Weekly Lines · 2013
Week 8.
13 games and 10 plays, replayed walk-forward on angles chosen from the seasons before 2013. Every number is open.
This week's plays: 6-4, -0.6u flat at -110. Season through week 8: 73-45, +30.4u flat at -110.
| Game | Market | Total | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 CAR @  TBThu, Oct 24 20:25 ET | TB -6.5 | 39 | CAR 31 at TB 13TB -6.5 closed · CAR covered |
 ATL @  ARISun, Oct 27 16:25 ET | ARI +2.5 | 44.5 | ATL 13 at ARI 27ARI +2.5 closed · ARI covered |
 BUF @  NOSun, Oct 27 13:00 ET | NO +10.5 | 48 | BUF 17 at NO 35NO +10.5 closed · NO covered |
 CLE @  KCSun, Oct 27 13:00 ET | KC +7 | 39 | CLE 17 at KC 23KC +7 closed · CLE covered |
 DAL @  DETSun, Oct 27 13:00 ET | DET +3 | 51 | DAL 30 at DET 31DET +3 closed · DAL covered |
 GB @  MINSun, Oct 27 20:30 ET | MIN -7 | 47.5 | GB 44 at MIN 31MIN -7 closed · GB covered |
 MIA @  NESun, Oct 27 13:00 ET | NE +6.5 | 46.5 | MIA 17 at NE 27NE +6.5 closed · NE covered |
 NYG @  PHISun, Oct 27 13:00 ET | PHI +5.5 | 49 | NYG 15 at PHI 7PHI +5.5 closed · NYG covered |
 NYJ @  CINSun, Oct 27 16:05 ET | CIN +6 | 40.5 | NYJ 9 at CIN 49CIN +6 closed · CIN covered |
 PIT @  OAKSun, Oct 27 16:05 ET | OAK -2.5 | 40 | PIT 18 at OAK 21OAK -2.5 closed · OAK covered |
 SF @  JAXSun, Oct 27 13:00 ET | JAX -16 | 40 | SF 42 at JAX 10JAX -16 closed · SF covered |
 WAS @  DENSun, Oct 27 16:25 ET | DEN +11 | 58 | WAS 21 at DEN 45DEN +11 closed · DEN covered |
 SEA @  STLMon, Oct 28 20:30 ET | STL -13 | 43 | SEA 14 at STL 9STL -13 closed · STL covered |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
CAR @ TB - model fades them by 2.0+, on the road, blew someone out last week, low total (41 or under) 16-6 (73%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, favorite, on the road, blew someone out last week 49-23 (68%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, blew someone out last week, better record, division game 25-12 (68%)
- and 31 more angles on this side
NYJ @ CIN - model fades them by 2.0+, at home, better coach, low total (41 or under) 76-46 (62%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, favorite, better coach, low total (41 or under) 104-65 (62%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, won last week, better coach, low total (41 or under) 56-35 (62%)
- and 3 more angles on this side
CLE @ KC - model fades them by 0.5+, at home, elite QB, low total (41 or under) 38-23 (62%)
MIA @ NE - model likes them by 1.0+, lost last week, better QB, better coach 60-40 (60%)
SEA @ STL TOTAL- over when home team a big underdog 80-63 (56%)
GB @ MIN TOTAL- over when on turf, home team a big underdog 31-17 (65%)
- over when on turf, home team off Monday night 43-27 (61%)
- over when home team off Monday night 96-66 (59%)
- and 2 more angles on this side
SF @ JAX TOTAL- over when home team a big underdog 80-63 (56%)
NYJ @ CIN TOTAL- over when on turf, low total (41 or under) 140-107 (57%)
WAS @ DEN TOTAL- over when home team a big favorite, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 65-52 (56%)
ATL @ ARI TOTAL- over when line inside 3, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 76-59 (56%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. This season was replayed walk-forward: the angles were chosen on the seasons before it and fired on its games, so nothing here was scored on the games that found it. It is a replay, not a published record. 2026 is the first season we posted before kickoff.