Game lines · 2025

NFL Week 11 Game Lines and Results, 2025

15 games, 13 plays, replayed walk-forward. Every number is open.

Game lines

Game	Line	Final
NYJ @ NEThu, Nov 13 20:15 ET	NE -12.5o/u 43.5	NYJ 14 at NE 27NE -12.5 closed · NE covered
Model plays (1) 56NYJ +12.5 1uNYJ at NE · model likes them by 0.5+, big underdog (7+), won last week, on turf 82-54 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
BAL @ CLESun, Nov 16 16:25 ET	CLE +7.5o/u 37.5	BAL 23 at CLE 16CLE +7.5 closed · CLE covered
Model plays (1) 64Under 37.5 1uBAL at CLE · under when windy, home team a big underdog 24-12 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
CAR @ ATLSun, Nov 16 13:00 ET	ATL -4.5o/u 42.5	CAR 30 at ATL 27ATL -4.5 closed · CAR covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
CHI @ MINSun, Nov 16 13:00 ET	MIN -3o/u 47.5	CHI 19 at MIN 17MIN -3 closed · CHI covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
CIN @ PITSun, Nov 16 13:00 ET	PIT -5.5o/u 48.5	CIN 12 at PIT 34PIT -5.5 closed · PIT covered
Model plays (2) 66Under 48.5 1uCIN at PIT · under when rain in the forecast, windy 101-66 62CIN +5.5 1uCIN at PIT · model fades them by 0.5+, favorite, got blown out last week, worse QB 71-45 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
DET @ PHISun, Nov 16 20:20 ET	PHI -2.5o/u 46.5	DET 9 at PHI 16PHI -2.5 closed · PHI covered
Model plays (2) 67Under 46.5 1uDET at PHI · under when rain in the forecast, windy 101-66 64DET +2.5 1uDET at PHI · model likes them by 0.5+, on the road, worse record, elite QB 95-63 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
GB @ NYGSun, Nov 16 13:00 ET	NYG +7.5o/u 41.5	GB 27 at NYG 20NYG +7.5 closed · NYG covered
Model plays (1) 65NYG +7.5 1uGB at NYG · model fades them by 1.0+, big favorite (7+), on the road, on turf 70-41 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
HOU @ TENSun, Nov 16 13:00 ET	TEN +5.5o/u 37.5	HOU 16 at TEN 13TEN +5.5 closed · TEN covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
KC @ DENSun, Nov 16 16:25 ET	DEN +3.5o/u 44.5	KC 19 at DEN 22DEN +3.5 closed · DEN covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
LAC @ JAXSun, Nov 16 13:00 ET	JAX +3o/u 43.5	LAC 6 at JAX 35JAX +3 closed · JAX covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
SEA @ LASun, Nov 16 16:05 ET	LA -3o/u 49.5	SEA 19 at LA 21LA -3 closed · SEA covered
Model plays (1) 52Under 49.5 1uSEA at LA · under when high total (48+), division game 205-166 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
SF @ ARISun, Nov 16 16:05 ET	ARI +3.5o/u 48.5	SF 41 at ARI 22ARI +3.5 closed · SF covered
Model plays (1) 52Under 48.5 1uSF at ARI · under when high total (48+), division game 205-166 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
TB @ BUFSun, Nov 16 13:00 ET	BUF -6o/u 46.5	TB 32 at BUF 44BUF -6 closed · BUF covered
Model plays (2) 77TB +6 3uTB at BUF · model fades them by 0.5+, at home, worse QB, elite QB 20-8 64Under 46.5 1uTB at BUF · under when rain in the forecast, windy 101-66 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
WAS @ MIASun, Nov 16 09:30 ET	MIA -2.5o/u 47.5	WAS 13 at MIA 16MIA -2.5 closed · MIA covered
Model plays (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.
DAL @ LVMon, Nov 17 20:15 ET	LV +3.5o/u 48.5	DAL 33 at LV 16LV +3.5 closed · DAL covered
Model plays (1) 58LV +3.5 1uDAL at LV · model fades them by 2.0+, more rest than the opponent, better record, in a dome 33-22 Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week.