Game lines · 2024

NFL Week 4 Game Lines and Results, 2024

16 games, 12 plays, replayed walk-forward. Every number is open.

Game lines

Game	Line	Final
DAL @ NYGThu, Sep 26 20:15 ET	NYG +5.5o/u 45	DAL 20 at NYG 15NYG +5.5 closed · NYG covered
Model plays (2) 62NYG +5.5 1uDAL at NYG · model fades them by 2.0+, on the road, better QB, on turf 140-92 60Under 45 1uDAL at NYG · under when rain in the forecast, division game 166-118 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
BUF @ BALSun, Sep 29 20:20 ET	BAL -2.5o/u 46.5	BUF 10 at BAL 35BAL -2.5 closed · BAL covered
Model plays (2) 68BAL -2.5 2uBUF at BAL · model fades them by 0.5+, underdog, less rest than the opponent, elite QB 17-8 60Under 46.5 1uBUF at BAL · under when rain in the forecast, a team looking ahead to a division game 240-187 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
CIN @ CARSun, Sep 29 13:00 ET	CAR +4.5o/u 47	CIN 34 at CAR 24CAR +4.5 closed · CIN covered
Model plays (1) 68CAR +4.5 1uCIN at CAR · model likes them by 1.0+, at home, more rest than the opponent, better record 57-36 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
CLE @ LVSun, Sep 29 16:25 ET	LV +2.5o/u 36.5	CLE 16 at LV 20LV +2.5 closed · LV covered
Model plays (1) 60Over 36.5 1uCLE at LV · over when in a dome, low total (41 or under) 116-78 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
DEN @ NYJSun, Sep 29 13:00 ET	NYJ -7.5o/u 39.5	DEN 10 at NYJ 9NYJ -7.5 closed · DEN covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
JAX @ HOUSun, Sep 29 13:00 ET	HOU -5.5o/u 44.5	JAX 20 at HOU 24HOU -5.5 closed · JAX covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
KC @ LACSun, Sep 29 16:25 ET	LAC +7.5o/u 41.5	KC 17 at LAC 10LAC +7.5 closed · LAC covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
LA @ CHISun, Sep 29 13:00 ET	CHI -3o/u 40	LA 18 at CHI 24CHI -3 closed · CHI covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
MIN @ GBSun, Sep 29 13:00 ET	GB -2.5o/u 44	MIN 31 at GB 29GB -2.5 closed · MIN covered
Model plays (1) 54Under 44 1uMIN at GB · under when windy 253-194 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
NE @ SFSun, Sep 29 16:05 ET	SF -10.5o/u 41.5	NE 13 at SF 30SF -10.5 closed · SF covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
NO @ ATLSun, Sep 29 13:00 ET	ATL -2.5o/u 41.5	NO 24 at ATL 26ATL -2.5 closed · NO covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
PHI @ TBSun, Sep 29 13:00 ET	TB +1o/u 42	PHI 16 at TB 33TB +1 closed · TB covered
Model plays (1) 56PHI -1 1uPHI at TB · model fades them by 0.5+, got blown out last week, worse QB, better coach 56-36 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
PIT @ INDSun, Sep 29 13:00 ET	IND +2.5o/u 40	PIT 24 at IND 27IND +2.5 closed · IND covered
Model plays (1) 63Over 40 1uPIT at IND · over when in a dome, low total (41 or under) 116-78 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
WAS @ ARISun, Sep 29 16:05 ET	ARI -3.5o/u 49	WAS 42 at ARI 14ARI -3.5 closed · WAS covered
Model plays (1) 71WAS +3.5 1uWAS at ARI · model likes them by 3.0+, on the road, better QB, high total (48+) 39-24 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
SEA @ DETMon, Sep 30 20:15 ET	DET -3.5o/u 46.5	SEA 29 at DET 42DET -3.5 closed · DET covered
Model plays (1) 67DET -3.5 1uSEA at DET · model fades them by 1.0+, on the road, blew someone out last week, in a dome 58-36 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
TEN @ MIAMon, Sep 30 19:30 ET	MIA -2.5o/u 37	TEN 31 at MIA 12MIA -2.5 closed · TEN covered
Model plays (1) 52Over 37 1uTEN at MIA · over when low total (41 or under), early season 230-188 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.