Weekly Lines · 2013
Week 9.
13 games and 12 plays, replayed walk-forward on angles chosen from the seasons before 2013. Every number is open.
This week's plays: 9-3, +8.7u flat at -110. Season through week 9: 82-48, +39.1u flat at -110.
| Game | Market | Total | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 CIN @  MIAThu, Oct 31 20:25 ET | MIA -3 | 42 | CIN 20 at MIA 22MIA -3 closed · MIA covered |
 ATL @  CARSun, Nov 3 13:00 ET | CAR +10 | 46.5 | ATL 10 at CAR 34CAR +10 closed · CAR covered |
 BAL @  CLESun, Nov 3 16:25 ET | CLE -1 | 41.5 | BAL 18 at CLE 24CLE -1 closed · CLE covered |
 IND @  HOUSun, Nov 3 20:30 ET | HOU -1 | 42.5 | IND 27 at HOU 24HOU -1 closed · IND covered |
 KC @  BUFSun, Nov 3 13:00 ET | BUF -4.5 | 40.5 | KC 23 at BUF 13BUF -4.5 closed · KC covered |
 MIN @  DALSun, Nov 3 13:00 ET | DAL +10 | 51 | MIN 23 at DAL 27DAL +10 closed · MIN covered |
 NO @  NYJSun, Nov 3 13:00 ET | NYJ -6 | 45.5 | NO 20 at NYJ 26NYJ -6 closed · NYJ covered |
 PHI @  OAKSun, Nov 3 16:05 ET | OAK -1 | 45.5 | PHI 49 at OAK 20OAK -1 closed · PHI covered |
 PIT @  NESun, Nov 3 16:25 ET | NE +5.5 | 42.5 | PIT 31 at NE 55NE +5.5 closed · NE covered |
 SD @  WASSun, Nov 3 13:00 ET | WAS +1 | 49.5 | SD 24 at WAS 30WAS +1 closed · WAS covered |
 TB @  SEASun, Nov 3 16:05 ET | SEA +16 | 40 | TB 24 at SEA 27SEA +16 closed · TB covered |
 TEN @  STLSun, Nov 3 13:00 ET | STL -3 | 41 | TEN 28 at STL 21STL -3 closed · TEN covered |
 CHI @  GBMon, Nov 4 20:30 ET | GB +10 | 50.5 | CHI 27 at GB 20GB +10 closed · CHI covered |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
IND @ HOU WIN IND -1 2.0u
- model likes them by 2.0+, better record, worse QB, in a dome 21-11 (66%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, better record, worse QB, in a dome 27-16 (63%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, favorite, on the road, won last week 62-39 (61%)
KC @ BUF LOSS KC -4.5 1.0u
- model fades them by 1.0+, on the road, elite QB, on turf 53-35 (60%)
- model fades them by 1.0+, elite QB, low total (41 or under) 66-44 (60%)
LAC @ WAS LOSS LAC +1 1.0u
- model likes them by 0.5+, more rest than the opponent, blew someone out last week, better record 18-11 (62%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, more rest than the opponent, blew someone out last week, better record 18-11 (62%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, more rest than the opponent, won last week, better record 43-27 (61%)
- and 1 more angle on this side
NO @ NYJ WIN NO -6 2.0u
- model fades them by 2.0+, favorite, on the road, blew someone out last week 49-23 (68%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, on the road, blew someone out last week, better coach 36-18 (67%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, on the road, blew someone out last week, on turf 27-14 (66%)
- and 24 more angles on this side
TB @ SEA WIN TB +16 2.0u
- model likes them by 0.5+, on the road, more rest than the opponent, got blown out last week 24-11 (69%)
- model likes them by 0.5+, more rest than the opponent, got blown out last week, low total (41 or under) 16-9 (64%)
- model likes them by 0.5+, more rest than the opponent, got blown out last week, on turf 13-8 (62%)
TB @ SEA TOTALWIN Over 40.0 1.0u
- over when home team off Monday night, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 23-9 (72%)
- over when on turf, home team off Monday night 43-27 (61%)
- over when home team off Monday night 96-66 (59%)
- and 2 more angles on this side
TEN @ STL TOTALWIN Over 41.0 1.0u
- over when line inside 3, home team off Monday night 43-18 (70%)
- over when in a dome, low total (41 or under) 66-43 (61%)
- over when home team off Monday night 96-66 (59%)
- and 1 more angle on this side
KC @ BUF TOTALLOSS Over 40.5 1.0u
- over when on turf, low total (41 or under) 140-107 (57%)
- over when under 40 degrees, low total (41 or under) 62-50 (55%)
- over when on turf, a team looking ahead to a division game 242-196 (55%)
NO @ NYJ TOTALWIN Over 45.5 1.0u
- over when on turf, a team looking ahead to a division game 242-196 (55%)
IND @ HOU TOTALWIN Over 42.5 1.0u
- over when line inside 3, a new starting QB 108-79 (58%)
BAL @ CLE TOTALWIN Over 41.5 1.0u
- over when line inside 3, a new starting QB 108-79 (58%)
PHI @ OAK TOTALWIN Over 45.5 1.0u
- over when line inside 3, a new starting QB 108-79 (58%)
- over when line inside 3, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 76-59 (56%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. This season was replayed walk-forward: the angles were chosen on the seasons before it and fired on its games, so nothing here was scored on the games that found it. It is a replay, not a published record. 2026 is the first season we posted before kickoff.