Game lines · 2026

NFL Week 6 Game Lines and Results, 2026

14 games, 22 bets on the card. Every number is open.

Game lines

Game	Line	Our number	Final
CAR @ PHISun, Oct 18 13:00 ET	PHI +3o/u 39.5 · opened -6.5	PHI -4.6	CAR 25 at PHI 14PHI +3 closed · CAR coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) Dameon Pierce under 11.5 receiving yards 0.25uCAR at PHI · projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (5) Over 41.5 watchingbet score 50 (the v8 total) Bryce Young under 230.5 passing yards watchingprojection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only (contradicts the read) + bet score 60 (the grid, the story) (contradicts the read) Tetairoa McMillan under 5.5 catches watchingbet score 70 (player line, the grid, the story) (contradicts the read) Jalen Coker under 4.5 catches watchingbet score 66 (the grid, the story) (contradicts the read) PHI team total Over 17.5 watchingteam total test: our team total 2+ points off Bovada's posted team total (BEST_BETS_PROCESS phase 3; a test until 20+ graded picks hold up) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
NO @ NYGSun, Oct 18 13:00 ET	NYG +1.5o/u 46.5 · opened -2.5	NYG -2.8	NO 34 at NYG 27NYG +1.5 closed · NO coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (19) NYG -1.5 watchingclaude pass: script play + bet score 50 (the model's number) NYG +1.5 teased to +7.5 (6-pt) watchingPR-016: 6-point Wong teaser leg (legs 75.3% of 890, 2010-25; two legs at -120 or better) Over 45.5 watchingangle card, 4 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay); calm wind not counted, 1 left + bet score 52 (the v8 total) Home -1.5 watchingbet score 54 (an angle from the grid) (contradicts the read) NO -1.5 watchingbet score 52 (the opener model, the line moved) (contradicts the read) + angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay); calm wind not counted, 1 left (contradicts the read) Malik Nabers under 69.5 receiving yards watchingprojection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only (contradicts the read) + bet score 60 (player line) (contradicts the read) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree (contradicts the read) Chris Olave under 79.5 receiving yards watchingprojection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only (contradicts the read) + bet score 52 (the grid) (contradicts the read) Cam Skattebo over 57.5 rushing yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree (contradicts the read) + bet score 89 (player line, where the line misses, the story) (contradicts the read) Jameis Winston under 224.5 passing yards watchingbet score 60 (player line) (contradicts the read) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree (contradicts the read) Isaiah Likely over 49.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 65 (where the line misses, the story) Devaughn Vele under 4.5 catches watchingbet score 58 (the grid) (contradicts the read) Juwan Johnson over 42.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 88 (where the line misses, the grid, the story) Bryce Lance under 1.5 catches watchingbet score 58 (the grid) (contradicts the read) Malachi Fields under 2.5 catches watchingbet score 54 (the grid) Darnell Mooney under 1.5 catches watchingbet score 54 (the grid) Tyler Shough under 233.5 passing yards watchingbet score 50 (the grid) (contradicts the read) Noah Fant over 10.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 88 (where the line misses, the grid, the story) Alvin Kamara under 11.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 60 (the grid) Kendre Miller under 34.5 rushing yards watchingbet score 60 (the grid) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
SEA @ DENThu, Oct 15 20:15 ET	DEN +1.5o/u 40.5	DEN -2.5	SEA 14 at DEN 17DEN +2.5 closed · DEN coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (2) J.K. Dobbins under 47.5 rushing yards 2uSEA at DEN · spot rushing-yards under: 260-180 (59.1%) at the close 2023-25, every season 54.5%+; 19-10 in 2026 + bet score 100 (player line, the grid, the story) Over 40.5 0.25uSEA at DEN · claude pass: script play + bet score 50 (team history) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (11) Emanuel Wilson under 66.5 rushing yards watchingspot rushing-yards under: 260-180 (59.1%) at the close 2023-25, every season 54.5%+; 19-10 in 2026 + projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 77 (player line, the grid) Jaylen Waddle under 4.5 catches watchingprojection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 59 (the grid, the story) Tory Horton over 7.5 receiving yards watchingtiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role check DEN team total Over 19.5 watchingteam total test: our team total 2+ points off Bovada's posted team total (BEST_BETS_PROCESS phase 3; a test until 20+ graded picks hold up) RJ Harvey over 20.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Rashid Shaheed under 21.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 63 (player line, the story) Bo Nix under 34.5 pass attempts watchingprojection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only Marvin Mims Jr. under 13.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree + bet score 81 (player line, the story) George Holani under 1.5 catches watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree (contradicts the read) + bet score 100 (player line, the grid, the story) (contradicts the read) DEN +3 watchingbet score 56 (the model's number) Home -2.5 watchingbet score 54 (an angle from the grid) (contradicts the read) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
ARI @ LASun, Oct 18 16:05 ET	LA -12.5o/u 51.5 · opened -13.5	LA -10.2	ARI 18 at LA 16LA -12.5 closed · ARI coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (2) ARI +12.5 0.5uARI at LA · bet score 71 (an angle from the grid, the opener model, team history, the model's number, the line moved) (contradicts the read) + all-angles evidence +3.8 past luck (contradicts the read) Michael Wilson under 58.5 receiving yards 0.5uARI at LA · bet score 68 (player line, the grid) (contradicts the read) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (11) Over 51.5 watchingbet score 50 (the v8 total, team history) Trey McBride under 64.5 receiving yards watchingprojection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only (contradicts the read) LA team total Under 33.5 watchingteam total test: our team total 2+ points off Bovada's posted team total (BEST_BETS_PROCESS phase 3; a test until 20+ graded picks hold up) Tyler Higbee over 29.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree + bet score 82 (where the line misses, the grid, the story) Kyren Williams over 68.5 rushing yards watchingbet score 73 (where the line misses, the grid, the story) (contradicts the read) Blake Corum over 40.5 rushing yards watchingbet score 73 (where the line misses, the grid, the story) (contradicts the read) Puka Nacua under 92.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 58 (the grid) (contradicts the read) Davante Adams under 4.5 catches watchingbet score 58 (the grid) (contradicts the read) Kendrick Bourne under 35.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 58 (the grid) (contradicts the read) Jacoby Brissett under 242.5 passing yards watchingbet score 53 (where the line misses) (contradicts the read) Jalen Brooks under 19.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 80 (player line, the grid) (contradicts the read) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
BAL @ CLESun, Oct 18 13:00 ET	CLE +3o/u 39.5 · opened +6.5	CLE +0.8	BAL 10 at CLE 13CLE +3 closed · CLE coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) CLE +4.5 1.3uBAL at CLE · bet score 70 (an angle from the grid, the opener model, team history, the model's number, the line moved) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (2) Over 40.5 watchingbet score 50 (the v8 total) (contradicts the read) Mark Andrews under 32.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 54 (player line, the story) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
HOU @ JAXSun, Oct 18 09:30 ET	JAX -2.5o/u 42.5 · opened -1.5	JAX -4.7	HOU 34 at JAX 31JAX -2.5 closed · HOU coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) Under 42.5 0.25uHOU at JAX · claude pass: script play + gusts 20+ on Open-Meteo only: a test until NWS shows 20+ too + bet score 64 (a rule we registered) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (9) JAX -3 watchingbet score 57 (team history, the model's number, the line moved) Bhayshul Tuten under 1.5 catches watchingprojection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 64 (the grid, the story) Woody Marks under 2.5 catches watchingprojection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 60 (the grid, the story) (contradicts the read) HOU +2.5 teased to +8.5 (6-pt) watchingPR-016: 6-point Wong teaser leg (legs 75.3% of 890, 2010-25; two legs at -120 or better) Nico Collins over 5.5 catches watchingbet score 56 (player line, his history) Dalton Schultz over 29.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 57 (where the line misses) Away +2.5 watchingbet score 56 (an angle from the grid) (contradicts the read) Brenton Strange over 37.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 54 (where the line misses) (contradicts the read) Jakobi Meyers over 33.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 51 (player line) (contradicts the read) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
PIT @ TBSun, Oct 18 13:00 ET	TB +2.5o/u 38.5 · opened -1.5	TB +0.4	PIT 26 at TB 19TB +2.5 closed · PIT coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (3) TB +2.5 teased to +8.5 (6-pt) watchingPR-016: 6-point Wong teaser leg (legs 75.3% of 890, 2010-25; two legs at -120 or better) Pat Freiermuth under 35.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 50 (the grid) (contradicts the read) Darnell Washington under 21.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 50 (the grid) (contradicts the read) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
WAS @ SFMon, Oct 19 20:15 ET	SF -7.5o/u 51.5 · opened -5.5	SF -9.6	WAS 17 at SF 23SF -7.5 closed · WAS coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (2) SF -7.5 1uWAS at SF · bet score 58 (team history, the model's number, the line moved) Christian McCaffrey under 39.5 receiving yards 0.25uWAS at SF · projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + claude pass: claude's best + bet score 66 (the grid, the story) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (5) Over 50.5 watchingangle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay); calm wind not counted, 0 left (contradicts the read) + bet score 52 (the v8 total) (contradicts the read) SF -7.5 teased to -1.5 (6-pt) watchingPR-016: 6-point Wong teaser leg (legs 75.3% of 890, 2010-25; two legs at -120 or better) Terry McLaurin over 50 receiving yards watchingbet score 50 (his history) (contradicts the read) Austin Ekeler anytime TD watchinganytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026) Brock Purdy over 248.5 passing yards watchingclaude pass: script play Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
BUF @ LVSun, Oct 18 16:25 ET	LV +4.5o/u 53.5 · opened +6.5	LV +6.2	BUF 33 at LV 30LV +5.5 closed · LV coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) Under 53.5 0.25uBUF at LV · claude pass: script play + PR-015 test: top-8 passing game vs a bottom-8 pass defense, the under (150-109 2015-2025, 0 units) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (5) LV +5.5 watchingbet score 53 (the opener model, the line moved) (contradicts the read) Brock Bowers under 77.5 receiving yards watchingprojection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only (contradicts the read) Josh Allen under 33.5 rushing yards watchingbet score 60 (the grid) (contradicts the read) Michael Mayer under 3.5 catches watchingbet score 55 (player line) (contradicts the read) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree (contradicts the read) Kirk Cousins under 248.5 passing yards watchingbet score 59 (player line) (contradicts the read) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree (contradicts the read) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
CHI @ ATLSun, Oct 18 13:00 ET	ATL +1.5o/u 51.5 · opened +3	ATL PK	CHI 31 at ATL 23ATL +1.5 closed · CHI coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (2) Drake London under 6.5 catches 0.7uCHI at ATL · bet score 62 (player line, the grid) + 6'3"+ WR vs a defense beaten by tall receivers: catches under (59.9% of 434) Michael Penix Jr. over 236.5 passing yards 0.25uCHI at ATL · bet score 62 (player line, the story) (contradicts the read) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (13) ATL +3 watchingbet score 50 (the opener model, the model's number, the line moved) Over 49.5 watchingbet score 52 (the v8 total) (contradicts the read) CHI team total Under 26.5 watchingteam total test: our team total 2+ points off Bovada's posted team total (BEST_BETS_PROCESS phase 3; a test until 20+ graded picks hold up) ATL +2.5 teased to +8.5 (6-pt) watchingPR-016: 6-point Wong teaser leg (legs 75.3% of 890, 2010-25; two legs at -120 or better) Jahan Dotson under 1.5 catches watchingbet score 58 (the grid) Home -2.5 watchingbet score 56 (an angle from the grid) (contradicts the read) Luther Burden III under 4.5 catches watchingbet score 56 (the grid) Kalif Raymond under 2.5 catches watchingbet score 56 (the grid) Rome Odunze under 2.5 catches watchingbet score 56 (the grid) Zachariah Branch under 1.5 catches watchingbet score 58 (the grid) Colston Loveland under 3.5 catches watchingbet score 50 (player line) Kyle Pitts under 3.5 catches watchingbet score 50 (player line) Penix over 236.5 pass yds + London over 92.5 rec yds (story parlay) watchingPR-017: story parlay, two legs that move together, on a prop the card already holds Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
NYJ @ NESun, Oct 18 13:00 ET	NE -7.5o/u 43.5 · opened -9.5	NE -6.2	NYJ 19 at NE 26NE -7.5 closed · NYJ coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (2) Braelon Allen under 67.5 rushing yards 1uNYJ at NE · spot rushing-yards under: 260-180 (59.1%) at the close 2023-25, every season 54.5%+; 19-10 in 2026 (contradicts the read) + bet score 75 (player line, the grid, the story) (contradicts the read) Geno Smith under 220.5 passing yards 0.25uNYJ at NE · projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only (contradicts the read) + bet score 64 (where the line misses, the grid) (contradicts the read) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (7) NE -7.5 teased to -1.5 (6-pt) watchingPR-016: 6-point Wong teaser leg (legs 75.3% of 890, 2010-25; two legs at -120 or better) NYJ +7.5 watchingbet score 56 (team history, the model's number, the line moved) (contradicts the read) + all-angles evidence +10.8 past luck (contradicts the read) Home +7.5 watchingbet score 50 (an angle from the grid) (contradicts the read) Rhamondre Stevenson under 3.5 catches watchingprojection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only Over 43.5 watchingangle card, 4 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay); calm wind not counted, 0 left + bet score 52 (the v8 total) Hunter Henry over 34.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 66 (his history, where the line misses, the grid) Drake Maye anytime TD watchinganytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
LAC @ KCSun, Oct 18 16:25 ET	KC -7.5o/u 41.5 · opened -2.5	KC -8.2	LAC 6 at KC 22KC -7.5 closed · KC coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (2) Kenneth Walker III under 86.5 rushing yards 0.25uLAC at KC · projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only Patrick Mahomes under 1.5 passing touchdowns 0.25uLAC at KC · projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 53 (the grid, the story) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (4) KC -8.5 teased to -2.5 (6-pt) watchingPR-016: 6-point Wong teaser leg (legs 75.3% of 890, 2010-25; two legs at -120 or better) LAC +8.5 watchingall-angles evidence +3.0 past luck (contradicts the read) Omarion Hampton under 32.5 rushing yards watchingbet score 54 (the grid) Keaton Mitchell under 18.5 rushing yards watchingbet score 60 (the grid) (contradicts the read) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
TEN @ INDSun, Oct 18 13:00 ET	IND -7o/u 43.5 · opened -3.5	IND -7.2	TEN 26 at IND 20IND -6.5 closed · TEN coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (2) Tony Pollard under 50.5 rushing yards 2.3uTEN at IND · claude pass: claude's best + bet score 78 (player line, the grid, the story) Elic Ayomanor over 17.5 receiving yards 0.5uTEN at IND · claude pass: script play + bet score 70 (player line) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (6) Over 44.5 watchingclaude pass: script play + angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay); test: angle-card totals held until the re-mine; family on probation (season form) since 2026-10-06 + bet score 56 (the v8 total, team history) Cam Ward under 205.5 passing yards watchingbet score 72 (where the line misses, the grid) (contradicts the read) Carnell Tate under 4.5 catches watchingbet score 60 (the grid) (contradicts the read) Calvin Ridley over 12.5 receiving yards watchingclaude pass: claude's best + bet score 67 (player line) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Keenan Allen over 4.5 catches watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree (contradicts the read) Mo Alie-Cox anytime TD watchinganytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
DAL @ GBSun, Oct 18 20:20 ET	GB -1.5o/u 53.5 · opened -3	GB -1.6	DAL 13 at GB 23GB +1.5 closed · GB coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (4) Jordan Love over 272.5 passing yards 0.9uDAL at GB · bet score 65 (player line) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Jake Ferguson under 29.5 receiving yards 0.5uDAL at GB · projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only (contradicts the read) + bet score 68 (player line) (contradicts the read) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree (contradicts the read) Ryan Flournoy under 32.5 receiving yards 0.5uDAL at GB · bet score 71 (player line, the grid) (contradicts the read) MarShawn Lloyd under 40.5 rushing yards 0.25uDAL at GB · projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (8) DAL +1.5 teased to +7.5 (6-pt) watchingPR-016: 6-point Wong teaser leg (legs 75.3% of 890, 2010-25; two legs at -120 or better) Christian Watson under 4.5 catches watching6'3"+ WR vs a defense beaten by tall receivers: catches under (59.9% of 434) (contradicts the read) + bet score 57 (the grid) (contradicts the read) Dak Prescott under 276.5 passing yards watchingbet score 58 (the grid) (contradicts the read) CeeDee Lamb under 79.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 60 (the grid) (contradicts the read) George Pickens under 68.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 60 (the grid) (contradicts the read) Matthew Golden under 4.5 catches watchingbet score 57 (the grid) (contradicts the read) Javonte Williams under 70.5 rushing yards watchingbet score 62 (the grid) (contradicts the read) Away +1.5 watchingbet score 55 (an angle from the grid) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →

Market and our number as posted before kickoff; the closing line and cover show once a game settles. Triggers is how much we have on the game: click it.

Nothing graded yet; grades land after each week is played.

Model trends

163 fire in week 6. Thursday has 38. Logged before kickoff, graded after. The number is confidence, where 50 is a coin flip; the bright bar is this spot, the faded bar is everywhere else. Every card opens its game.

Cut it

The week's card and what fired, by email

The official card, graded 130 picks in 14 games

B Grade bets: 3-1 (+1.1u)C Grade bets: 1-6 (-3.1u)Small plays: 5-6 (+0.6u)Watching: 60-47

Every pick stamped before kickoff, graded at the price we posted.

TEN at IND0-2 (-2.8u)

B Grade, 2.3uTony Pollard under 50.5 rushing yards Bet score 78 (player line, the grid, the story)LOSS
C Grade, 0.5uElic Ayomanor over 17.5 receiving yards Bet score 70 (player line) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uOver 44.5 Angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay); test: angle-card totals held until the re-mine; family on probation (season form) since 2026-10-06 + bet score 56 (the v8 total, team history)WIN
Watching, 0uCam Ward under 205.5 passing yards Bet score 72 (where the line misses, the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uCarnell Tate under 4.5 catches Bet score 60 (the grid) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uCalvin Ridley over 12.5 receiving yards Bet score 67 (player line) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uKeenan Allen over 4.5 catches Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uMo Alie-Cox anytime TD Anytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026)WIN

SEA at DEN1-1 (+1.4u)

B Grade, 2uJ.K. Dobbins under 47.5 rushing yards Spot rushing-yards under: 260-180 (59.1%) at the close 2023-25, every season 54.5%+; 19-10 in 2026 + bet score 100 (player line, the grid, the story)WIN
Small play, 0.25uOver 40.5 Script play: bet score 50 (team history)LOSS
Watching, 0uEmanuel Wilson under 66.5 rushing yards Spot rushing-yards under: 260-180 (59.1%) at the close 2023-25, every season 54.5%+; 19-10 in 2026 + projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 77 (player line, the grid)WIN
Watching, 0uJaylen Waddle under 4.5 catches Projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 59 (the grid, the story)WIN
Watching, 0uTory Horton over 7.5 receiving yards Tiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role checkWIN
Watching, 0uDEN team total Over 19.5 Team total test: our team total 2+ points off Bovada's posted team total (BEST_BETS_PROCESS phase 3; a test until 20+ graded picks hold up)LOSS
Watching, 0uRJ Harvey over 20.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Watching, 0uRashid Shaheed under 21.5 receiving yards Bet score 63 (player line, the story)LOSS
Watching, 0uBo Nix under 34.5 pass attempts Projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyWIN
Watching, 0uMarvin Mims Jr. under 13.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree + bet score 81 (player line, the story)WIN
Watching, 0uGeorge Holani under 1.5 catches Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree (contradicts the read) + bet score 100 (player line, the grid, the story) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uDEN +3 Bet score 56 (the model's number)WIN
Watching, 0uHome -2.5 Bet score 54 (an angle from the grid) (contradicts the read)LOSS

BAL at CLE1-0 (+1.3u)

B Grade, 1.3uCLE +4.5 Bet score 70 (an angle from the grid, the opener model, team history, the model's number, the line moved)WIN
Watching, 0uOver 40.5 Bet score 50 (the v8 total) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uMark Andrews under 32.5 receiving yards Bet score 54 (player line, the story)WIN

ARI at LA2-0 (+0.9u)

B Grade, 0.5uARI +12.5 Bet score 71 (an angle from the grid, the opener model, team history, the model's number, the line moved) (contradicts the read) + all-angles evidence +3.8 past luck (contradicts the read)WIN
Small play, 0.5uMichael Wilson under 58.5 receiving yards Bet score 68 (player line, the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uOver 51.5 Bet score 50 (the v8 total, team history)LOSS
Watching, 0uTrey McBride under 64.5 receiving yards Projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uLA team total Under 33.5 Team total test: our team total 2+ points off Bovada's posted team total (BEST_BETS_PROCESS phase 3; a test until 20+ graded picks hold up)WIN
Watching, 0uTyler Higbee over 29.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree + bet score 82 (where the line misses, the grid, the story)LOSS
Watching, 0uKyren Williams over 68.5 rushing yards Bet score 73 (where the line misses, the grid, the story) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uBlake Corum over 40.5 rushing yards Bet score 73 (where the line misses, the grid, the story) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uPuka Nacua under 92.5 receiving yards Bet score 58 (the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uDavante Adams under 4.5 catches Bet score 58 (the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uKendrick Bourne under 35.5 receiving yards Bet score 58 (the grid) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uJacoby Brissett under 242.5 passing yards Bet score 53 (where the line misses) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uJalen Brooks under 19.5 receiving yards Bet score 80 (player line, the grid) (contradicts the read)LOSS

WAS at SF0-2 (-1.2u)

C Grade, 1uSF -7.5 Bet score 58 (team history, the model's number, the line moved)LOSS
Small play, 0.25uChristian McCaffrey under 39.5 receiving yards Early-week under: projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 66 (the grid, the story)LOSS
Watching, 0uOver 50.5 Angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay); calm wind not counted, 0 left (contradicts the read) + bet score 52 (the v8 total) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uSF -7.5 teased to -1.5 (6-pt) PR-016: 6-point Wong teaser leg (legs 75.3% of 890, 2010-25; two legs at -120 or better)WIN
Watching, 0uTerry McLaurin over 50 receiving yards Bet score 50 (his history) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uAustin Ekeler anytime TD Anytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026)LOSS
Watching, 0uBrock Purdy over 248.5 passing yards WIN

NYJ at NE0-2 (-1.2u)

C Grade, 1uBraelon Allen under 67.5 rushing yards Spot rushing-yards under: 260-180 (59.1%) at the close 2023-25, every season 54.5%+; 19-10 in 2026 (contradicts the read) + bet score 75 (player line, the grid, the story) (contradicts the read)LOSS
C Grade, 0.25uGeno Smith under 220.5 passing yards Projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only (contradicts the read) + bet score 64 (where the line misses, the grid) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uNE -7.5 teased to -1.5 (6-pt) PR-016: 6-point Wong teaser leg (legs 75.3% of 890, 2010-25; two legs at -120 or better)WIN
Watching, 0uNYJ +7.5 Bet score 56 (team history, the model's number, the line moved) (contradicts the read) + all-angles evidence +10.8 past luck (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uHome +7.5 Bet score 50 (an angle from the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uRhamondre Stevenson under 3.5 catches Projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyWIN
Watching, 0uOver 43.5 Angle card, 4 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay); calm wind not counted, 0 left + bet score 52 (the v8 total)WIN
Watching, 0uHunter Henry over 34.5 receiving yards Bet score 66 (his history, where the line misses, the grid)WIN
Watching, 0uDrake Maye anytime TD Anytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026)LOSS

DAL at GB3-1 (+0.9u)

C Grade, 0.5uJake Ferguson under 29.5 receiving yards Projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only (contradicts the read) + bet score 68 (player line) (contradicts the read) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree (contradicts the read)WIN
C Grade, 0.5uRyan Flournoy under 32.5 receiving yards Bet score 71 (player line, the grid) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Small play, 0.9uJordan Love over 272.5 passing yards Bet score 65 (player line) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Small play, 0.25uMarShawn Lloyd under 40.5 rushing yards Early-week under: projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyWIN
Watching, 0uDAL +1.5 teased to +7.5 (6-pt) PR-016: 6-point Wong teaser leg (legs 75.3% of 890, 2010-25; two legs at -120 or better)LOSS
Watching, 0uChristian Watson under 4.5 catches 6'3"+ WR vs a defense beaten by tall receivers: catches under (59.9% of 434) (contradicts the read) + bet score 57 (the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uDak Prescott under 276.5 passing yards Bet score 58 (the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uCeeDee Lamb under 79.5 receiving yards Bet score 60 (the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uGeorge Pickens under 68.5 receiving yards Bet score 60 (the grid) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uMatthew Golden under 4.5 catches Bet score 57 (the grid) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uJavonte Williams under 70.5 rushing yards Bet score 62 (the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uAway +1.5 Bet score 55 (an angle from the grid)LOSS

CHI at ATL1-1 (+0.2u)

C Grade, 0.25uMichael Penix Jr. over 236.5 passing yards Bet score 62 (player line, the story) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Small play, 0.7uDrake London under 6.5 catches Bet score 62 (player line, the grid) + 6'3"+ WR vs a defense beaten by tall receivers: catches under (59.9% of 434)WIN
Watching, 0uATL +3 Bet score 50 (the opener model, the model's number, the line moved)LOSS
Watching, 0uOver 49.5 Bet score 52 (the v8 total) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uCHI team total Under 26.5 Team total test: our team total 2+ points off Bovada's posted team total (BEST_BETS_PROCESS phase 3; a test until 20+ graded picks hold up)LOSS
Watching, 0uATL +2.5 teased to +8.5 (6-pt) PR-016: 6-point Wong teaser leg (legs 75.3% of 890, 2010-25; two legs at -120 or better)WIN
Watching, 0uJahan Dotson under 1.5 catches Bet score 58 (the grid)LOSS
Watching, 0uHome -2.5 Bet score 56 (an angle from the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uLuther Burden III under 4.5 catches Bet score 56 (the grid)LOSS
Watching, 0uKalif Raymond under 2.5 catches Bet score 56 (the grid)WIN
Watching, 0uRome Odunze under 2.5 catches Bet score 56 (the grid)LOSS
Watching, 0uZachariah Branch under 1.5 catches Bet score 58 (the grid)LOSS
Watching, 0uColston Loveland under 3.5 catches Bet score 50 (player line)LOSS
Watching, 0uKyle Pitts under 3.5 catches Bet score 50 (player line)LOSS
Watching, 0uPenix over 236.5 pass yds + London over 92.5 rec yds (story parlay) PR-017: story parlay, two legs that move together, on a prop the card already holdsLOSS

BUF at LV0-1 (-0.2u)

Small play, 0.25uUnder 53.5 Script play: PR-015 test: top-8 passing game vs a bottom-8 pass defense, the under (150-109 2015-2025, 0 units)LOSS
Watching, 0uLV +5.5 Bet score 53 (the opener model, the line moved) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uBrock Bowers under 77.5 receiving yards Projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uJosh Allen under 33.5 rushing yards Bet score 60 (the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uMichael Mayer under 3.5 catches Bet score 55 (player line) (contradicts the read) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uKirk Cousins under 248.5 passing yards Bet score 59 (player line) (contradicts the read) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree (contradicts the read)LOSS

LAC at KC1-1 (-0.0u)

Small play, 0.25uKenneth Walker III under 86.5 rushing yards Early-week under: projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyLOSS
Small play, 0.25uPatrick Mahomes under 1.5 passing touchdowns Early-week under: projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 53 (the grid, the story)WIN
Watching, 0uKC -8.5 teased to -2.5 (6-pt) PR-016: 6-point Wong teaser leg (legs 75.3% of 890, 2010-25; two legs at -120 or better)WIN
Watching, 0uLAC +8.5 All-angles evidence +3.0 past luck (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uOmarion Hampton under 32.5 rushing yards Bet score 54 (the grid)WIN
Watching, 0uKeaton Mitchell under 18.5 rushing yards Bet score 60 (the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN

HOU at JAX0-1 (-0.2u)

Small play, 0.25uUnder 42.5 Script play: gusts 20+ on Open-Meteo only: a test until NWS shows 20+ too + bet score 64 (a rule we registered)LOSS
Watching, 0uJAX -3 Bet score 57 (team history, the model's number, the line moved)LOSS
Watching, 0uBhayshul Tuten under 1.5 catches Projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 64 (the grid, the story)LOSS
Watching, 0uWoody Marks under 2.5 catches Projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 60 (the grid, the story) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uHOU +2.5 teased to +8.5 (6-pt) PR-016: 6-point Wong teaser leg (legs 75.3% of 890, 2010-25; two legs at -120 or better)WIN
Watching, 0uNico Collins over 5.5 catches Bet score 56 (player line, his history)LOSS
Watching, 0uDalton Schultz over 29.5 receiving yards Bet score 57 (where the line misses)WIN
Watching, 0uAway +2.5 Bet score 56 (an angle from the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uBrenton Strange over 37.5 receiving yards Bet score 54 (where the line misses) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uJakobi Meyers over 33.5 receiving yards Bet score 51 (player line) (contradicts the read)WIN

CAR at PHI0-1 (-0.2u)

Small play, 0.25uDameon Pierce under 11.5 receiving yards Early-week under: projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyLOSS
Watching, 0uOver 41.5 Bet score 50 (the v8 total)LOSS
Watching, 0uBryce Young under 230.5 passing yards Projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only (contradicts the read) + bet score 60 (the grid, the story) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uTetairoa McMillan under 5.5 catches Bet score 70 (player line, the grid, the story) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uJalen Coker under 4.5 catches Bet score 66 (the grid, the story) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uPHI team total Over 17.5 Team total test: our team total 2+ points off Bovada's posted team total (BEST_BETS_PROCESS phase 3; a test until 20+ graded picks hold up)LOSS

NO at NYGwatching only

Watching, 0uNYG -1.5 Bet score 50 (the model's number)LOSS
Watching, 0uNYG +1.5 teased to +7.5 (6-pt) PR-016: 6-point Wong teaser leg (legs 75.3% of 890, 2010-25; two legs at -120 or better)WIN
Watching, 0uOver 45.5 Angle card, 4 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay); calm wind not counted, 1 left + bet score 52 (the v8 total)WIN
Watching, 0uHome -1.5 Bet score 54 (an angle from the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uNO -1.5 Bet score 52 (the opener model, the line moved) (contradicts the read) + angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay); calm wind not counted, 1 left (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uMalik Nabers under 69.5 receiving yards Projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only (contradicts the read) + bet score 60 (player line) (contradicts the read) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uChris Olave under 79.5 receiving yards Projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only (contradicts the read) + bet score 52 (the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uCam Skattebo over 57.5 rushing yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree (contradicts the read) + bet score 89 (player line, where the line misses, the story) (contradicts the read)void
Watching, 0uJameis Winston under 224.5 passing yards Bet score 60 (player line) (contradicts the read) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uIsaiah Likely over 49.5 receiving yards Bet score 65 (where the line misses, the story)WIN
Watching, 0uDevaughn Vele under 4.5 catches Bet score 58 (the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uJuwan Johnson over 42.5 receiving yards Bet score 88 (where the line misses, the grid, the story)LOSS
Watching, 0uBryce Lance under 1.5 catches Bet score 58 (the grid) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uMalachi Fields under 2.5 catches Bet score 54 (the grid)WIN
Watching, 0uDarnell Mooney under 1.5 catches Bet score 54 (the grid)WIN
Watching, 0uTyler Shough under 233.5 passing yards Bet score 50 (the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uNoah Fant over 10.5 receiving yards Bet score 88 (where the line misses, the grid, the story)LOSS
Watching, 0uAlvin Kamara under 11.5 receiving yards Bet score 60 (the grid)LOSS
Watching, 0uKendre Miller under 34.5 rushing yards Bet score 60 (the grid)LOSS

PIT at TBwatching only

Watching, 0uTB +2.5 teased to +8.5 (6-pt) PR-016: 6-point Wong teaser leg (legs 75.3% of 890, 2010-25; two legs at -120 or better)WIN
Watching, 0uPat Freiermuth under 35.5 receiving yards Bet score 50 (the grid) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uDarnell Washington under 21.5 receiving yards Bet score 50 (the grid) (contradicts the read)LOSS

Thursday 1 game · 38 fire

Seahawks at BroncosThu 8:15 PM ET

player line

87RJ Harvey over 20.5 receiving yards (-120): 5 of 6 in prime time outdoors

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

5 of 14, 36% everywhere else

Over · RB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15SEA allows #6 to RBs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

player line

87RJ Harvey over 21.5 receiving yards (-110): 5 of 6 in prime time

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

4 of 14, 29% everywhere else

Over · RB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15SEA allows #6 to RBs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

player line

86Emanuel Wilson under 1.5 catches

30 of 37, 81% in this spot

30 of 37, 81% everywhere else

Under · RB · SEASEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15DEN allows #31 to RBs, 0.77x league ( vs a game)

player line

86Emanuel Wilson under 9.5 receiving yards

31 of 37, 84% in this spot

31 of 37, 84% everywhere else

Under · RB · SEASEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15DEN allows #29 to RBs, 0.82x league ( vs a game)

+ 34 more on this game

player line

86J.K. Dobbins under 46.5 rushing yards: 5 of 8 as an underdog

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

3 of 19, 16% everywhere else

Under · RB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15SEA allows #31 to RBs, 0.78x league ( vs a game)

player line

86J.K. Dobbins under 48.5 rushing yards: 5 of 8 as an underdog

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

3 of 19, 16% everywhere else

Under · RB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15SEA allows #31 to RBs, 0.78x league ( vs a game)

player line

86J.K. Dobbins under 47.5 rushing yards: 5 of 8 as an underdog

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

3 of 19, 16% everywhere else

Under · RB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15SEA allows #31 to RBs, 0.78x league ( vs a game)

player line

85J.K. Dobbins under 49.5 rushing yards: 5 of 8 as an underdog

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

4 of 19, 21% everywhere else

Under · RB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15SEA allows #31 to RBs, 0.78x league ( vs a game)

player line

84Marvin Mims Jr. under 13.5 receiving yards: 9 of 11 outdoors as an underdog

9 of 11, 82% in this spot

9 of 21, 43% everywhere else

Under · WR · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15SEA allows #32 to WRs, 0.77x league ( vs a game)

his history

84RJ Harvey has 5 of his last 6 games in prime time with over 20.5 receiving yards.hit (31)

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

5 of 14, 36% everywhere else

RB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15

his history

84RJ Harvey has 5 of his last 6 games in prime time with over 21.5 receiving yards.hit (31)

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

4 of 14, 29% everywhere else

RB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15

player line

81RJ Harvey over 19.5 receiving yards (-115): 5 of 6 in prime time

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

6 of 14, 43% everywhere else

Over · RB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15SEA allows #6 to RBs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

player line

79Marvin Mims Jr. under 11.5 receiving yards: 8 of 11 outdoors as an underdog

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

8 of 21, 38% everywhere else

Under · WR · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15SEA allows #32 to WRs, 0.77x league ( vs a game)

player line

79Marvin Mims Jr. under 10.5 receiving yards: 8 of 11 outdoors as an underdog

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

8 of 21, 38% everywhere else

Under · WR · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15SEA allows #32 to WRs, 0.77x league ( vs a game)

his history

77Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 10 of his last 10 games on the road with 50+ receiving yards.hit (134)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

18 of 28, 64% everywhere else

WR · SEASEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15

his history

77Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with over 6.5 catches.hit (12)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

9 of 27, 33% everywhere else

WR · SEASEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15

player line

74RJ Harvey over 3.5 catches (-110): 4 of 6 in prime time

4 of 6, 67% in this spot

5 of 14, 36% everywhere else

Over · RB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15SEA allows #2 to RBs, 1.33x league ( vs a game)

player line

72George Holani under 1.5 catches

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

8 of 10, 80% everywhere else

Under · RB · SEASEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15DEN allows #31 to RBs, 0.77x league ( vs a game)

his history

72Sam Darnold has 8 of his last 10 games on the road outdoors with over 1.5 passing touchdowns.missed (0)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

12 of 34, 35% everywhere else

QB · SEASEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15

player line

72George Holani under 9.5 receiving yards

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

8 of 10, 80% everywhere else

Under · RB · SEASEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15DEN allows #29 to RBs, 0.82x league ( vs a game)

player line

72George Holani under 8.5 receiving yards

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

8 of 10, 80% everywhere else

Under · RB · SEASEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15DEN allows #29 to RBs, 0.82x league ( vs a game)

player line

72George Holani under 10.5 receiving yards

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

8 of 10, 80% everywhere else

Under · RB · SEASEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15DEN allows #29 to RBs, 0.82x league ( vs a game)

team history

70The Broncos have gone over 7 of 9 at home when our model likes themmissed

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

20 of 47, 43% everywhere else

DEN

player line

63Emanuel Wilson under 66.5 rushing yards: 7 of 7 in prime time as a favorite

7 of 7, 100% in this spot

25 of 30, 83% everywhere else

Under · RB · SEASEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15DEN allows #27 to RBs, 0.85x league ( vs a game)

player line

63Emanuel Wilson under 67.5 rushing yards: 7 of 7 in prime time as a favorite

7 of 7, 100% in this spot

25 of 30, 83% everywhere else

Under · RB · SEASEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15DEN allows #27 to RBs, 0.85x league ( vs a game)

player line

63Emanuel Wilson under 65.5 rushing yards: 7 of 7 in prime time as a favorite

7 of 7, 100% in this spot

25 of 30, 83% everywhere else

Under · RB · SEASEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15DEN allows #27 to RBs, 0.85x league ( vs a game)

team history

63The Seahawks have gone over 6 of 8 with a total of 41 or undermissed

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

22 of 49, 45% everywhere else

SEA

player line

62J.K. Dobbins over 3.5 receiving yards (-115): 10 of 13 at home

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

9 of 14, 64% everywhere else

Over · RB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15SEA allows #6 to RBs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

his history

62Bo Nix has 8 of his last 10 games outdoors as an underdog with over 197.5 passing yards.missed (107)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

15 of 26, 58% everywhere else

QB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15

his history

59J.K. Dobbins has 8 of his last 10 games at home with over 46.5 rushing yards.missed (41)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

11 of 18, 61% everywhere else

RB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15

his history

59Bo Nix has 8 of his last 10 games outdoors as an underdog with over 203.5 passing yards.missed (107)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

15 of 25, 60% everywhere else

QB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15

his history

59J.K. Dobbins has 8 of his last 10 games at home with over 48.5 rushing yards.missed (41)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

11 of 18, 61% everywhere else

RB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15

his history

59Bo Nix has 8 of his last 10 games outdoors as an underdog with over 200.5 passing yards.missed (107)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

15 of 25, 60% everywhere else

QB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15

his history

59J.K. Dobbins has 8 of his last 10 games at home with over 47.5 rushing yards.missed (41)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

11 of 18, 61% everywhere else

RB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15

his history

59Bo Nix has 8 of his last 10 games outdoors as an underdog with over 199.5 passing yards.missed (107)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

15 of 25, 60% everywhere else

QB · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15

player line

57Troy Franklin under 2.5 catches: 10 of 14 as an underdog

10 of 14, 71% in this spot

11 of 22, 50% everywhere else

Under · WR · DENSEA at DEN, Thu, Oct 15SEA allows #28 to WRs, 0.9x league ( vs a game)

team history

52The Seahawks have covered 7 of 10 on the road after a lossmissed

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

20 of 42, 48% everywhere else

SEA

team history

52The Broncos have covered 7 of 10 at home when our model likes themhit

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

22 of 46, 48% everywhere else

DEN

Sunday early 8 games · 61 fire

Texans at JaguarsSun 9:30 AM ET

his history

80Nico Collins has 8 of his last 10 games in division games with over 74.5 receiving yards.missed (74)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

13 of 37, 35% everywhere else

WR · HOUHOU at JAX, Sun, Oct 18

his history

80Nico Collins has 8 of his last 10 games in division games with over 73.5 receiving yards.hit (74)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

13 of 37, 35% everywhere else

WR · HOUHOU at JAX, Sun, Oct 18

player line

72Nico Collins over 5.5 catches (-135): 4 of 6 in division games on the road

4 of 6, 67% in this spot

7 of 23, 30% everywhere else

Over · WR · HOUHOU at JAX, Sun, Oct 18JAX allows #3 to WRs, 1.14x league ( vs a game)

his history

65Xavier Hutchinson has 8 of his last 10 games in division games with over 14.5 receiving yards.missed (10)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

14 of 30, 47% everywhere else

WR · HOUHOU at JAX, Sun, Oct 18

+ 3 more on this game

team history

62The Jaguars have covered 14 of 18 in a division gamemissed

14 of 18, 78% in this spot

20 of 38, 53% everywhere else

JAX

player line

61Woody Marks under 49.5 rushing yards

13 of 20, 65% in this spot

13 of 20, 65% everywhere else

Under · RB · HOUHOU at JAX, Sun, Oct 18JAX allows #32 to RBs, 0.68x league ( vs a game)

player line

61Woody Marks under 46.5 rushing yards

12 of 20, 60% in this spot

12 of 20, 60% everywhere else

Under · RB · HOUHOU at JAX, Sun, Oct 18JAX allows #32 to RBs, 0.68x league ( vs a game)

Ravens at BrownsSun 1:00 PM ET

his history

77Derrick Henry has 10 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.hit (58)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

17 of 27, 63% everywhere else

RB · BALBAL at CLE, Sun, Oct 18

his history

72Zay Flowers has 9 of his last 10 games outdoors as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.hit (66)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

7 of 14, 50% everywhere else

WR · BALBAL at CLE, Sun, Oct 18

his history

72Quinshon Judkins has 6 of his last 7 games at home as an underdog with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

4 of 11, 36% everywhere else

RB · CLEBAL at CLE, Sun, Oct 18

team history

72The Browns have covered 8 of 10 at home in a division gamehit

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

16 of 44, 36% everywhere else

CLE

+ 4 more on this game

his history

70Derrick Henry has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with over 88.5 rushing yards.missed (58)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

16 of 35, 46% everywhere else

RB · BALBAL at CLE, Sun, Oct 18

team history

66The Browns have gone under 9 of 12 at home when our model likes themhit

9 of 12, 75% in this spot

18 of 43, 42% everywhere else

CLE

player line

64Harold Fannin Jr. under 4.5 catches: 7 of 9 at home as an underdog

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

6 of 12, 50% everywhere else

Under · TE · CLEBAL at CLE, Sun, Oct 18BAL allows #26 to TEs, 0.89x league ( vs a game)

player line

62Harold Fannin Jr. under 40.5 receiving yards: 6 of 9 at home as an underdog

6 of 9, 67% in this spot

5 of 12, 42% everywhere else

Under · TE · CLEBAL at CLE, Sun, Oct 18BAL allows #25 to TEs, 0.84x league ( vs a game)

Panthers at EaglesSun 1:00 PM ET

team history

74The Panthers have gone under 12 of 17 with a total of 41 or underhit

12 of 17, 71% in this spot

15 of 37, 40% everywhere else

CAR

his history

72Jalen Hurts has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 2+ passing touchdowns.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

9 of 35, 26% everywhere else

QB · PHICAR at PHI, Sun, Oct 18

team history

64The Eagles have gone under 6 of 8 as a home favorite after a losshit

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

38 of 82, 46% everywhere else

PHI

team history

60The Eagles have gone over 7 of 9 with a total of 41 or undermissed

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

39 of 81, 48% everywhere else

PHI

+ 2 more on this game

team history

57The Eagles have gone under 7 of 10 as an underdoghit

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

23 of 46, 50% everywhere else

PHI

team history

52The Eagles have covered 6 of 8 as an underdog outdoorsmissed

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

23 of 46, 50% everywhere else

PHI

Bears at FalconsSun 1:00 PM ET

team history

76The Falcons have gone under 16 of 21 when our model likes themmissed

16 of 21, 76% in this spot

15 of 35, 43% everywhere else

ATL

his history

68Drake London has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ receiving yards.hit (62)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

19 of 34, 56% everywhere else

WR · ATLCHI at ATL, Sun, Oct 18

team history

54The Falcons have gone under 6 of 8 as a home underdogmissed

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

25 of 48, 52% everywhere else

ATL

his history

50D'Andre Swift has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with 50+ rushing yards.missed (44)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

23 of 36, 64% everywhere else

RB · CHICHI at ATL, Sun, Oct 18

Saints at GiantsSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

80Cam Skattebo over 57.5 rushing yards (-115): 6 of 6 at home

6 of 6, 100% in this spot

2 of 6, 33% everywhere else

Over · RB · NYGNO at NYG, Sun, Oct 18NO allows #5 to RBs, 1.16x league ( vs a game)

player line

80Cam Skattebo over 58.5 rushing yards (-115): 5 of 6 at home

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

2 of 6, 33% everywhere else

Over · RB · NYGNO at NYG, Sun, Oct 18NO allows #5 to RBs, 1.16x league ( vs a game)

player line

56Jameis Winston under 224.5 passing yards: 7 of 10 at home

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

4 of 7, 57% everywhere else

Under · QB · NYGNO at NYG, Sun, Oct 18NO allows #28 to QBs, 0.89x league ( vs a game)

player line

56Jameis Winston under 225.5 passing yards: 7 of 10 at home

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

4 of 7, 57% everywhere else

Under · QB · NYGNO at NYG, Sun, Oct 18NO allows #28 to QBs, 0.89x league ( vs a game)

+ 1 more on this game

player line

53Malik Nabers under 71.5 receiving yards

15 of 23, 65% in this spot

15 of 23, 65% everywhere else

Under · WR · NYGNO at NYG, Sun, Oct 18NO allows #28 to WRs, 0.86x league ( vs a game)

Jets at PatriotsSun 1:00 PM ET

his history

72TreVeyon Henderson has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.missed (31)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

2 of 8, 25% everywhere else

RB · NENYJ at NE, Sun, Oct 18

team history

70The Jets have covered 6 of 8 as a road underdog when our model likes themhit

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

16 of 46, 35% everywhere else

NYJ

his history

68Hunter Henry has 8 of his last 10 games at home with over 34.5 receiving yards.hit (48)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

15 of 34, 44% everywhere else

TE · NENYJ at NE, Sun, Oct 18

player line

58Rhamondre Stevenson under 3.5 catches: 6 of 6 at home as a favorite

6 of 6, 100% in this spot

20 of 27, 74% everywhere else

Under · RB · NENYJ at NE, Sun, Oct 18NYJ allows #24 to RBs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

+ 2 more on this game

player line

54Braelon Allen under 67.5 rushing yards: 14 of 14 as an underdog

14 of 14, 100% in this spot

11 of 12, 92% everywhere else

Under · RB · NYJNYJ at NE, Sun, Oct 18NE allows #28 to RBs, 0.83x league ( vs a game)

player line

53Geno Smith under 8.5 rushing yards: 7 of 10 on the road outdoors

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

14 of 27, 52% everywhere else

Under · QB · NYJNYJ at NE, Sun, Oct 18NE allows #26 to QBs, 0.84x league ( vs a game)

Steelers at BuccaneersSun 1:00 PM ET

his history

80Emeka Egbuka has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with over 3.5 catches.hit (7)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

5 of 12, 42% everywhere else

WR · TBPIT at TB, Sun, Oct 18

player line

75Cade Otton over 31.5 receiving yards (-110): 12 of 16 at home outdoors

12 of 16, 75% in this spot

6 of 17, 35% everywhere else

Over · TE · TBPIT at TB, Sun, Oct 18PIT allows #8 to TEs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

player line

74Emeka Egbuka over 36.5 receiving yards (-110): 5 of 6 outdoors as an underdog

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

7 of 15, 47% everywhere else

Over · WR · TBPIT at TB, Sun, Oct 18PIT allows #7 to WRs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

player line

73Emeka Egbuka over 3.5 catches (-145): 5 of 6 outdoors as an underdog

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

7 of 15, 47% everywhere else

Over · WR · TBPIT at TB, Sun, Oct 18PIT allows #5 to WRs, 1.1x league ( vs a game)

+ 9 more on this game

player line

72Rico Dowdle over 9.5 receiving yards (-115)

23 of 35, 66% in this spot

23 of 35, 66% everywhere else

Over · RB · PITPIT at TB, Sun, Oct 18TB allows #1 to RBs, 1.5x league ( vs a game)

his history

71Emeka Egbuka has 5 of his last 6 games outdoors as an underdog with over 36.5 receiving yards.hit (48)

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

7 of 15, 47% everywhere else

WR · TBPIT at TB, Sun, Oct 18

player line

70Chris Godwin over 28.5 receiving yards (-110)

15 of 21, 71% in this spot

15 of 21, 71% everywhere else

Over · WR · TBPIT at TB, Sun, Oct 18PIT allows #7 to WRs, 1.12x league ( vs a game)

his history

70Bucky Irving has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.missed (46)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

7 of 13, 54% everywhere else

RB · TBPIT at TB, Sun, Oct 18

player line

68Chris Godwin over 29.5 receiving yards (-110)

14 of 20, 70% in this spot

14 of 20, 70% everywhere else

Over · WR · TBPIT at TB, Sun, Oct 18PIT allows #7 to WRs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

player line

68Rico Dowdle over 1.5 catches (-145)

24 of 35, 69% in this spot

24 of 35, 69% everywhere else

Over · RB · PITPIT at TB, Sun, Oct 18TB allows #8 to RBs, 1.12x league ( vs a game)

player line

62Chris Godwin over 3.5 catches (+120)

13 of 20, 65% in this spot

13 of 20, 65% everywhere else

Over · WR · TBPIT at TB, Sun, Oct 18PIT allows #5 to WRs, 1.1x league ( vs a game)

team history

58The Buccaneers have gone under 6 of 8 outdoors with a total of 41 or undermissed

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

22 of 48, 46% everywhere else

player line

57Aaron Rodgers over 227.5 passing yards (-115): 9 of 15 on the road outdoors

9 of 15, 60% in this spot

9 of 23, 39% everywhere else

Over · QB · PITPIT at TB, Sun, Oct 18TB allows #7 to QBs, 1.1x league ( vs a game)

Titans at ColtsSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

79Keenan Allen over 4.5 catches (+120): 10 of 13 in division games

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

9 of 23, 39% everywhere else

Over · WR · INDTEN at IND, Sun, Oct 18TEN allows #5 to WRs, 1.11x league ( vs a game)

team history

77The Titans have gone over 12 of 15 as an underdog of 7 or morehit

12 of 15, 80% in this spot

16 of 41, 39% everywhere else

TEN

player line

74Wan'dale Robinson over 3.5 catches (-160)

28 of 37, 76% in this spot

28 of 37, 76% everywhere else

Over · WR · TENTEN at IND, Sun, Oct 18IND allows #2 to WRs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

player line

72Elic Ayomanor over 16.5 receiving yards (-110)

15 of 21, 71% in this spot

15 of 21, 71% everywhere else

Over · WR · TENTEN at IND, Sun, Oct 18IND allows #4 to WRs, 1.18x league ( vs a game)

+ 8 more on this game

player line

70Elic Ayomanor over 15.5 receiving yards (-115)

14 of 20, 70% in this spot

14 of 20, 70% everywhere else

Over · WR · TENTEN at IND, Sun, Oct 18IND allows #3 to WRs, 1.2x league ( vs a game)

player line

68Calvin Ridley over 12.5 receiving yards (-120): 20 of 22 as an underdog

20 of 22, 91% in this spot

4 of 6, 67% everywhere else

Over · WR · TENTEN at IND, Sun, Oct 18IND allows #4 to WRs, 1.18x league ( vs a game)

team history

68The Colts have gone over 7 of 8 as a favorite in a division gamehit

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

26 of 48, 54% everywhere else

IND

player line

64Elic Ayomanor over 17.5 receiving yards (-115)

13 of 20, 65% in this spot

13 of 20, 65% everywhere else

Over · WR · TENTEN at IND, Sun, Oct 18IND allows #3 to WRs, 1.2x league ( vs a game)

player line

58Jonathan Taylor under 2.5 catches: 8 of 11 in division games

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

12 of 24, 50% everywhere else

Under · RB · INDTEN at IND, Sun, Oct 18TEN allows #30 to RBs, 0.78x league ( vs a game)

his history

58Wan'Dale Robinson has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with over 4.5 catches.missed (3)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

15 of 28, 54% everywhere else

WR · TENTEN at IND, Sun, Oct 18

his history

54Keenan Allen has 8 of his last 10 games in division games with over 4.5 catches.hit (8)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

24 of 39, 62% everywhere else

WR · INDTEN at IND, Sun, Oct 18

his history

51Jonathan Taylor has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.hit (94)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

22 of 31, 71% everywhere else

RB · INDTEN at IND, Sun, Oct 18

Sunday late 4 games · 41 fire

Cardinals at RamsSun 4:05 PM ET

player line

86Davis Allen over 6.5 receiving yards (-120): 10 of 13 indoors as a favorite

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

5 of 13, 38% everywhere else

Over · TE · LAARI at LA, Sun, Oct 18ARI allows #2 to TEs, 1.3x league ( vs a game)

player line

83Davis Allen over 0.5 catches (-245): 17 of 20 as a favorite

17 of 20, 85% in this spot

3 of 6, 50% everywhere else

Over · TE · LAARI at LA, Sun, Oct 18ARI allows #4 to TEs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

player line

82Davis Allen over 7.5 receiving yards (-115): 8 of 12 indoors as a favorite

8 of 12, 67% in this spot

4 of 13, 31% everywhere else

Over · TE · LAARI at LA, Sun, Oct 18ARI allows #3 to TEs, 1.28x league ( vs a game)

his history

77Jacoby Brissett has 9 of his last 10 games on the road with 2+ passing touchdowns.missed (0)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

4 of 19, 21% everywhere else

QB · ARIARI at LA, Sun, Oct 18

+ 11 more on this game

his history

77Trey McBride has 9 of his last 10 games on the road with 6+ catches.hit (7)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

14 of 29, 48% everywhere else

TE · ARIARI at LA, Sun, Oct 18

his history

77Trey McBride has 8 of his last 10 games on the road as an underdog with a receiving touchdown.missed (0)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

6 of 33, 18% everywhere else

TE · ARIARI at LA, Sun, Oct 18

his history

72Michael Wilson has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.missed (32)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

3 of 10, 30% everywhere else

WR · ARIARI at LA, Sun, Oct 18

team history

72The Cardinals have gone over 19 of 26 indoors after a lossmissed

19 of 26, 73% in this spot

12 of 29, 41% everywhere else

ARI

team history

72The Cardinals have gone under 7 of 10 on the road indoorshit

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

17 of 45, 38% everywhere else

ARI

team history

70The Rams have gone under 9 of 12 as a home favorite after a losshit

9 of 12, 75% in this spot

36 of 78, 46% everywhere else

team history

68The Rams have gone under 10 of 14 as a home favorite with a total of 48 or higherhit

10 of 14, 71% in this spot

35 of 76, 46% everywhere else

team history

66The Rams have gone under 8 of 11 with a total of 48 or higher after a losshit

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

37 of 79, 47% everywhere else

player line

64Matthew Stafford under 0.5 rushing yards: 18 of 24 indoors

18 of 24, 75% in this spot

8 of 14, 57% everywhere else

Under · QB · LAARI at LA, Sun, Oct 18ARI allows #32 to QBs, 0.59x league ( vs a game)

player line

64Jacoby Brissett over 6.5 rushing yards (-115): 8 of 12 indoors as an underdog

8 of 12, 67% in this spot

6 of 14, 43% everywhere else

Over · QB · ARIARI at LA, Sun, Oct 18LA allows #7 to QBs, 1.16x league ( vs a game)

team history

54The Cardinals have covered 7 of 10 on the road indoorshit

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

21 of 46, 46% everywhere else

ARI

Bills at RaidersSun 4:25 PM ET

player line

78Brock Bowers under 77.5 receiving yards: 16 of 21 indoors

16 of 21, 76% in this spot

5 of 10, 50% everywhere else

Under · TE · LVBUF at LV, Sun, Oct 18BUF allows #31 to TEs, 0.65x league ( vs a game)

player line

78Brock Bowers under 78.5 receiving yards: 16 of 21 indoors

16 of 21, 76% in this spot

5 of 10, 50% everywhere else

Under · TE · LVBUF at LV, Sun, Oct 18BUF allows #31 to TEs, 0.65x league ( vs a game)

his history

70James Cook has 9 of his last 10 games on the road with 50+ rushing yards.hit (95)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

20 of 37, 54% everywhere else

RB · BUFBUF at LV, Sun, Oct 18

player line

70Michael Mayer under 3.5 catches

21 of 28, 75% in this spot

21 of 28, 75% everywhere else

Under · TE · LVBUF at LV, Sun, Oct 18BUF allows #32 to TEs, 0.66x league ( vs a game)

+ 5 more on this game

player line

70Dalton Kincaid under 49.5 receiving yards

22 of 30, 73% in this spot

22 of 30, 73% everywhere else

Under · TE · BUFBUF at LV, Sun, Oct 18LV allows #27 to TEs, 0.8x league ( vs a game)

player line

66Brock Bowers under 6.5 catches: 11 of 15 at home

11 of 15, 73% in this spot

9 of 16, 56% everywhere else

Under · TE · LVBUF at LV, Sun, Oct 18BUF allows #32 to TEs, 0.62x league ( vs a game)

player line

58Dalton Kincaid under 4.5 catches: 18 of 23 as a favorite

18 of 23, 78% in this spot

4 of 6, 67% everywhere else

Under · TE · BUFBUF at LV, Sun, Oct 18LV allows #27 to TEs, 0.84x league ( vs a game)

player line

56Kirk Cousins under 248.5 passing yards: 12 of 14 at home indoors

12 of 14, 86% in this spot

10 of 15, 67% everywhere else

Under · QB · LVBUF at LV, Sun, Oct 18BUF allows #30 to QBs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

team history

50The Raiders have gone under 7 of 10 with extra restmissed

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

23 of 46, 50% everywhere else

Chargers at ChiefsSun 4:25 PM ET

player line

84Kenneth Walker under 23.5 receiving yards: 14 of 20 as a favorite

14 of 20, 70% in this spot

4 of 12, 33% everywhere else

Under · RB · KCLAC at KC, Sun, Oct 18LAC allows #29 to RBs, 0.8x league ( vs a game)

player line

84Kenneth Walker under 22.5 receiving yards: 14 of 20 as a favorite

14 of 20, 70% in this spot

4 of 12, 33% everywhere else

Under · RB · KCLAC at KC, Sun, Oct 18LAC allows #29 to RBs, 0.8x league ( vs a game)

his history

77Patrick Mahomes has 10 of his last 10 games at home as a favorite with over 14.5 rushing yards.hit (16)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

18 of 35, 51% everywhere else

QB · KCLAC at KC, Sun, Oct 18

his history

77Patrick Mahomes has 9 of his last 10 games at home as a favorite with over 15.5 rushing yards.hit (16)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

18 of 35, 51% everywhere else

QB · KCLAC at KC, Sun, Oct 18

+ 7 more on this game

player line

76Kenneth Walker under 3.5 catches: 17 of 20 as a favorite

17 of 20, 85% in this spot

7 of 12, 58% everywhere else

Under · RB · KCLAC at KC, Sun, Oct 18LAC allows #27 to RBs, 0.82x league ( vs a game)

team history

72The Chiefs have gone under 11 of 14 in a division game with extra resthit

11 of 14, 79% in this spot

63 of 122, 52% everywhere else

team history

70The Chiefs have gone under 16 of 22 as a home favorite in a division gamehit

16 of 22, 73% in this spot

58 of 114, 51% everywhere else

team history

68The Chargers have gone under 7 of 8 as a road underdog outdoorshit

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

28 of 48, 58% everywhere else

LAC

team history

61The Chiefs have gone under 8 of 11 as a home favorite with extra resthit

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

66 of 125, 53% everywhere else

team history

60The Chargers have gone under 7 of 9 as an underdog in a division gamehit

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

28 of 47, 60% everywhere else

LAC

his history

54Justin Herbert has 10 of his last 10 games in division games with over 0.5 passing touchdowns.missed (0)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

38 of 46, 83% everywhere else

QB · LACLAC at KC, Sun, Oct 18

Cowboys at PackersSun 8:20 PM ET

player line

78Jordan Love over 272.5 passing yards (-115): 5 of 8 in prime time as a favorite

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

6 of 27, 22% everywhere else

Over · QB · GBDAL at GB, Sun, Oct 18DAL allows #3 to QBs, 1.14x league ( vs a game)

player line

78Jordan Love over 270.5 passing yards (-115): 5 of 8 in prime time as a favorite

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

6 of 27, 22% everywhere else

Over · QB · GBDAL at GB, Sun, Oct 18DAL allows #3 to QBs, 1.14x league ( vs a game)

his history

73CeeDee Lamb has 9 of his last 10 games as an underdog with over 5.5 catches.hit (9)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

21 of 38, 55% everywhere else

WR · DALDAL at GB, Sun, Oct 18

his history

69Javonte Williams has 8 of his last 10 games in prime time with 50+ rushing yards.missed (41)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

16 of 37, 43% everywhere else

RB · DALDAL at GB, Sun, Oct 18

+ 2 more on this game

player line

63Jake Ferguson under 26.5 receiving yards: 6 of 8 outdoors as an underdog

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

12 of 27, 44% everywhere else

Under · TE · DALDAL at GB, Sun, Oct 18GB allows #29 to TEs, 0.8x league ( vs a game)

his history

63CeeDee Lamb has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with over 80.5 receiving yards.missed (70)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

20 of 38, 53% everywhere else

WR · DALDAL at GB, Sun, Oct 18

Monday 1 game · 14 fire

Commanders at 49ersMon 8:15 PM ET

player line

82George Kittle over 62.5 receiving yards (-115): 14 of 22 as a favorite

14 of 22, 64% in this spot

3 of 9, 33% everywhere else

Over · TE · SFWAS at SF, Mon, Oct 19WAS allows #6 to TEs, 1.2x league ( vs a game)

his history

81George Kittle has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with over 63.5 receiving yards.hit (69)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 10, 40% everywhere else

TE · SFWAS at SF, Mon, Oct 19

his history

81George Kittle has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with over 62.5 receiving yards.hit (69)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 10, 40% everywhere else

TE · SFWAS at SF, Mon, Oct 19

team history

81The 49ers have gone over 17 of 21 outdoors when our model likes themmissed

17 of 21, 81% in this spot

24 of 50, 48% everywhere else

+ 10 more on this game

player line

79Jayden Daniels under 36.5 rushing yards: 5 of 7 on the road outdoors

5 of 7, 71% in this spot

5 of 19, 26% everywhere else

Under · QB · WASWAS at SF, Mon, Oct 19SF allows #30 to QBs, 0.68x league ( vs a game)

his history

76George Kittle has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with over 64.5 receiving yards.hit (69)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 9, 44% everywhere else

TE · SFWAS at SF, Mon, Oct 19

team history

75The 49ers have gone over 20 of 27 when our model likes themmissed

20 of 27, 74% in this spot

21 of 44, 48% everywhere else

his history

72Christian McCaffrey has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with a rushing touchdown.hit (2)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

2 of 12, 17% everywhere else

RB · SFWAS at SF, Mon, Oct 19

player line

69Christian McCaffrey under 4.5 catches: 6 of 10 at home as a favorite

6 of 10, 60% in this spot

4 of 15, 27% everywhere else

Under · RB · SFWAS at SF, Mon, Oct 19WAS allows #29 to RBs, 0.8x league ( vs a game)

player line

66Rachaad White over 1.5 catches (-170): 9 of 10 outdoors as an underdog

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

16 of 25, 64% everywhere else

Over · RB · WASWAS at SF, Mon, Oct 19SF allows #1 to RBs, 1.38x league ( vs a game)

team history

66The Commanders have gone over 20 of 28 as an underdog outdoorsmissed

20 of 28, 71% in this spot

15 of 28, 54% everywhere else

WAS

team history

64The Commanders have gone over 18 of 25 outdoors after a lossmissed

18 of 25, 72% in this spot

17 of 31, 55% everywhere else

WAS

team history

62The 49ers have covered 14 of 19 as a favorite in prime timemissed

14 of 19, 74% in this spot

26 of 54, 48% everywhere else

his history

51Terry McLaurin has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.missed (27)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

16 of 27, 59% everywhere else

WR · WASWAS at SF, Mon, Oct 19

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NFL Week 6 Game Lines and Results, 2026

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On the card (1)

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Model trends

The official card, graded 130 picks in 14 games

Thursday 1 game · 38 fire

Sunday early 8 games · 61 fire

Sunday late 4 games · 41 fire

Monday 1 game · 14 fire

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