 0.5+, underdog, better record, in a dome 27-18 (60%)
TB @ MIN WIN TB +5 1.0u
- model likes them by 1.0+, worse record, better QB, better coach 44-28 (61%)
- model likes them by 2.0+, worse record, better QB, better coach 29-19 (60%)
SF @ ARI TOTALLOSS Over 37.5 1.0u
- over when in a dome, home team a big underdog 23-14 (62%)
- over when in a dome, low total (41 or under) 58-36 (62%)
- over when home team a big underdog 77-54 (59%)
NO @ DEN TOTALLOSS Over 55.0 1.0u
- over when high total (48+), home team off Monday night 13-9 (59%)
- over when home team off Monday night 81-61 (57%)
SEA @ DET TOTALWIN Over 42.5 1.0u
- over when line inside 3, home team off Monday night 37-16 (70%)
- over when home team off Monday night, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 18-9 (67%)
- over when line inside 3, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 65-47 (58%)
- and 2 more angles on this side
IND @ TEN TOTALWIN Under 46.5 1.0u
- under when windy, division game 46-35 (57%)
ATL @ PHI TOTALLOSS Under 43.5 1.0u
- under when windy, line inside 3 38-30 (56%)
MIA @ NYJ TOTALWIN Over 38.5 1.0u
- over when on turf, low total (41 or under) 129-100 (56%)
OAK @ KC TOTALWIN Over 41.5 1.0u
- over when line inside 3, a new starting QB 100-77 (56%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. This season was replayed walk-forward: the angles were chosen on the seasons before it and fired on its games, so nothing here was scored on the games that found it. It is a replay, not a published record. 2026 is the first season we posted before kickoff.