Weekly Lines · 2015
Week 9.
13 games and 9 plays, replayed walk-forward on angles chosen from the seasons before 2015. Every number is open.
This week's plays: 6-3, +2.7u flat at -110. Season through week 9: 49-46, +4.9u flat at -110.
| Game | Market | Total | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 CLE @  CINThu, Nov 5 20:25 ET | CIN +13 | 45.5 | CLE 10 at CIN 31CIN +13 closed · CIN covered |
 ATL @  SFSun, Nov 8 16:05 ET | SF -9.5 | 43.5 | ATL 16 at SF 17SF -9.5 closed · SF covered |
 DEN @  INDSun, Nov 8 16:25 ET | IND -3.5 | 45 | DEN 24 at IND 27IND -3.5 closed · IND covered |
 GB @  CARSun, Nov 8 13:00 ET | CAR -2 | 45.5 | GB 29 at CAR 37CAR -2 closed · CAR covered |
 JAX @  NYJSun, Nov 8 13:00 ET | NYJ +7.5 | 42 | JAX 23 at NYJ 28NYJ +7.5 closed · JAX covered |
 MIA @  BUFSun, Nov 8 13:00 ET | BUF +4 | 44 | MIA 17 at BUF 33BUF +4 closed · BUF covered |
 NYG @  TBSun, Nov 8 16:05 ET | TB -1.5 | 49 | NYG 32 at TB 18TB -1.5 closed · NYG covered |
 OAK @  PITSun, Nov 8 13:00 ET | PIT +6 | 47.5 | OAK 35 at PIT 38PIT +6 closed · OAK covered |
 PHI @  DALSun, Nov 8 20:30 ET | DAL -3 | 43.5 | PHI 33 at DAL 27DAL -3 closed · PHI covered |
 STL @  MINSun, Nov 8 13:00 ET | MIN +2 | 40 | STL 18 at MIN 21MIN +2 closed · MIN covered |
 TEN @  NOSun, Nov 8 13:00 ET | NO +7 | 50 | TEN 34 at NO 28NO +7 closed · TEN covered |
 WAS @  NESun, Nov 8 13:00 ET | NE +13.5 | 51.5 | WAS 10 at NE 27NE +13.5 closed · NE covered |
 CHI @  SDMon, Nov 9 20:30 ET | SD +3.5 | 49 | CHI 22 at SD 19SD +3.5 closed · CHI covered |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
GB @ CAR - model fades them by 3.0+, got blown out last week, better coach 40-23 (64%)
- model fades them by 3.0+, lost last week, got blown out last week, better coach 40-23 (64%)
- model fades them by 3.0+, got blown out last week, worse record, better coach 20-12 (62%)
- and 18 more angles on this side
LAR @ MIN - model fades them by 0.5+, blew someone out last week, worse record, low total (41 or under) 17-10 (63%)
- model fades them by 0.5+, underdog, blew someone out last week, low total (41 or under) 12-8 (60%)
TEN @ NO - model fades them by 0.5+, won last week, in a dome, high total (48+) 44-26 (63%)
- model fades them by 0.5+, favorite, better coach, in a dome 108-72 (60%)
DEN @ IND TOTAL- over when on turf, home team off Monday night 55-37 (60%)
- over when home team off Monday night 122-85 (59%)
- over when a team looking ahead to a division game, home team off Monday night 67-51 (57%)
GB @ CAR TOTAL- over when line inside 3, home team off Monday night 53-30 (64%)
- over when home team off Monday night 122-85 (59%)
- over when a team looking ahead to a division game, home team off Monday night 67-51 (57%)
ATL @ SF TOTAL- over when rain in the forecast, home team a big underdog 18-6 (75%)
STL @ MIN TOTAL- over when on turf, low total (41 or under) 153-118 (56%)
NYG @ TB TOTAL- under when high total (48+), line inside 3 78-57 (58%)
PHI @ DAL TOTAL- over when line inside 3, a new starting QB 131-99 (57%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. This season was replayed walk-forward: the angles were chosen on the seasons before it and fired on its games, so nothing here was scored on the games that found it. It is a replay, not a published record. 2026 is the first season we posted before kickoff.