Weekly Lines · 2019
Week 10.
13 games and 7 plays, replayed walk-forward on angles chosen from the seasons before 2019. Every number is open.
This week's plays: 5-2, +4.7u flat at -110. Season through week 10: 60-54, +2.7u flat at -110.
| Game | Market | Total | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 LAC @  OAKThu, Nov 7 20:20 ET | OAK -1 | 49 | LAC 24 at OAK 26OAK -1 closed · OAK covered |
 ARI @  TBSun, Nov 10 13:00 ET | TB +5.5 | 51 | ARI 27 at TB 30TB +5.5 closed · ARI covered |
 ATL @  NOSun, Nov 10 13:00 ET | NO +14 | 51.5 | ATL 26 at NO 9NO +14 closed · ATL covered |
 BAL @  CINSun, Nov 10 13:00 ET | CIN -10.5 | 44 | BAL 49 at CIN 13CIN -10.5 closed · BAL covered |
 BUF @  CLESun, Nov 10 13:00 ET | CLE +3 | 42 | BUF 16 at CLE 19CLE +3 closed · push |
 CAR @  GBSun, Nov 10 16:25 ET | GB +5 | 49 | CAR 16 at GB 24GB +5 closed · GB covered |
 DET @  CHISun, Nov 10 13:00 ET | CHI +6 | 38 | DET 13 at CHI 20CHI +6 closed · CHI covered |
 KC @  TENSun, Nov 10 13:00 ET | TEN -5 | 49 | KC 32 at TEN 35TEN -5 closed · TEN covered |
 LA @  PITSun, Nov 10 16:25 ET | PIT -4 | 43 | LA 12 at PIT 17PIT -4 closed · PIT covered |
 MIA @  INDSun, Nov 10 16:05 ET | IND +11 | 44.5 | MIA 16 at IND 12IND +11 closed · MIA covered |
 MIN @  DALSun, Nov 10 20:20 ET | DAL +3.5 | 48.5 | MIN 28 at DAL 24DAL +3.5 closed · MIN covered |
 NYG @  NYJSun, Nov 10 13:00 ET | NYJ -3 | 43 | NYG 27 at NYJ 34NYJ -3 closed · NYJ covered |
 SEA @  SFMon, Nov 11 20:15 ET | SF +6.5 | 47 | SEA 27 at SF 24SF +6.5 closed · SEA covered |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
BAL @ CIN - model fades them by 2.0+, less rest than the opponent, won last week, better coach 57-29 (66%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, less rest than the opponent, blew someone out last week, better coach 22-12 (65%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, on the road, blew someone out last week, better coach 67-37 (64%)
- and 18 more angles on this side
MIN @ DAL - model fades them by 0.5+, less rest than the opponent, blew someone out last week, in a dome 17-9 (65%)
- model fades them by 1.0+, less rest than the opponent, blew someone out last week, in a dome 15-9 (62%)
- model fades them by 1.0+, worse record, better coach, in a dome 59-36 (62%)
- and 7 more angles on this side
LAC @ 
LV - model fades them by 2.0+, on the road, blew someone out last week, better coach 67-37 (64%)
- model fades them by 1.0+, on the road, blew someone out last week, better coach 82-49 (63%)
- model fades them by 0.5+, on the road, blew someone out last week, better coach 92-57 (62%)
- and 1 more angle on this side
LAR @ PIT - model fades them by 2.0+, on the road, blew someone out last week, better coach 67-37 (64%)
- model fades them by 1.0+, on the road, blew someone out last week, better coach 82-49 (63%)
- model fades them by 0.5+, on the road, blew someone out last week, better coach 92-57 (62%)
- and 1 more angle on this side
SEA @ SF - model likes them by 0.5+, on the road, less rest than the opponent, elite QB 33-13 (72%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, on the road, less rest than the opponent, elite QB 29-12 (71%)
- model likes them by 0.5+, on the road, less rest than the opponent, division game 53-28 (65%)
- and 8 more angles on this side
MIN @ DAL TOTAL- over when high total (48+), home team off Monday night 39-20 (66%)
- over when on turf, home team off Monday night 75-55 (58%)
- over when in a dome, home team off Monday night 39-29 (57%)
- and 1 more angle on this side
BAL @ CIN TOTAL- under when home team a big underdog, a new starting QB 64-47 (58%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. This season was replayed walk-forward: the angles were chosen on the seasons before it and fired on its games, so nothing here was scored on the games that found it. It is a replay, not a published record. 2026 is the first season we posted before kickoff.