Weekly Lines · 2013
Week 15.
16 games and 11 plays, replayed walk-forward on angles chosen from the seasons before 2013. Every number is open.
This week's plays: 9-2, +7.6u flat at -110. Season through week 15: 117-80, +42.2u flat at -110.
| Game | Market | Total | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 SD @  DENThu, Dec 12 20:25 ET | DEN +10 | 56.5 | SD 27 at DEN 20DEN +10 closed · SD covered |
 ARI @  TENSun, Dec 15 16:25 ET | TEN -3 | 43 | ARI 37 at TEN 34TEN -3 closed · push |
 BUF @  JAXSun, Dec 15 13:00 ET | JAX -4 | 43 | BUF 27 at JAX 20JAX -4 closed · BUF covered |
 CHI @  CLESun, Dec 15 13:00 ET | CLE +1 | 43.5 | CHI 38 at CLE 31CLE +1 closed · CHI covered |
 CIN @  PITSun, Dec 15 20:30 ET | PIT -2 | 44 | CIN 20 at PIT 30PIT -2 closed · PIT covered |
 GB @  DALSun, Dec 15 16:25 ET | DAL +4 | 49.5 | GB 37 at DAL 36DAL +4 closed · GB covered |
 HOU @  INDSun, Dec 15 13:00 ET | IND +6 | 47 | HOU 3 at IND 25IND +6 closed · IND covered |
 KC @  OAKSun, Dec 15 16:05 ET | OAK -6.5 | 44 | KC 56 at OAK 31OAK -6.5 closed · KC covered |
 NE @  MIASun, Dec 15 13:00 ET | MIA +2.5 | 46.5 | NE 20 at MIA 24MIA +2.5 closed · MIA covered |
 NO @  STLSun, Dec 15 16:25 ET | STL -6.5 | 48 | NO 16 at STL 27STL -6.5 closed · STL covered |
 NYJ @  CARSun, Dec 15 16:05 ET | CAR +10 | 40.5 | NYJ 20 at CAR 30CAR +10 closed · push |
 PHI @  MINSun, Dec 15 13:00 ET | MIN -6.5 | 53 | PHI 30 at MIN 48MIN -6.5 closed · MIN covered |
 SEA @  NYGSun, Dec 15 13:00 ET | NYG -9.5 | 43.5 | SEA 23 at NYG 0NYG -9.5 closed · SEA covered |
 SF @  TBSun, Dec 15 13:00 ET | TB -4.5 | 41 | SF 33 at TB 14TB -4.5 closed · SF covered |
 WAS @  ATLSun, Dec 15 13:00 ET | ATL +5.5 | 50 | WAS 26 at ATL 27ATL +5.5 closed · WAS covered |
 BAL @  DETMon, Dec 16 20:30 ET | DET +4.5 | 49 | BAL 18 at DET 16DET +4.5 closed · BAL covered |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
BUF @ JAC WIN BUF -4 1.0u
- model likes them by 1.0+, on the road, lost last week, better QB 78-52 (60%)
CHI @ CLE WIN CHI +1 1.0u
- model likes them by 0.5+, on the road, less rest than the opponent, blew someone out last week 14-8 (64%)
- model likes them by 0.5+, on the road, less rest than the opponent, won last week 39-26 (60%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, on the road, less rest than the opponent, blew someone out last week 12-8 (60%)
CIN @ PIT WIN CIN -2 2.0u
- model fades them by 2.0+, favorite, on the road, blew someone out last week 49-23 (68%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, blew someone out last week, worse QB, division game 19-9 (68%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, blew someone out last week, better record, division game 25-12 (68%)
- and 38 more angles on this side
SF @ TB WIN SF -4.5 3.0u
- model likes them by 2.0+, on the road, elite QB, low total (41 or under) 22-9 (71%)
- model likes them by 2.0+, won last week, elite QB, low total (41 or under) 18-9 (67%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, on the road, elite QB, low total (41 or under) 28-17 (62%)
- and 4 more angles on this side
WAS @ ATL LOSS WAS +5.5 3.0u
- model fades them by 1.0+, worse QB, in a dome, high total (48+) 22-6 (79%)
- model fades them by 1.0+, underdog, lost last week, high total (48+) 21-7 (75%)
- model fades them by 1.0+, underdog, in a dome, high total (48+) 21-7 (75%)
- and 27 more angles on this side
SEA @ NYG TOTALLOSS Over 43.5 1.0u
- over when on turf, home team a big underdog 31-17 (65%)
- over when home team a big underdog 80-63 (56%)
- over when late season, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 81-65 (56%)
- and 2 more angles on this side
GB @ DAL TOTALWIN Over 49.5 1.0u
- over when late season, home team off Monday night 32-18 (64%)
- over when high total (48+), home team off Monday night 16-10 (62%)
- over when on turf, home team off Monday night 43-27 (61%)
- and 2 more angles on this side
WAS @ ATL TOTALWIN Over 50.0 1.0u
- over when on turf, a team looking ahead to a division game 242-196 (55%)
ARI @ TEN TOTALWIN Over 43.0 1.0u
- over when line inside 3, a new starting QB 108-79 (58%)
- over when under 40 degrees, line inside 3 39-29 (57%)
CHI @ CLE TOTALWIN Over 43.5 1.0u
- over when a new starting QB, road team off Monday night 26-8 (76%)
- over when line inside 3, a new starting QB 108-79 (58%)
- over when under 40 degrees, line inside 3 39-29 (57%)
SF @ TB TOTALWIN Over 41.0 1.0u
- over when late season, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 81-65 (56%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. This season was replayed walk-forward: the angles were chosen on the seasons before it and fired on its games, so nothing here was scored on the games that found it. It is a replay, not a published record. 2026 is the first season we posted before kickoff.