Weekly Lines · 2013
Week 13.
16 games and 10 plays, replayed walk-forward on angles chosen from the seasons before 2013. Every number is open.
This week's plays: 5-5, +3.5u flat at -110. Season through week 13: 101-75, +28.9u flat at -110.
| Game | Market | Total | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 GB @  DETThu, Nov 28 12:30 ET | DET +7 | 48.5 | GB 10 at DET 40DET +7 closed · DET covered |
 OAK @  DALThu, Nov 28 16:30 ET | DAL +10 | 49.5 | OAK 24 at DAL 31DAL +10 closed · OAK covered |
 PIT @  BALThu, Nov 28 20:30 ET | BAL +3 | 40.5 | PIT 20 at BAL 22BAL +3 closed · PIT covered |
 ARI @  PHISun, Dec 1 13:00 ET | PHI +3.5 | 48 | ARI 21 at PHI 24PHI +3.5 closed · ARI covered |
 ATL @  BUFSun, Dec 1 16:05 ET | BUF +5 | 48 | ATL 34 at BUF 31BUF +5 closed · ATL covered |
 CHI @  MINSun, Dec 1 13:00 ET | MIN +2.5 | 48.5 | CHI 20 at MIN 23MIN +2.5 closed · MIN covered |
 CIN @  SDSun, Dec 1 16:25 ET | SD -2.5 | 48.5 | CIN 17 at SD 10SD -2.5 closed · CIN covered |
 DEN @  KCSun, Dec 1 16:25 ET | KC -5 | 50.5 | DEN 35 at KC 28KC -5 closed · DEN covered |
 JAX @  CLESun, Dec 1 13:00 ET | CLE +7.5 | 39.5 | JAX 32 at CLE 28CLE +7.5 closed · JAX covered |
 MIA @  NYJSun, Dec 1 13:00 ET | NYJ -1 | 39.5 | MIA 23 at NYJ 3NYJ -1 closed · MIA covered |
 NE @  HOUSun, Dec 1 13:00 ET | HOU -7 | 49.5 | NE 34 at HOU 31HOU -7 closed · HOU covered |
 NYG @  WASSun, Dec 1 20:30 ET | WAS +1 | 45.5 | NYG 24 at WAS 17WAS +1 closed · NYG covered |
 STL @  SFSun, Dec 1 16:05 ET | SF +7.5 | 40.5 | STL 13 at SF 23SF +7.5 closed · SF covered |
 TB @  CARSun, Dec 1 13:00 ET | CAR +7.5 | 41 | TB 6 at CAR 27CAR +7.5 closed · CAR covered |
 TEN @  INDSun, Dec 1 13:00 ET | IND +3.5 | 46 | TEN 14 at IND 22IND +3.5 closed · IND covered |
 NO @  SEAMon, Dec 2 20:30 ET | SEA +6.5 | 48.5 | NO 7 at SEA 34SEA +6.5 closed · SEA covered |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
LV @ DAL - model fades them by 0.5+, won last week, in a dome, high total (48+) 31-14 (69%)
- model fades them by 1.0+, won last week, in a dome, high total (48+) 29-14 (67%)
- model fades them by 1.0+, big favorite (7+), in a dome, high total (48+) 14-7 (67%)
- and 23 more angles on this side
TEN @ IND - model likes them by 1.0+, got blown out last week, division game, in a dome 16-8 (67%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, favorite, worse QB, on turf 25-13 (66%)
- model likes them by 0.5+, got blown out last week, division game, in a dome 17-9 (65%)
- and 9 more angles on this side
PIT @ BAL - model likes them by 2.0+, on the road, elite QB, low total (41 or under) 22-9 (71%)
- model likes them by 2.0+, won last week, elite QB, low total (41 or under) 18-9 (67%)
- model likes them by 2.0+, on the road, better QB, division game 54-29 (65%)
- and 14 more angles on this side
NE @ HOU TOTAL- over when home team a big underdog 80-63 (56%)
- over when late season, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 81-65 (56%)
NYG @ WAS TOTAL- over when line inside 3, home team off Monday night 43-18 (70%)
- over when late season, home team off Monday night 32-18 (64%)
- over when home team off Monday night 96-66 (59%)
STL @ SF TOTAL- over when home team off Monday night, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 23-9 (72%)
- over when late season, home team off Monday night 32-18 (64%)
- over when home team off Monday night 96-66 (59%)
- and 2 more angles on this side
MIA @ NYJ TOTAL- over when on turf, low total (41 or under) 140-107 (57%)
PIT @ BAL TOTAL- over when under 40 degrees, line inside 3 39-29 (57%)
- over when on turf, low total (41 or under) 140-107 (57%)
- over when under 40 degrees, low total (41 or under) 62-50 (55%)
NO @ SEA TOTAL- over when late season, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 81-65 (56%)
- over when on turf, a team looking ahead to a division game 242-196 (55%)
ARI @ PHI TOTAL- over when late season, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 81-65 (56%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. This season was replayed walk-forward: the angles were chosen on the seasons before it and fired on its games, so nothing here was scored on the games that found it. It is a replay, not a published record. 2026 is the first season we posted before kickoff.