Weekly Lines · 2013
Week 14.
16 games and 10 plays, replayed walk-forward on angles chosen from the seasons before 2013. Every number is open.
This week's plays: 7-3, +5.7u flat at -110. Season through week 14: 108-78, +34.6u flat at -110.
| Game | Market | Total | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 HOU @  JAXThu, Dec 5 20:25 ET | JAX -3 | 43.5 | HOU 20 at JAX 27JAX -3 closed · JAX covered |
 ATL @  GBSun, Dec 8 13:00 ET | GB +3.5 | 47 | ATL 21 at GB 22GB +3.5 closed · ATL covered |
 BUF @  TBSun, Dec 8 13:00 ET | TB +3 | 42.5 | BUF 6 at TB 27TB +3 closed · TB covered |
 CAR @  NOSun, Dec 8 20:30 ET | NO +3 | 47 | CAR 13 at NO 31NO +3 closed · NO covered |
 CLE @  NESun, Dec 8 13:00 ET | NE +9.5 | 47.5 | CLE 26 at NE 27NE +9.5 closed · CLE covered |
 DET @  PHISun, Dec 8 13:00 ET | PHI +2.5 | 54 | DET 20 at PHI 34PHI +2.5 closed · PHI covered |
 IND @  CINSun, Dec 8 13:00 ET | CIN +7 | 43 | IND 28 at CIN 42CIN +7 closed · CIN covered |
 KC @  WASSun, Dec 8 13:00 ET | WAS -3.5 | 44 | KC 45 at WAS 10WAS -3.5 closed · KC covered |
 MIA @  PITSun, Dec 8 13:00 ET | PIT +3 | 40.5 | MIA 34 at PIT 28PIT +3 closed · MIA covered |
 MIN @  BALSun, Dec 8 13:00 ET | BAL +6 | 41.5 | MIN 26 at BAL 29BAL +6 closed · MIN covered |
 NYG @  SDSun, Dec 8 16:25 ET | SD +4.5 | 46.5 | NYG 14 at SD 37SD +4.5 closed · SD covered |
 OAK @  NYJSun, Dec 8 13:00 ET | NYJ +3 | 39 | OAK 27 at NYJ 37NYJ +3 closed · NYJ covered |
 SEA @  SFSun, Dec 8 16:25 ET | SF +2.5 | 41 | SEA 17 at SF 19SF +2.5 closed · SEA covered |
 STL @  ARISun, Dec 8 16:25 ET | ARI +4 | 41 | STL 10 at ARI 30ARI +4 closed · ARI covered |
 TEN @  DENSun, Dec 8 16:05 ET | DEN +13 | 49.5 | TEN 28 at DEN 51DEN +13 closed · DEN covered |
 DAL @  CHIMon, Dec 9 20:30 ET | CHI +2 | 49 | DAL 28 at CHI 45CHI +2 closed · CHI covered |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
LAR @ ARI - model fades them by 0.5+, favorite, division game, in a dome 65-40 (62%)
- model fades them by 1.0+, favorite, division game, in a dome 56-37 (60%)
ATL @ GB - model likes them by 0.5+, on the road, less rest than the opponent, elite QB 17-5 (77%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, less rest than the opponent, elite QB, better coach 17-9 (65%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, less rest than the opponent, won last week, elite QB 25-14 (64%)
- and 9 more angles on this side
IND @ CIN - model fades them by 0.5+, on the road, better coach, on turf 90-57 (61%)
- model fades them by 0.5+, big underdog (7+), worse QB, better coach 14-9 (61%)
- model fades them by 0.5+, big underdog (7+), on the road, won last week 17-11 (61%)
- and 2 more angles on this side
CAR @ NO TOTAL- over when line inside 3, home team off Monday night 43-18 (70%)
- over when late season, home team off Monday night 32-18 (64%)
- over when on turf, home team off Monday night 43-27 (61%)
- and 1 more angle on this side
STL @ ARI TOTAL- over when in a dome, low total (41 or under) 66-43 (61%)
OAK @ NYJ TOTAL- over when line inside 3, a new starting QB 108-79 (58%)
- over when under 40 degrees, line inside 3 39-29 (57%)
- over when on turf, low total (41 or under) 140-107 (57%)
- and 5 more angles on this side
CLE @ NE TOTAL- over when on turf, a team looking ahead to a division game 242-196 (55%)
MIA @ PIT TOTAL- over when under 40 degrees, line inside 3 39-29 (57%)
- over when under 40 degrees, low total (41 or under) 62-50 (55%)
HOU @ JAX TOTAL- over when line inside 3, a new starting QB 108-79 (58%)
NYG @ SD TOTAL- over when late season, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 81-65 (56%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. This season was replayed walk-forward: the angles were chosen on the seasons before it and fired on its games, so nothing here was scored on the games that found it. It is a replay, not a published record. 2026 is the first season we posted before kickoff.