Weekly Lines · 2020
Week 13.
15 games and 7 plays, replayed walk-forward on angles chosen from the seasons before 2020. Every number is open.
This week's plays: 3-4, -1.4u flat at -110. Season through week 13: 73-82, -25.5u flat at -110.
| Game | Market | Total | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 CIN @  MIASun, Dec 6 13:00 ET | MIA +10.5 | 43 | CIN 7 at MIA 19MIA +10.5 closed · MIA covered |
 CLE @  TENSun, Dec 6 13:00 ET | TEN +4 | 54 | CLE 41 at TEN 35TEN +4 closed · CLE covered |
 DEN @  KCSun, Dec 6 20:20 ET | KC +13 | 51 | DEN 16 at KC 22KC +13 closed · DEN covered |
 DET @  CHISun, Dec 6 13:00 ET | CHI +3 | 44 | DET 34 at CHI 30CHI +3 closed · DET covered |
 IND @  HOUSun, Dec 6 13:00 ET | HOU -3.5 | 50 | IND 26 at HOU 20HOU -3.5 closed · IND covered |
 JAX @  MINSun, Dec 6 13:00 ET | MIN +10.5 | 51 | JAX 24 at MIN 27MIN +10.5 closed · JAX covered |
 LA @  ARISun, Dec 6 16:05 ET | ARI -2.5 | 49 | LA 38 at ARI 28ARI -2.5 closed · LA covered |
 LV @  NYJSun, Dec 6 13:00 ET | NYJ -7.5 | 48 | LV 31 at NYJ 28NYJ -7.5 closed · NYJ covered |
 NE @  LACSun, Dec 6 16:25 ET | LAC +2.5 | 47 | NE 45 at LAC 0LAC +2.5 closed · NE covered |
 NO @  ATLSun, Dec 6 13:00 ET | ATL -2.5 | 46 | NO 21 at ATL 16ATL -2.5 closed · NO covered |
 NYG @  SEASun, Dec 6 16:05 ET | SEA +11 | 48.5 | NYG 17 at SEA 12SEA +11 closed · NYG covered |
 PHI @  GBSun, Dec 6 16:25 ET | GB +8 | 50 | PHI 16 at GB 30GB +8 closed · GB covered |
 BUF @  SFMon, Dec 7 20:15 ET | SF +1.5 | 48 | BUF 34 at SF 24SF +1.5 closed · BUF covered |
 WAS @  PITMon, Dec 7 17:00 ET | PIT +5.5 | 43.5 | WAS 23 at PIT 17PIT +5.5 closed · WAS covered |
 DAL @  BALTue, Dec 8 20:05 ET | BAL +8.5 | 46 | DAL 17 at BAL 34BAL +8.5 closed · BAL covered |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
CLE @ TEN - model likes them by 3.0+, blew someone out last week, better coach, high total (48+) 14-9 (61%)
- model likes them by 3.0+, blew someone out last week, elite QB, better coach 24-16 (60%)
LV @ NYJ TOTAL- under when high total (48+), home team a big underdog 42-18 (70%)
- under when windy, home team a big underdog 20-9 (69%)
- under when home team a big underdog, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 35-25 (58%)
- and 1 more angle on this side
NYG @ SEA TOTAL- over when home team off Monday night, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 39-19 (67%)
- over when high total (48+), home team off Monday night 41-23 (64%)
- over when on turf, home team off Monday night 79-58 (58%)
- and 2 more angles on this side
DET @ CHI TOTAL- over when under 40 degrees, line inside 3 70-56 (56%)
DEN @ KC TOTAL- under when high total (48+), division game 143-107 (57%)
LA @ ARI TOTAL- under when high total (48+), division game 143-107 (57%)
IND @ HOU TOTAL- under when high total (48+), division game 143-107 (57%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. This season was replayed walk-forward: the angles were chosen on the seasons before it and fired on its games, so nothing here was scored on the games that found it. It is a replay, not a published record. 2026 is the first season we posted before kickoff.