Game lines · 2018

NFL Week 4 Game Lines and Results, 2018

15 games, 15 plays, replayed walk-forward. Every number is open.

Game lines

Game	Line	Final
MIN @ LAThu, Sep 27 20:20 ET	LA -7.5o/u 48.5	MIN 31 at LA 38LA -7.5 closed · MIN covered
Model plays (1) 52Over 48.5 1uMIN at LA · over when early season, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 135-109 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
BAL @ PITSun, Sep 30 20:20 ET	PIT -3o/u 51	BAL 26 at PIT 14PIT -3 closed · BAL covered
Model plays (1) 72Over 51 1uBAL at PIT · over when high total (48+), home team off Monday night 37-16 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
BUF @ GBSun, Sep 30 13:00 ET	GB -8.5o/u 44	BUF 0 at GB 22GB -8.5 closed · GB covered
Model plays (1) 54Over 44 1uBUF at GB · over when a new starting QB, early season 117-84 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
CIN @ ATLSun, Sep 30 13:00 ET	ATL -3.5o/u 52	CIN 37 at ATL 36ATL -3.5 closed · CIN covered
Model plays (1) 69ATL -3.5 1uCIN at ATL · model fades them by 1.0+, underdog, better record, high total (48+) 17-10 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
CLE @ OAKSun, Sep 30 16:05 ET	OAK -2.5o/u 44.5	CLE 42 at OAK 45OAK -2.5 closed · OAK covered
Model plays (1) 58Over 44.5 1uCLE at OAK · over when a new starting QB, early season 117-84 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
DET @ DALSun, Sep 30 13:00 ET	DAL -2.5o/u 44	DET 24 at DAL 26DAL -2.5 closed · DET covered
Model plays (1) 52DAL -2.5 1uDET at DAL · model fades them by 0.5+, blew someone out last week, better QB, in a dome 30-20 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
HOU @ INDSun, Sep 30 13:00 ET	IND +1o/u 48	HOU 37 at IND 34IND +1 closed · HOU covered
Model plays (1) 65IND +1 1uHOU at IND · model likes them by 0.5+, lost last week, better coach, in a dome 68-43 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
MIA @ NESun, Sep 30 13:00 ET	NE -6.5o/u 50.5	MIA 7 at NE 38NE -6.5 closed · NE covered
Model plays (1) 74MIA +6.5 1uMIA at NE · model fades them by 3.0+, at home, elite QB, division game 38-21 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
NO @ NYGSun, Sep 30 16:25 ET	NYG +3.5o/u 51.5	NO 33 at NYG 18NYG +3.5 closed · NO covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
NYJ @ JAXSun, Sep 30 13:00 ET	JAX -7.5o/u 40.5	NYJ 12 at JAX 31JAX -7.5 closed · JAX covered
Model plays (1) 53Over 40.5 1uNYJ at JAX · over when low total (41 or under), early season 198-155 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
PHI @ TENSun, Sep 30 13:00 ET	TEN +3o/u 41.5	PHI 23 at TEN 26TEN +3 closed · TEN covered
Model plays (1) 54Over 41.5 1uPHI at TEN · over when a new starting QB, early season 117-84 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
SEA @ ARISun, Sep 30 16:05 ET	ARI +3.5o/u 40	SEA 20 at ARI 17ARI +3.5 closed · ARI covered
Model plays (2) 70ARI +3.5 1uSEA at ARI · model likes them by 1.0+, lost last week, better coach, in a dome 58-35 66Over 40 1uSEA at ARI · over when in a dome, low total (41 or under) 89-54 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
SF @ LACSun, Sep 30 16:25 ET	LAC -10o/u 46	SF 27 at LAC 29LAC -10 closed · SF covered
Model plays (2) 78SF +10 1uSF at LAC · model fades them by 3.0+, favorite, big favorite (7+), elite QB 100-64 54Over 46 1uSF at LAC · over when a new starting QB, early season 117-84 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
TB @ CHISun, Sep 30 13:00 ET	CHI -3o/u 46	TB 10 at CHI 48CHI -3 closed · CHI covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
KC @ DENMon, Oct 1 20:15 ET	DEN +3.5o/u 53.5	KC 27 at DEN 23DEN +3.5 closed · KC covered
Model plays (1) 64DEN +3.5 1uKC at DEN · model fades them by 0.5+, worse QB, better coach, division game 76-50 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.