Weekly Lines · 2022
Week 7.
14 games and 7 plays, replayed walk-forward on angles chosen from the seasons before 2022. Every number is open.
This week's plays: 4-3, +0.7u flat at -110. Season through week 7: 39-37, -3.0u flat at -110.
| Game | Market | Total | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 NO @  ARIThu, Oct 20 20:15 ET | ARI +2.5 | 44 | NO 34 at ARI 42ARI +2.5 closed · ARI covered |
 ATL @  CINSun, Oct 23 13:00 ET | CIN +6.5 | 47.5 | ATL 17 at CIN 35CIN +6.5 closed · CIN covered |
 CLE @  BALSun, Oct 23 13:00 ET | BAL +6.5 | 46 | CLE 20 at BAL 23BAL +6.5 closed · CLE covered |
 DET @  DALSun, Oct 23 13:00 ET | DAL +7 | 49.5 | DET 6 at DAL 24DAL +7 closed · DAL covered |
 GB @  WASSun, Oct 23 13:00 ET | WAS -4 | 41.5 | GB 21 at WAS 23WAS -4 closed · WAS covered |
 HOU @  LVSun, Oct 23 16:05 ET | LV +7 | 46 | HOU 20 at LV 38LV +7 closed · LV covered |
 IND @  TENSun, Oct 23 13:00 ET | TEN +2.5 | 43 | IND 10 at TEN 19TEN +2.5 closed · TEN covered |
 KC @  SFSun, Oct 23 16:25 ET | SF -1 | 49 | KC 44 at SF 23SF -1 closed · KC covered |
 NYG @  JAXSun, Oct 23 13:00 ET | JAX +3 | 44 | NYG 23 at JAX 17JAX +3 closed · NYG covered |
 NYJ @  DENSun, Oct 23 16:05 ET | DEN -2 | 37 | NYJ 16 at DEN 9DEN -2 closed · NYJ covered |
 PIT @  MIASun, Oct 23 20:20 ET | MIA +7.5 | 44.5 | PIT 10 at MIA 16MIA +7.5 closed · PIT covered |
 SEA @  LACSun, Oct 23 16:25 ET | LAC +5.5 | 51.5 | SEA 37 at LAC 23LAC +5.5 closed · SEA covered |
 TB @  CARSun, Oct 23 13:00 ET | CAR -13 | 39.5 | TB 3 at CAR 21CAR -13 closed · CAR covered |
 CHI @  NEMon, Oct 24 20:15 ET | NE +9.5 | 40 | CHI 33 at NE 14NE +9.5 closed · CHI covered |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
IND @ TEN - model fades them by 3.0+, underdog, less rest than the opponent, won last week 17-10 (63%)
SEA @ LAC - model fades them by 2.0+, less rest than the opponent, won last week, better coach 66-40 (62%)
- model fades them by 3.0+, less rest than the opponent, won last week, better coach 43-28 (61%)
- model fades them by 1.0+, less rest than the opponent, won last week, better coach 82-54 (60%)
- and 1 more angle on this side
NYJ @ DEN - model fades them by 1.0+, on the road, blew someone out last week, low total (41 or under) 38-23 (62%)
- model fades them by 0.5+, on the road, blew someone out last week, low total (41 or under) 43-28 (61%)
GB @ WAS TOTAL- under when rain in the forecast, a new starting QB 113-76 (60%)
CHI @ NE TOTAL- over when on turf, low total (41 or under) 200-157 (56%)
SEA @ LAC TOTAL- over when high total (48+), home team off Monday night 53-34 (61%)
- over when on turf, home team off Monday night 90-71 (56%)
NYJ @ DEN TOTAL- over when home team off Monday night, road team travelled 1,500+ miles 42-26 (62%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. This season was replayed walk-forward: the angles were chosen on the seasons before it and fired on its games, so nothing here was scored on the games that found it. It is a replay, not a published record. 2026 is the first season we posted before kickoff.