Game lines · 2014

NFL Week 5 Game Lines and Results, 2014

15 games, 15 plays, replayed walk-forward. Every number is open.

Game lines

Game	Line	Final
MIN @ GBThu, Oct 2 20:25 ET	GB -8.5o/u 46.5	MIN 10 at GB 42GB -8.5 closed · GB covered
Model plays (1) 76MIN +8.5 1uMIN at GB · model fades them by 2.0+, big favorite (7+), elite QB 101-62 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
ARI @ DENSun, Oct 5 16:05 ET	DEN -8o/u 47	ARI 20 at DEN 41DEN -8 closed · DEN covered
Model plays (1) 56Over 47 1uARI at DEN · over when a new starting QB, early season 80-52 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
ATL @ NYGSun, Oct 5 13:00 ET	NYG -4o/u 50.5	ATL 20 at NYG 30NYG -4 closed · NYG covered
Model plays (1) 58Over 50.5 1uATL at NYG · over when on turf, a team looking ahead to a division game 273-219 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
BAL @ INDSun, Oct 5 13:00 ET	IND -2.5o/u 49.5	BAL 13 at IND 20IND -2.5 closed · IND covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
BUF @ DETSun, Oct 5 13:00 ET	DET -4.5o/u 43	BUF 17 at DET 14DET -4.5 closed · BUF covered
Model plays (2) 62DET -4.5 1uBUF at DET · model likes them by 0.5+, at home, better record, in a dome 40-26 62Over 43 1uBUF at DET · over when a new starting QB, early season 80-52 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
CHI @ CARSun, Oct 5 13:00 ET	CAR -1.5o/u 46.5	CHI 24 at CAR 31CAR -1.5 closed · CAR covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
CIN @ NESun, Oct 5 20:30 ET	NE +2.5o/u 46	CIN 17 at NE 43NE +2.5 closed · NE covered
Model plays (2) 84Over 46 1uCIN at NE · over when rain in the forecast, home team off Monday night 21-4 62NE +2.5 1uCIN at NE · model likes them by 0.5+, less rest than the opponent, got blown out last week, on turf 15-9 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
CLE @ TENSun, Oct 5 13:00 ET	TEN +1o/u 44.5	CLE 29 at TEN 28TEN +1 closed · push
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
HOU @ DALSun, Oct 5 13:00 ET	DAL -5o/u 47.5	HOU 17 at DAL 20DAL -5 closed · HOU covered
Model plays (1) 53Over 47.5 1uHOU at DAL · over when on turf, a team looking ahead to a division game 273-219 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
KC @ SFSun, Oct 5 16:25 ET	SF -4o/u 43.5	KC 17 at SF 22SF -4 closed · SF covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
NYJ @ SDSun, Oct 5 16:25 ET	SD -7o/u 44.5	NYJ 0 at SD 31SD -7 closed · SD covered
Model plays (1) 50Over 44.5 1uNYJ at SD · over when home team a big favorite, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 74-58 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
PIT @ JAXSun, Oct 5 13:00 ET	JAX +6o/u 47	PIT 17 at JAX 9JAX +6 closed · PIT covered
Model plays (1) 56Over 47 1uPIT at JAX · over when a new starting QB, early season 80-52 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
STL @ PHISun, Oct 5 13:00 ET	PHI -3.5o/u 48	STL 28 at PHI 34PHI -3.5 closed · PHI covered
Model plays (1) 60Over 48 1uSTL at PHI · over when high total (48+), a new starting QB 16-10 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
TB @ NOSun, Oct 5 13:00 ET	NO -11o/u 47.5	TB 31 at NO 37NO -11 closed · TB covered
Model plays (1) 60Over 47.5 1uTB at NO · over when a new starting QB, early season 80-52 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
SEA @ WASMon, Oct 6 20:30 ET	WAS +7o/u 45.5	SEA 27 at WAS 17WAS +7 closed · SEA covered
Model plays (2) 82WAS +7 3uSEA at WAS · model fades them by 2.0+, big favorite (7+), on the road, elite QB 34-14 56Over 45.5 1uSEA at WAS · over when a new starting QB, early season 80-52 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.