Weekly Lines · 2017
Week 14.
16 games and 7 plays, replayed walk-forward on angles chosen from the seasons before 2017. Every number is open.
This week's plays: 4-3, +0.7u flat at -110. Season through week 14: 71-60, +8.3u flat at -110.
| Game | Market | Total | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 NO @  ATLThu, Dec 7 20:25 ET | ATL +2.5 | 51.5 | NO 17 at ATL 20ATL +2.5 closed · ATL covered |
 BAL @  PITSun, Dec 10 20:30 ET | PIT +6 | 43 | BAL 38 at PIT 39PIT +6 closed · BAL covered |
 CHI @  CINSun, Dec 10 13:00 ET | CIN +6 | 40.5 | CHI 33 at CIN 7CIN +6 closed · CHI covered |
 DAL @  NYGSun, Dec 10 13:00 ET | NYG -4 | 42 | DAL 30 at NYG 10NYG -4 closed · DAL covered |
 DET @  TBSun, Dec 10 13:00 ET | TB PK | 47.5 | DET 24 at TB 21TB PK closed · DET covered |
 GB @  CLESun, Dec 10 13:00 ET | CLE -2.5 | 38.5 | GB 27 at CLE 21CLE -2.5 closed · GB covered |
 IND @  BUFSun, Dec 10 13:00 ET | BUF +3.5 | 36.5 | IND 7 at BUF 13BUF +3.5 closed · BUF covered |
 MIN @  CARSun, Dec 10 13:00 ET | CAR -2.5 | 40.5 | MIN 24 at CAR 31CAR -2.5 closed · CAR covered |
 NYJ @  DENSun, Dec 10 16:05 ET | DEN -1 | 40.5 | NYJ 0 at DEN 23DEN -1 closed · DEN covered |
 OAK @  KCSun, Dec 10 13:00 ET | KC +4.5 | 48.5 | OAK 15 at KC 26KC +4.5 closed · KC covered |
 PHI @  LASun, Dec 10 16:25 ET | LA -1 | 47.5 | PHI 43 at LA 35LA -1 closed · PHI covered |
 SEA @  JAXSun, Dec 10 16:25 ET | JAX +3 | 41 | SEA 24 at JAX 30JAX +3 closed · JAX covered |
 SF @  HOUSun, Dec 10 13:00 ET | HOU +1 | 45.5 | SF 26 at HOU 16HOU +1 closed · SF covered |
 TEN @  ARISun, Dec 10 16:05 ET | ARI -2.5 | 42 | TEN 7 at ARI 12ARI -2.5 closed · ARI covered |
 WAS @  LACSun, Dec 10 16:05 ET | LAC +6 | 46.5 | WAS 13 at LAC 30LAC +6 closed · LAC covered |
 NE @  MIAMon, Dec 11 20:30 ET | MIA -10 | 48 | NE 20 at MIA 27MIA -10 closed · MIA covered |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
PHI @ LAR - model likes them by 1.0+, blew someone out last week, worse QB, bad QB 24-15 (62%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, blew someone out last week, bad QB 25-16 (61%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, won last week, blew someone out last week, bad QB 25-16 (61%)
MIN @ CAR - model fades them by 3.0+, better coach, low total (41 or under) 108-65 (62%)
- model fades them by 3.0+, favorite, better coach, low total (41 or under) 94-59 (61%)
- model fades them by 3.0+, on the road, better coach, low total (41 or under) 46-30 (60%)
- and 2 more angles on this side
BAL @ PIT TOTAL- over when home team off Monday night 140-104 (57%)
- over when a team looking ahead to a division game, home team off Monday night 80-60 (57%)
- over when late season, home team off Monday night 44-33 (57%)
CHI @ CIN TOTAL- over when on turf, home team off Monday night 66-47 (58%)
- over when home team off Monday night 140-104 (57%)
- over when a team looking ahead to a division game, home team off Monday night 80-60 (57%)
- and 2 more angles on this side
IND @ BUF TOTAL- over when on turf, low total (41 or under) 169-130 (56%)
GB @ CLE TOTAL- over when under 40 degrees, line inside 3 64-47 (58%)
NE @ MIA TOTAL- under when high total (48+), home team a big underdog 24-13 (65%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. This season was replayed walk-forward: the angles were chosen on the seasons before it and fired on its games, so nothing here was scored on the games that found it. It is a replay, not a published record. 2026 is the first season we posted before kickoff.