Weekly Lines · 2020
Week 2.
16 games and 13 plays, replayed walk-forward on angles chosen from the seasons before 2020. Every number is open.
This week's plays: 7-6, -1.8u flat at -110. Season through week 2: 11-11, -3.3u flat at -110.
| Game | Market | Total | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 CIN @  CLEThu, Sep 17 20:20 ET | CLE +6 | 44.5 | CIN 30 at CLE 35CLE +6 closed · CIN covered |
 ATL @  DALSun, Sep 20 13:00 ET | DAL +3 | 53 | ATL 39 at DAL 40DAL +3 closed · ATL covered |
 BAL @  HOUSun, Sep 20 16:25 ET | HOU -7.5 | 49.5 | BAL 33 at HOU 16HOU -7.5 closed · BAL covered |
 BUF @  MIASun, Sep 20 13:00 ET | MIA -5.5 | 42.5 | BUF 31 at MIA 28MIA -5.5 closed · MIA covered |
 CAR @  TBSun, Sep 20 13:00 ET | TB +7.5 | 47 | CAR 17 at TB 31TB +7.5 closed · TB covered |
 DEN @  PITSun, Sep 20 13:00 ET | PIT +6 | 41 | DEN 21 at PIT 26PIT +6 closed · DEN covered |
 DET @  GBSun, Sep 20 13:00 ET | GB +7 | 51 | DET 21 at GB 42GB +7 closed · GB covered |
 JAX @  TENSun, Sep 20 13:00 ET | TEN +7 | 44.5 | JAX 30 at TEN 33TEN +7 closed · JAX covered |
 KC @  LACSun, Sep 20 16:25 ET | LAC -8.5 | 47 | KC 23 at LAC 20LAC -8.5 closed · LAC covered |
 LA @  PHISun, Sep 20 13:00 ET | PHI +2 | 46 | LA 37 at PHI 19PHI +2 closed · LA covered |
 MIN @  INDSun, Sep 20 13:00 ET | IND +3.5 | 49 | MIN 11 at IND 28IND +3.5 closed · IND covered |
 NE @  SEASun, Sep 20 20:20 ET | SEA +4 | 45 | NE 30 at SEA 35SEA +4 closed · SEA covered |
 NYG @  CHISun, Sep 20 13:00 ET | CHI +4.5 | 42.5 | NYG 13 at CHI 17CHI +4.5 closed · NYG covered |
 SF @  NYJSun, Sep 20 13:00 ET | NYJ -7 | 41.5 | SF 31 at NYJ 13NYJ -7 closed · SF covered |
 WAS @  ARISun, Sep 20 16:05 ET | ARI +7.5 | 46.5 | WAS 15 at ARI 30ARI +7.5 closed · ARI covered |
 NO @  LVMon, Sep 21 20:15 ET | LV -4 | 47.5 | NO 24 at LV 34LV -4 closed · LV covered |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
BAL @ HOU - model fades them by 2.0+, big favorite (7+), blew someone out last week, in a dome 20-8 (71%)
- model fades them by 3.0+, big favorite (7+), in a dome, high total (48+) 15-6 (71%)
- model fades them by 3.0+, better QB, in a dome, high total (48+) 22-9 (71%)
- and 57 more angles on this side
ATL @ DAL - model likes them by 2.0+, favorite, lost last week, in a dome 25-16 (61%)
DET @ GB - model likes them by 1.0+, on the road, elite QB, division game 79-44 (64%)
- model likes them by 0.5+, on the road, elite QB, division game 86-53 (62%)
- model likes them by 1.0+, on the road, worse record, elite QB 68-44 (61%)
- and 3 more angles on this side
JAC @ TEN - model fades them by 1.0+, less rest than the opponent, won last week, better coach 74-48 (61%)
DEN @ PIT TOTAL- over when low total (41 or under), road team off Monday night 34-22 (61%)
- over when early season, home team off Monday night 57-42 (58%)
- over when home team off Monday night 169-134 (56%)
- and 1 more angle on this side
JAX @ TEN TOTAL- over when early season, home team off Monday night 57-42 (58%)
- over when home team off Monday night 169-134 (56%)
BUF @ MIA TOTAL- under when rain in the forecast, division game 120-94 (56%)
DET @ GB TOTAL- under when high total (48+), division game 143-107 (57%)
BAL @ HOU TOTAL- under when high total (48+), home team a big underdog 42-18 (70%)
NO @ LV TOTAL- over when early season, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 158-126 (56%)
NE @ SEA TOTAL- over when early season, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 158-126 (56%)
WAS @ ARI TOTAL- over when early season, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 158-126 (56%)
LA @ PHI TOTAL- over when early season, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 158-126 (56%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. This season was replayed walk-forward: the angles were chosen on the seasons before it and fired on its games, so nothing here was scored on the games that found it. It is a replay, not a published record. 2026 is the first season we posted before kickoff.