Weekly Lines · 2018
Week 7.
14 games and 4 plays, replayed walk-forward on angles chosen from the seasons before 2018. Every number is open.
This week's plays: 1-3, -2.3u flat at -110. Season through week 7: 37-37, -5.1u flat at -110.
| Game | Market | Total | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 DEN @  ARIThu, Oct 18 20:20 ET | ARI -1 | 42.5 | DEN 45 at ARI 10ARI -1 closed · DEN covered |
 BUF @  INDSun, Oct 21 13:00 ET | IND +7 | 43.5 | BUF 5 at IND 37IND +7 closed · IND covered |
 CAR @  PHISun, Oct 21 13:00 ET | PHI +5 | 45 | CAR 21 at PHI 17PHI +5 closed · CAR covered |
 CIN @  KCSun, Oct 21 20:20 ET | KC +6.5 | 56 | CIN 10 at KC 45KC +6.5 closed · KC covered |
 CLE @  TBSun, Oct 21 13:00 ET | TB +3.5 | 52.5 | CLE 23 at TB 26TB +3.5 closed · CLE covered |
 DAL @  WASSun, Oct 21 16:25 ET | WAS -1.5 | 40.5 | DAL 17 at WAS 20WAS -1.5 closed · WAS covered |
 DET @  MIASun, Oct 21 13:00 ET | MIA -3 | 47 | DET 32 at MIA 21MIA -3 closed · DET covered |
 HOU @  JAXSun, Oct 21 13:00 ET | JAX +4 | 43 | HOU 20 at JAX 7JAX +4 closed · HOU covered |
 LA @  SFSun, Oct 21 16:25 ET | SF -8 | 52 | LA 39 at SF 10SF -8 closed · LA covered |
 MIN @  NYJSun, Oct 21 13:00 ET | NYJ -3.5 | 45 | MIN 37 at NYJ 17NYJ -3.5 closed · MIN covered |
 NE @  CHISun, Oct 21 13:00 ET | CHI -1 | 49 | NE 38 at CHI 31CHI -1 closed · NE covered |
 NO @  BALSun, Oct 21 16:05 ET | BAL +2.5 | 49 | NO 24 at BAL 23BAL +2.5 closed · NO covered |
 TEN @  LACSun, Oct 21 21:30 ET | LAC +6.5 | 46 | TEN 19 at LAC 20LAC +6.5 closed · TEN covered |
 NYG @  ATLMon, Oct 22 20:15 ET | ATL +4.5 | 52 | NYG 20 at ATL 23ATL +4.5 closed · NYG covered |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
DEN @ ARI - model likes them by 2.0+, favorite, on the road, lost last week 12-8 (60%)
TEN @ LAC - model likes them by 3.0+, favorite, blew someone out last week, elite QB 25-16 (61%)
- model likes them by 3.0+, blew someone out last week, better record, elite QB 27-18 (60%)
MIN @ NYJ - model fades them by 2.0+, on the road, better coach, on turf 112-67 (63%)
- model fades them by 3.0+, on the road, better coach, on turf 75-49 (60%)
- model fades them by 1.0+, on the road, better coach, on turf 137-90 (60%)
CAR @ PHI - model likes them by 0.5+, favorite, more rest than the opponent, better QB 54-33 (62%)
- model likes them by 0.5+, favorite, more rest than the opponent, won last week 56-37 (60%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. This season was replayed walk-forward: the angles were chosen on the seasons before it and fired on its games, so nothing here was scored on the games that found it. It is a replay, not a published record. 2026 is the first season we posted before kickoff.