Weekly Lines · 2015
Week 8.
14 games and 9 plays, replayed walk-forward on angles chosen from the seasons before 2015. Every number is open.
This week's plays: 3-6, -5.8u flat at -110. Season through week 8: 43-43, +2.2u flat at -110.
| Game | Market | Total | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA @  NEThu, Oct 29 20:25 ET | NE +8 | 51 | MIA 7 at NE 36NE +8 closed · NE covered |
 ARI @  CLESun, Nov 1 13:00 ET | CLE -7 | 46 | ARI 34 at CLE 20CLE -7 closed · ARI covered |
 CIN @  PITSun, Nov 1 13:00 ET | PIT +1 | 49 | CIN 16 at PIT 10PIT +1 closed · CIN covered |
 DET @  KCSun, Nov 1 09:30 ET | KC +3 | 45 | DET 10 at KC 45KC +3 closed · KC covered |
 GB @  DENSun, Nov 1 20:30 ET | DEN -2.5 | 46 | GB 10 at DEN 29DEN -2.5 closed · DEN covered |
 MIN @  CHISun, Nov 1 13:00 ET | CHI -1 | 43.5 | MIN 23 at CHI 20CHI -1 closed · MIN covered |
 NYG @  NOSun, Nov 1 13:00 ET | NO +3 | 51.5 | NYG 49 at NO 52NO +3 closed · push |
 NYJ @  OAKSun, Nov 1 16:05 ET | OAK -3 | 43.5 | NYJ 20 at OAK 34OAK -3 closed · OAK covered |
 SD @  BALSun, Nov 1 13:00 ET | BAL +4.5 | 50 | SD 26 at BAL 29BAL +4.5 closed · SD covered |
 SEA @  DALSun, Nov 1 16:25 ET | DAL -4.5 | 41.5 | SEA 13 at DAL 12DAL -4.5 closed · DAL covered |
 SF @  STLSun, Nov 1 13:00 ET | STL +8 | 41 | SF 6 at STL 27STL +8 closed · STL covered |
 TB @  ATLSun, Nov 1 13:00 ET | ATL +8 | 47.5 | TB 23 at ATL 20ATL +8 closed · TB covered |
 TEN @  HOUSun, Nov 1 13:00 ET | HOU +3.5 | 43 | TEN 6 at HOU 20HOU +3.5 closed · HOU covered |
 IND @  CARMon, Nov 2 20:30 ET | CAR +5 | 44.5 | IND 26 at CAR 29CAR +5 closed · IND covered |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
GB @ DEN - model fades them by 1.0+, underdog, won last week, elite QB 18-10 (64%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, underdog, won last week, elite QB 13-8 (62%)
- model fades them by 0.5+, underdog, won last week, elite QB 21-14 (60%)
TEN @ HOU - model fades them by 1.0+, got blown out last week, better coach, in a dome 22-8 (73%)
- model fades them by 0.5+, bad QB, better coach, in a dome 15-6 (71%)
- model fades them by 0.5+, got blown out last week, better coach, in a dome 23-12 (66%)
- and 20 more angles on this side
MIA @ NE - model likes them by 1.0+, blew someone out last week, worse record, division game 14-8 (64%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, on the road, worse record, division game 85-56 (60%)
- model likes them by 0.5+, blew someone out last week, worse record, division game 15-10 (60%)
TB @ ATL - model fades them by 0.5+, big underdog (7+), worse record, division game 47-27 (64%)
- model fades them by 0.5+, underdog, big underdog (7+), division game 49-30 (62%)
- model fades them by 0.5+, big underdog (7+), division game 49-30 (62%)
- and 2 more angles on this side
SD @ BAL TOTAL- over when home team off Monday night, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 30-13 (70%)
- over when high total (48+), home team off Monday night 28-13 (68%)
- over when on turf, home team off Monday night 55-37 (60%)
- and 1 more angle on this side
CIN @ PIT TOTAL- under when high total (48+), division game 84-59 (59%)
- under when high total (48+), line inside 3 78-57 (58%)
- under when rain in the forecast, division game 81-62 (57%)
MIA @ NE TOTAL- under when high total (48+), division game 84-59 (59%)
- under when rain in the forecast, division game 81-62 (57%)
SF @ STL TOTAL- over when in a dome, low total (41 or under) 75-47 (62%)
- over when home team a big favorite, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 80-63 (56%)
- over when low total (41 or under), road team travelled 1,500+ miles 107-87 (55%)
NYG @ NO TOTAL- under when high total (48+), line inside 3 78-57 (58%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. This season was replayed walk-forward: the angles were chosen on the seasons before it and fired on its games, so nothing here was scored on the games that found it. It is a replay, not a published record. 2026 is the first season we posted before kickoff.