Game lines · 2026

NFL Week 10 Game Lines and Plays, 2026

14 games, 0 bets on the card, 0 of 14 played.

Game lines

Game	Line	Our number	Final
NE @ DETSun, Nov 15 09:30 ET	DET +1.5o/u 51.5 · opened -1.5	DET -1.1	See the matchup →
0 on the card, 0 prop spots on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
WAS @ NYGThu, Nov 12 20:15 ET	NYG -1.5o/u 43.5	—	See the matchup →
0 on the card, 0 prop spots on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
BUF @ NYJSun, Nov 15 13:00 ET	NYJ +7.5o/u 50.5	—	See the matchup →
0 on the card, 0 prop spots on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
CAR @ NOSun, Nov 15 13:00 ET	NO -1.5o/u 47.5	—	See the matchup →
0 on the card, 0 prop spots on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
HOU @ CLESun, Nov 15 13:00 ET	CLE +4.5o/u 39.5	—	See the matchup →
0 on the card, 0 prop spots on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
JAX @ TENSun, Nov 15 13:00 ET	TEN +10o/u 46.5	—	See the matchup →
0 on the card, 0 prop spots on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
KC @ ATLSun, Nov 15 13:00 ET	ATL +3.5o/u 45.5	—	See the matchup →
0 on the card, 0 prop spots on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
LA @ ARISun, Nov 15 16:05 ET	ARI +7.5o/u 44.5	—	See the matchup →
0 on the card, 0 prop spots on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
MIA @ INDSun, Nov 15 13:00 ET	IND -1.5o/u 40.5	—	See the matchup →
0 on the card, 0 prop spots on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
MIN @ GBSun, Nov 15 13:00 ET	GB -3.5o/u 42.5	—	See the matchup →
0 on the card, 0 prop spots on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
PIT @ CINSun, Nov 15 20:20 ET	CIN -3.5o/u 0	—	See the matchup →
0 on the card, 0 prop spots on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
SEA @ LVSun, Nov 15 16:05 ET	LV +3.5o/u 43.5	—	See the matchup →
0 on the card, 0 prop spots on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
SF @ DALSun, Nov 15 16:25 ET	DAL +4.5o/u 55.5	—	See the matchup →
0 on the card, 0 prop spots on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
LAC @ BALMon, Nov 16 20:15 ET	BAL -5.5o/u 38.5	—	See the matchup →
0 on the card, 0 prop spots on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →

Our number and the card on every game, open before kickoff. Market and our number as posted before kickoff; the closing line and cover show once a game settles. Triggers is how much we have on the game: click it.

Matchups

One page per game: the line and how it moved, who is out, where the two teams collide, and every trend and angle on it.

WAS @

NYGNYG -1.5 · o/u 43.50 triggersThu, Nov 12 20:15 ET

NE @

DETDET +1.5 · o/u 51.50 triggersSun, Nov 15 09:30 ET

BUF @

NYJNYJ +7.5 · o/u 50.50 triggersSun, Nov 15 13:00 ET

CAR @

NONO -1.5 · o/u 47.50 triggersSun, Nov 15 13:00 ET

HOU @

CLECLE +4.5 · o/u 39.50 triggersSun, Nov 15 13:00 ET

JAX @

TENTEN +10 · o/u 46.50 triggersSun, Nov 15 13:00 ET

Model trends

62 fire in week 10. Thursday has 8. Logged before kickoff, graded after. The number is confidence, where 50 is a coin flip; the bright bar is this spot, the faded bar is everywhere else. Every card opens its game.

Cut it

The week's card and what fired, by email

Thursday 1 game · 8 fire

Commanders at GiantsThu 8:15 PM ET

8Sheet →

team history

80The Commanders have gone over 12 of 13 as an underdog in a division game

12 of 13, 92% in this spot

23 of 46, 50% everywhere else

WASWAS at NYG2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2024

The 13 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 2	at DAL	yes
2026 wk 1	at PHI	yes
2025 wk 18	at PHI	yes
2025 wk 17	at DAL	yes
2025 wk 16	at PHI	yes
2025 wk 15	at NYG	yes
2025 wk 7	at DAL	yes
2024 wk 16	at PHI	yes
2024 wk 11	at PHI	no
2023 wk 18	at DAL	yes
2023 wk 12	at DAL	yes
2023 wk 8	at PHI	yes
2023 wk 4	at PHI	yes

team history

70The Commanders have gone over 12 of 15 in a division game after a loss

12 of 15, 80% in this spot

23 of 44, 52% everywhere else

WASWAS at NYG2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2024

The 15 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 8	at PHI	no
2026 wk 5	at NYG	yes
2026 wk 2	at DAL	yes
2025 wk 18	at PHI	yes
2025 wk 17	at DAL	yes
2025 wk 15	at NYG	yes
2025 wk 7	at DAL	yes
2024 wk 12	at DAL	yes
2024 wk 11	at PHI	no
2024 wk 2	at NYG	no
2023 wk 18	at DAL	yes
2023 wk 12	at DAL	yes
2023 wk 11	at NYG	yes
2023 wk 8	at PHI	yes
2023 wk 4	at PHI	yes

team history

66The Commanders have gone over 16 of 22 in a division game

16 of 22, 73% in this spot

19 of 37, 51% everywhere else

WASWAS at NYG2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2024

The 22 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 8	at PHI	no
2026 wk 5	at NYG	yes
2026 wk 2	at DAL	yes
2026 wk 1	at PHI	yes
2025 wk 18	at PHI	yes
2025 wk 17	at DAL	yes
2025 wk 16	at PHI	yes
2025 wk 15	at NYG	yes
2025 wk 7	at DAL	yes
2025 wk 1	at NYG	no
2024 wk 18	at DAL	no
2024 wk 16	at PHI	yes
2024 wk 12	at DAL	yes
2024 wk 11	at PHI	no
2024 wk 9	at NYG	yes
2024 wk 2	at NYG	no
2023 wk 18	at DAL	yes
2023 wk 12	at DAL	yes
2023 wk 11	at NYG	yes
2023 wk 8	at PHI	yes
2023 wk 7	at NYG	no
2023 wk 4	at PHI	yes

league history

66Underdogs have covered 44 of 68 in week 10 after the home team won

44 of 68, 65% in this spot

1334 of 2631, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck line · WAS hereWAS at NYG2016-2026

+ 4 more on this game

league history

64Underdogs of under 7 have covered 59 of 95 in week 10

59 of 95, 62% in this spot

928 of 1840, 50% everywhere else

inside the luck line · WAS hereWAS at NYG2016-2026

league history

63Unders have hit 57 of 83 in November in the rain

57 of 83, 69% in this spot

1344 of 2670, 50% everywhere else

inside the luck lineWAS at NYG2016-2026

league history

62Road teams have covered 26 of 41 in week 10 in a division game

26 of 41, 63% in this spot

1358 of 2662, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck line · WAS hereWAS at NYG2016-2026

league history

60Underdogs of under 7 have covered 30 of 49 in November in the rain

30 of 49, 61% in this spot

957 of 1886, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck line · WAS hereWAS at NYG2016-2026

Sunday early 8 games · 43 fire

Patriots at LionsSun 9:30 AM ET

4Sheet →

his history

72Jameson Williams has 8 of his last 10 games at home with over 3.5 catches.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

11 of 29, 38% everywhere else

WR · LionsNE at DET, Sun, Nov 152025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Mon, Oct 20 25	vs TB (-6)	0	no
Sun, Nov 2 25	vs MIN (-9.5)	4	yes
Sun, Nov 23 25	vs NYG (-14)	0	no
Thu, Nov 27 25	vs GB (-2.5)	7	yes
Thu, Dec 4 25	vs DAL (-3.5)	7	yes
Sun, Dec 21 25	vs PIT (-7.5)	5	yes
Sun, Sep 13 26	vs NO (-7)	4	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	vs NYJ (-7)	4	yes
Sun, Oct 25 26	vs GB (-3.5)	5	yes
Sun, Nov 1 26	vs MIN (-3)	4	yes

league history

66Underdogs have covered 44 of 68 in week 10 after the home team won

44 of 68, 65% in this spot

1334 of 2631, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck line · NE hereNE at DET2016-2026

league history

64Underdogs of under 7 have covered 59 of 95 in week 10

59 of 95, 62% in this spot

928 of 1840, 50% everywhere else

inside the luck line · NE hereNE at DET2016-2026

team history

56The Lions have gone over 13 of 18 as a favorite when our model likes them

13 of 18, 72% in this spot

38 of 73, 52% everywhere else

DETNE at DET2021-2026, Campbell and Goff

The 18 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 7	at GB	no
2026 wk 4	at CAR	yes
2026 wk 3	at NYJ	yes
2025 wk 14	at DAL	yes
2025 wk 13	at GB	yes
2025 wk 9	at MIN	yes
2025 wk 4	at CLE	no
2024 wk 16	at CHI	yes
2024 wk 15	at BUF	yes
2024 wk 13	at CHI	no
2024 wk 12	at IND	no
2024 wk 4	at SEA	yes
2023 wk 18	at MIN	yes
2023 wk 15	at DEN	yes
2023 wk 11	at CHI	yes
2023 wk 10	at LAC	yes
2023 wk 5	at CAR	yes
2022 wk 17	at CHI	no

Bills at JetsSun 1:00 PM ET

7Sheet →

team history

80The Jets have gone under 9 of 11 with extra rest

9 of 11, 82% in this spot

19 of 49, 39% everywhere else

NYJBUF at NYJ2023-2026, new coach in 2025, new QB in 2026

The 11 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 4	at CHI	yes
2025 wk 12	at BAL	yes
2025 wk 3	at TB	no
2024 wk 13	at SEA	no
2024 wk 10	at ARI	yes
2024 wk 4	at DEN	yes
2023 wk 18	at NE	yes
2023 wk 15	at MIA	yes
2023 wk 13	at ATL	yes
2023 wk 11	at BUF	yes
2023 wk 8	at NYG	yes

his history

72James Cook has 10 of his last 10 games on the road with 50+ rushing yards.

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

21 of 38, 55% everywhere else

RB · BillsBUF at NYJ, Sun, Nov 152025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Mon, Oct 13 25	at ATL (-3.5)	87	yes
Sun, Oct 26 25	at CAR (-7)	216	yes
Sun, Nov 9 25	at MIA (-8.5)	53	yes
Thu, Nov 20 25	at HOU (-5.5)	116	yes
Sun, Nov 30 25	at PIT (-3)	144	yes
Sun, Dec 14 25	at NE (-2.5)	107	yes
Sun, Dec 21 25	at CLE (-10.5)	117	yes
Sun, Sep 13 26	at HOU (-1.5)	57	yes
Mon, Oct 12 26	at LA (+3.5)	111	yes
Sun, Oct 18 26	at LV (-5.5)	95	yes

league history

64Favorites of 7 or more have covered 21 of 32 in November after the home team lost by 14 or more

21 of 32, 66% in this spot

352 of 732, 48% everywhere else

inside the luck line · BUF hereBUF at NYJ2016-2026

league history

62Road teams have covered 26 of 41 in week 10 in a division game

26 of 41, 63% in this spot

1358 of 2662, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck line · BUF hereBUF at NYJ2016-2026

+ 3 more on this game

team history

58The Jets have gone over 10 of 14 in a division game after a loss

10 of 14, 71% in this spot

22 of 46, 48% everywhere else

NYJBUF at NYJ2023-2026, new coach in 2025, new QB in 2026

The 14 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 7	at MIA	yes
2025 wk 18	at BUF	yes
2025 wk 17	at NE	yes
2025 wk 4	at MIA	yes
2025 wk 2	at BUF	no
2024 wk 18	at MIA	yes
2024 wk 17	at BUF	yes
2024 wk 14	at MIA	yes
2024 wk 8	at NE	yes
2024 wk 6	at BUF	yes
2023 wk 18	at NE	no
2023 wk 12	at MIA	yes
2023 wk 11	at BUF	no
2023 wk 3	at NE	no

league history

54Home teams have covered 13 of 21 in week 10 after the home team lost by 14 or more

13 of 21, 62% in this spot

1306 of 2682, 49% everywhere else

inside the luck line · NYJ hereBUF at NYJ2016-2026

his history

50Josh Allen has 8 of his last 10 games outdoors with a rushing touchdown.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

8 of 13, 62% everywhere else

QB · BillsBUF at NYJ, Sun, Nov 152025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Nov 16 25	vs TB (-6)	3	yes
Sun, Nov 30 25	at PIT (-3)	1	yes
Sun, Dec 7 25	vs CIN (-6)	1	yes
Sun, Dec 14 25	at NE (-2.5)	0	no
Sun, Dec 21 25	at CLE (-10.5)	0	no
Sun, Dec 28 25	vs PHI (-3)	2	yes
Thu, Sep 17 26	vs DET (-5.5)	2	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	vs LAC (-7)	2	yes
Sun, Oct 4 26	vs NE (-7)	1	yes
Sun, Nov 1 26	vs BAL (-3)	1	yes

Panthers at SaintsSun 1:00 PM ET

7Sheet →

team history

81The Panthers have covered 10 of 13 in a division game after a loss

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

15 of 44, 34% everywhere else

CARCAR at NO2023-2026, new coach in 2024

The 13 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 2	at ATL	yes
2025 wk 18	at TB	yes
2025 wk 16	at TB	yes
2025 wk 11	at ATL	yes
2025 wk 3	at ATL	yes
2024 wk 18	at ATL	yes
2024 wk 13	at TB	yes
2024 wk 9	at NO	yes
2024 wk 6	at ATL	no
2023 wk 18	at TB	no
2023 wk 15	at ATL	yes
2023 wk 14	at NO	no
2023 wk 13	at TB	yes

his history

72Chris Olave has 9 of his last 10 games at home with over 5.5 catches.

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

14 of 32, 44% everywhere else

WR · SaintsCAR at NO, Sun, Nov 152025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Oct 5 25	vs NYG (-1.5)	7	yes
Sun, Oct 12 25	vs NE (+3.5)	6	yes
Sun, Oct 26 25	vs TB (+4.5)	8	yes
Sun, Nov 23 25	vs ATL (-1.5)	9	yes
Sun, Dec 14 25	vs CAR (+2.5)	6	yes
Sun, Dec 21 25	vs NYJ (-6.5)	10	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	vs LV (-3.5)	9	yes
Mon, Oct 5 26	vs ATL (-1.5)	8	yes
Sun, Oct 11 26	vs MIN (+2.5)	4	no
Sun, Oct 25 26	vs PIT (+3)	6	yes

league history

66Underdogs have covered 44 of 68 in week 10 after the home team won

44 of 68, 65% in this spot

1334 of 2631, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck line · CAR hereCAR at NO2016-2026

league history

64Underdogs of under 7 have covered 59 of 95 in week 10

59 of 95, 62% in this spot

928 of 1840, 50% everywhere else

inside the luck line · CAR hereCAR at NO2016-2026

+ 3 more on this game

league history

62Road teams have covered 26 of 41 in week 10 in a division game

26 of 41, 63% in this spot

1358 of 2662, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck line · CAR hereCAR at NO2016-2026

team history

57The Panthers have gone over 6 of 8 as a road underdog indoors

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

23 of 50, 46% everywhere else

CARCAR at NO2023-2026, new coach in 2024

The 8 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 11	at ATL	yes
2025 wk 2	at ARI	yes
2024 wk 18	at ATL	yes
2024 wk 3	at LV	yes
2024 wk 1	at NO	yes
2023 wk 14	at NO	no
2023 wk 5	at DET	yes
2023 wk 1	at ATL	no

his history

50Tyler Shough has 5 of his last 6 games as a favorite with over 225.5 passing yards.

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

7 of 12, 58% everywhere else

QB · SaintsCAR at NO, Sun, Nov 152025-2026

The 6 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Nov 23 25	vs ATL (-1.5)	243	yes
Sun, Dec 21 25	vs NYJ (-6.5)	308	yes
Sun, Dec 28 25	at TEN (-1.5)	333	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	vs LV (-3.5)	255	yes
Mon, Oct 5 26	vs ATL (-1.5)	286	yes
Sun, Oct 18 26	at NYG (-1.5)	144	no

Texans at BrownsSun 1:00 PM ET

4Sheet →

team history

75The Browns have covered 12 of 17 at home after a loss

12 of 17, 71% in this spot

15 of 41, 37% everywhere else

CLEHOU at CLE2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026

The 17 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 6	at BAL	yes
2025 wk 17	at PIT	yes
2025 wk 16	at BUF	yes
2025 wk 14	at TEN	no
2025 wk 11	at BAL	yes
2025 wk 7	at MIA	yes
2025 wk 5	at MIN	no
2025 wk 3	at GB	yes
2024 wk 17	at MIA	no
2024 wk 15	at KC	no
2024 wk 12	at PIT	yes
2024 wk 8	at BAL	yes
2024 wk 7	at CIN	no
2023 wk 14	at JAX	yes
2023 wk 9	at ARI	yes
2023 wk 6	at SF	yes
2023 wk 3	at TEN	yes

league history

64Underdogs of under 7 have covered 59 of 95 in week 10

59 of 95, 62% in this spot

928 of 1840, 50% everywhere else

inside the luck line · CLE hereHOU at CLE2016-2026

team history

60The Texans have covered 6 of 8 on the road with a total of 41 or under

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

22 of 50, 44% everywhere else

HOUHOU at CLE2023-2026, Ryans and Stroud

The 8 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 9	at LAC	yes
2026 wk 5	at TEN	yes
2025 wk 17	at LAC	yes
2025 wk 11	at TEN	no
2024 wk 18	at TEN	yes
2024 wk 6	at NE	yes
2023 wk 15	at TEN	yes
2023 wk 14	at NYJ	no

his history

51Marvin Harrison Jr. has 8 of his last 10 games outdoors with over 2.5 catches.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

13 of 22, 59% everywhere else

WR · TexansHOU at CLE, Sun, Nov 152024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Oct 27 24	at MIA (+4)	6	yes
Sun, Nov 24 24	at SEA (-1)	3	yes
Sun, Dec 22 24	at CAR (-5.5)	4	yes
Sun, Sep 21 25	at SF (+1.5)	3	yes
Sun, Nov 9 25	at SEA (+7)	3	yes
Sun, Nov 30 25	at TB (+4.5)	6	yes
Sun, Dec 28 25	at CIN (+7)	0	no
Sun, Sep 27 26	at SF (+7.5)	3	yes
Sun, Oct 4 26	at NYG (-2.5)	1	no
Sun, Oct 18 26	at JAX (+2.5)	3	yes

Jaguars at TitansSun 1:00 PM ET

8Sheet →

team history

80The Titans have gone over 13 of 16 as an underdog of 7 or more

13 of 16, 81% in this spot

18 of 43, 42% everywhere else

TENJAX at TEN2023-2026, new coach in 2026, new QB in 2025

The 16 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 8	at CIN	yes
2026 wk 4	at BAL	no
2026 wk 2	at PHI	yes
2025 wk 18	at JAX	yes
2025 wk 15	at SF	yes
2025 wk 12	at SEA	yes
2025 wk 9	at LAC	yes
2025 wk 8	at IND	yes
2025 wk 5	at ARI	yes
2025 wk 4	at HOU	no
2025 wk 1	at DEN	no
2024 wk 12	at HOU	yes
2024 wk 10	at LAC	yes
2024 wk 8	at DET	yes
2024 wk 7	at BUF	yes
2023 wk 14	at MIA	yes

team history

78The Jaguars have gone over 7 of 8 as a favorite of 7 or more

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

24 of 51, 47% everywhere else

JAXJAX at TEN2023-2026, new coach in 2025

The 8 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 9	at BAL	yes
2026 wk 8	at IND	yes
2026 wk 5	at PHI	no
2026 wk 1	at CLE	yes
2025 wk 18	at TEN	yes
2025 wk 15	at NYJ	yes
2023 wk 13	at CIN	yes
2023 wk 3	at HOU	yes

team history

72The Titans have covered 7 of 10 as an underdog of 7 or more outdoors

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

13 of 47, 28% everywhere else

TENJAX at TEN2023-2026, new coach in 2026, new QB in 2025

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 8	at CIN	yes
2026 wk 4	at BAL	yes
2026 wk 2	at PHI	yes
2025 wk 18	at JAX	no
2025 wk 15	at SF	no
2025 wk 12	at SEA	yes
2025 wk 9	at LAC	yes
2025 wk 1	at DEN	yes
2024 wk 7	at BUF	no
2023 wk 14	at MIA	yes

team history

66The Jaguars have gone over 10 of 14 as a favorite in a division game

10 of 14, 71% in this spot

21 of 45, 47% everywhere else

JAXJAX at TEN2023-2026, new coach in 2025

The 14 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 8	at IND	yes
2026 wk 6	at HOU	yes
2025 wk 18	at TEN	yes
2025 wk 17	at IND	no
2025 wk 13	at TEN	no
2025 wk 10	at HOU	yes
2025 wk 3	at HOU	no
2024 wk 5	at IND	yes
2023 wk 18	at TEN	yes
2023 wk 12	at HOU	no
2023 wk 11	at TEN	yes
2023 wk 6	at IND	yes
2023 wk 3	at HOU	yes
2023 wk 1	at IND	yes

+ 4 more on this game

team history

63The Titans have gone under 8 of 11 outdoors with extra rest

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

20 of 48, 42% everywhere else

TENJAX at TEN2023-2026, new coach in 2026, new QB in 2025

The 11 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 3	at NYG	yes
2025 wk 11	at HOU	yes
2024 wk 15	at CIN	no
2024 wk 7	at BUF	no
2024 wk 6	at IND	yes
2024 wk 2	at NYJ	yes
2023 wk 16	at SEA	yes
2023 wk 10	at TB	yes
2023 wk 8	at ATL	no
2023 wk 4	at CIN	yes
2023 wk 3	at CLE	yes

team history

62The Jaguars have covered 15 of 20 in a division game

15 of 20, 75% in this spot

21 of 39, 54% everywhere else

JAXJAX at TEN2023-2026, new coach in 2025

The 20 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 8	at IND	yes
2026 wk 6	at HOU	no
2025 wk 18	at TEN	yes
2025 wk 17	at IND	yes
2025 wk 14	at IND	yes
2025 wk 13	at TEN	yes
2025 wk 10	at HOU	no
2025 wk 3	at HOU	yes
2024 wk 18	at IND	yes
2024 wk 17	at TEN	yes
2024 wk 14	at TEN	yes
2024 wk 13	at HOU	yes
2024 wk 5	at IND	no
2024 wk 4	at HOU	yes
2023 wk 18	at TEN	no
2023 wk 12	at HOU	yes
2023 wk 11	at TEN	yes
2023 wk 6	at IND	yes
2023 wk 3	at HOU	no
2023 wk 1	at IND	yes

league history

62Road teams have covered 26 of 41 in week 10 in a division game

26 of 41, 63% in this spot

1358 of 2662, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck line · JAX hereJAX at TEN2016-2026

his history

50Tony Pollard has 8 of his last 10 games outdoors as an underdog with 50+ rushing yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

27 of 42, 64% everywhere else

RB · TitansJAX at TEN, Sun, Nov 152025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Dec 14 25	at SF (+12.5)	104	yes
Sun, Dec 21 25	vs KC (+3.5)	102	yes
Sun, Dec 28 25	vs NO (+1.5)	85	yes
Sun, Jan 4 25	at JAX (+12.5)	48	no
Sun, Sep 20 26	vs PHI (+7)	64	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	at NYG (+2.5)	74	yes
Sun, Oct 4 26	at BAL (+11.5)	48	no
Sun, Oct 11 26	vs HOU (+6.5)	52	yes
Sun, Oct 25 26	vs CLE (+1.5)	129	yes
Sun, Nov 1 26	at CIN (+13.5)	117	yes

Chiefs at FalconsSun 1:00 PM ET

4Sheet →

league history

64Underdogs of under 7 have covered 59 of 95 in week 10

59 of 95, 62% in this spot

928 of 1840, 50% everywhere else

inside the luck line · ATL hereKC at ATL2016-2026

his history

62Kenneth Walker III has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

15 of 30, 50% everywhere else

RB · ChiefsKC at ATL, Sun, Nov 152025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Dec 7 25	at ATL (-7)	29	no
Sun, Dec 14 25	vs IND (-13.5)	17	no
Thu, Dec 18 25	vs LA (-1.5)	100	yes
Sun, Dec 28 25	at CAR (-6.5)	51	yes
Sat, Jan 3 25	at SF (-2.5)	97	yes
Mon, Sep 14 26	vs DEN (-2.5)	173	yes
Sun, Sep 20 26	vs IND (-6)	117	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	at MIA (-10)	70	yes
Sun, Oct 4 26	at LV (-4.5)	177	yes
Sun, Oct 18 26	vs LAC (-7.5)	128	yes

league history

54Home teams have covered 13 of 21 in week 10 after the home team lost by 14 or more

13 of 21, 62% in this spot

1306 of 2682, 49% everywhere else

inside the luck line · ATL hereKC at ATL2016-2026

team history

50The Falcons have gone under 8 of 11 as a home underdog

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

26 of 49, 53% everywhere else

ATLKC at ATL2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026

The 11 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 9	at CIN	yes
2026 wk 7	at SF	yes
2026 wk 6	at CHI	no
2026 wk 2	at CAR	yes
2025 wk 17	at LA	no
2025 wk 14	at SEA	no
2025 wk 6	at BUF	yes
2025 wk 1	at TB	yes
2024 wk 13	at LAC	yes
2024 wk 3	at KC	yes
2023 wk 12	at NO	yes

Dolphins at ColtsSun 1:00 PM ET

4Sheet →

his history

72Jonathan Taylor has 10 of his last 10 games at home as a favorite with over 65.5 rushing yards.

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

28 of 45, 62% everywhere else

RB · ColtsMIA at IND, Sun, Nov 152024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Sep 22 24	vs CHI (-1.5)	110	yes
Sun, Dec 22 24	vs TEN (-4)	218	yes
Sun, Jan 5 24	vs JAX (-3.5)	177	yes
Sun, Sep 7 25	vs MIA (-1.5)	71	yes
Sun, Oct 5 25	vs LV (-7)	66	yes
Sun, Oct 12 25	vs ARI (-8.5)	123	yes
Sun, Oct 26 25	vs TEN (-15.5)	153	yes
Sun, Nov 9 25	vs ATL (-6.5)	244	yes
Sun, Nov 30 25	vs HOU (-3)	85	yes
Sun, Oct 18 26	vs TEN (-6.5)	94	yes

league history

64Underdogs of under 7 have covered 59 of 95 in week 10

59 of 95, 62% in this spot

928 of 1840, 50% everywhere else

inside the luck line · MIA hereMIA at IND2016-2026

his history

64Daniel Jones has 8 of his last 10 games at home with over 204.5 passing yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

13 of 27, 48% everywhere else

QB · ColtsMIA at IND, Sun, Nov 152025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Sep 7 25	vs MIA (-1.5)	272	yes
Sun, Sep 14 25	vs DEN (+2.5)	316	yes
Sun, Oct 5 25	vs LV (-7)	212	yes
Sun, Oct 12 25	vs ARI (-8.5)	212	yes
Sun, Oct 26 25	vs TEN (-15.5)	272	yes
Sun, Nov 9 25	vs ATL (-6.5)	255	yes
Sun, Nov 30 25	vs HOU (-3)	201	no
Sun, Sep 13 26	vs BAL (+3)	166	no
Sun, Sep 27 26	vs HOU (+1.5)	235	yes
Sun, Oct 18 26	vs TEN (-6.5)	269	yes

team history

61The Dolphins have covered 7 of 10 on the road after a loss

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

21 of 48, 44% everywhere else

MIAMIA at IND2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 7	at NYJ	yes
2026 wk 4	at MIN	yes
2026 wk 2	at SF	no
2025 wk 8	at ATL	yes
2025 wk 7	at CLE	no
2025 wk 3	at BUF	yes
2024 wk 10	at LA	yes
2024 wk 9	at BUF	yes
2024 wk 5	at NE	yes
2024 wk 3	at SEA	no

Vikings at PackersSun 1:00 PM ET

5Sheet →

team history

77The Vikings have covered 14 of 18 outdoors

14 of 18, 78% in this spot

17 of 36, 47% everywhere else

MINMIN at GB2023-2026, new QB in 2026

The 18 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 3	at TB	yes
2026 wk 2	at CHI	yes
2025 wk 16	at NYG	yes
2025 wk 13	at SEA	no
2025 wk 12	at GB	no
2025 wk 5	at CLE	yes
2025 wk 4	at PIT	no
2025 wk 1	at CHI	yes
2024 wk 16	at SEA	yes
2024 wk 11	at TEN	yes
2024 wk 10	at JAX	no
2024 wk 5	at NYJ	yes
2024 wk 4	at GB	yes
2024 wk 1	at NYG	yes
2023 wk 11	at DEN	yes
2023 wk 8	at GB	yes
2023 wk 6	at CHI	yes
2023 wk 4	at CAR	yes

his history

72Josh Jacobs has 9 of his last 10 games at home with a rushing touchdown.

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

15 of 32, 47% everywhere else

RB · PackersMIN at GB, Sun, Nov 152024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Mon, Dec 23 24	vs NO (-14)	1	yes
Sun, Jan 5 24	vs CHI (-10)	1	yes
Sun, Sep 7 25	vs DET (-1.5)	1	yes
Thu, Sep 11 25	vs WAS (-3.5)	1	yes
Sun, Oct 12 25	vs CIN (-14)	2	yes
Sun, Nov 2 25	vs CAR (-12.5)	1	yes
Mon, Nov 10 25	vs PHI (-1.5)	1	yes
Sun, Dec 7 25	vs CHI (-6.5)	1	yes
Sat, Dec 27 25	vs BAL (-2.5)	0	no
Thu, Oct 29 26	vs CAR (-3.5)	1	yes

league history

66Underdogs have covered 44 of 68 in week 10 after the home team won

44 of 68, 65% in this spot

1334 of 2631, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck line · MIN hereMIN at GB2016-2026

league history

64Underdogs of under 7 have covered 59 of 95 in week 10

59 of 95, 62% in this spot

928 of 1840, 50% everywhere else

inside the luck line · MIN hereMIN at GB2016-2026

+ 1 more on this game

league history

62Road teams have covered 26 of 41 in week 10 in a division game

26 of 41, 63% in this spot

1358 of 2662, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck line · MIN hereMIN at GB2016-2026

Sunday late 4 games · 27 fire

Rams at CardinalsSun 4:05 PM ET

7Sheet →

team history

77The Cardinals have gone over 17 of 20 at home after a loss

17 of 20, 85% in this spot

16 of 39, 41% everywhere else

ARILA at ARI2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026

The 20 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 5	at DET	yes
2025 wk 16	at ATL	no
2025 wk 14	at LA	yes
2025 wk 12	at JAX	yes
2025 wk 11	at SF	yes
2025 wk 7	at GB	yes
2025 wk 5	at TEN	yes
2025 wk 4	at SEA	no
2024 wk 18	at SF	yes
2024 wk 15	at NE	yes
2024 wk 14	at SEA	yes
2024 wk 7	at LAC	no
2024 wk 4	at WAS	yes
2024 wk 2	at LA	yes
2023 wk 12	at LA	yes
2023 wk 10	at ATL	yes
2023 wk 8	at BAL	yes
2023 wk 5	at CIN	yes
2023 wk 3	at DAL	yes
2023 wk 2	at NYG	yes

team history

74The Cardinals have gone over 20 of 28 at home

20 of 28, 71% in this spot

13 of 31, 42% everywhere else

ARILA at ARI2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026

The 28 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 7	at DEN	yes
2026 wk 5	at DET	yes
2026 wk 2	at SEA	no
2025 wk 16	at ATL	no
2025 wk 14	at LA	yes
2025 wk 12	at JAX	yes
2025 wk 11	at SF	yes
2025 wk 7	at GB	yes
2025 wk 5	at TEN	yes
2025 wk 4	at SEA	no
2025 wk 2	at CAR	yes
2024 wk 18	at SF	yes
2024 wk 15	at NE	yes
2024 wk 14	at SEA	yes
2024 wk 10	at NYJ	no
2024 wk 9	at CHI	no
2024 wk 7	at LAC	no
2024 wk 4	at WAS	yes
2024 wk 3	at DET	no
2024 wk 2	at LA	yes
2023 wk 18	at SEA	no
2023 wk 15	at SF	yes
2023 wk 12	at LA	yes
2023 wk 10	at ATL	yes
2023 wk 8	at BAL	yes
2023 wk 5	at CIN	yes
2023 wk 3	at DAL	yes
2023 wk 2	at NYG	yes

his history

72Trey McBride has 9 of his last 10 games as an underdog with over 6.5 catches.

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

5 of 10, 50% everywhere else

TE · CardinalsLA at ARI, Sun, Nov 152025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Dec 21 25	vs ATL (+2.5)	4	no
Sun, Dec 28 25	at CIN (+7)	10	yes
Sun, Jan 4 25	at LA (+14.5)	7	yes
Sun, Sep 13 26	at LAC (+8.5)	9	yes
Sun, Sep 20 26	vs SEA (+3.5)	8	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	at SF (+7.5)	9	yes
Sun, Oct 11 26	vs DET (+5.5)	9	yes
Sun, Oct 18 26	at LA (+12.5)	7	yes
Sun, Oct 25 26	vs DEN (+4.5)	10	yes
Sun, Nov 1 26	at DAL (+7)	7	yes

team history

72The Rams have covered 12 of 15 on the road in a division game

12 of 15, 80% in this spot

39 of 77, 51% everywhere else

LALA at ARI2021-2026, McVay and Stafford

The 15 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 16	at SEA	yes
2025 wk 14	at ARI	yes
2025 wk 10	at SF	yes
2024 wk 15	at SF	yes
2024 wk 9	at SEA	yes
2024 wk 2	at ARI	no
2023 wk 18	at SF	yes
2023 wk 12	at ARI	yes
2023 wk 1	at SEA	yes
2022 wk 18	at SEA	yes
2022 wk 4	at SF	no
2022 wk 3	at ARI	yes
2021 wk 14	at ARI	yes
2021 wk 10	at SF	no
2021 wk 5	at SEA	yes

+ 3 more on this game

league history

64Favorites of 7 or more have covered 21 of 32 in November after the home team lost by 14 or more

21 of 32, 66% in this spot

352 of 732, 48% everywhere else

inside the luck line · LA hereLA at ARI2016-2026

league history

62Road teams have covered 26 of 41 in week 10 in a division game

26 of 41, 63% in this spot

1358 of 2662, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck line · LA hereLA at ARI2016-2026

league history

54Home teams have covered 13 of 21 in week 10 after the home team lost by 14 or more

13 of 21, 62% in this spot

1306 of 2682, 49% everywhere else

inside the luck line · ARI hereLA at ARI2016-2026

Seahawks at RaidersSun 4:05 PM ET

5Sheet →

his history

72Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with over 7.5 catches.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

8 of 30, 27% everywhere else

WR · SeahawksSEA at LV, Sun, Nov 152025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Oct 12 25	at JAX (-1.5)	8	yes
Sun, Nov 2 25	at WAS (-2.5)	8	yes
Sun, Nov 16 25	at LA (+3)	9	yes
Sun, Nov 23 25	at TEN (-12.5)	8	yes
Sun, Dec 7 25	at ATL (-7)	7	no
Sun, Dec 28 25	at CAR (-6.5)	9	yes
Sat, Jan 3 25	at SF (-2.5)	6	no
Sun, Sep 20 26	at ARI (-3.5)	9	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	at WAS (-8.5)	10	yes
Thu, Oct 15 26	at DEN (-2.5)	12	yes

team history

66The Raiders have gone over 10 of 14 as a home underdog after a loss

10 of 14, 71% in this spot

20 of 46, 44% everywhere else

LVSEA at LV2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026

The 14 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 7	at LA	yes
2026 wk 6	at BUF	yes
2025 wk 18	at KC	no
2025 wk 17	at NYG	yes
2025 wk 14	at DEN	yes
2025 wk 11	at DAL	yes
2025 wk 9	at JAX	yes
2024 wk 15	at ATL	no
2024 wk 12	at DEN	yes
2024 wk 8	at KC	yes
2024 wk 6	at PIT	yes
2024 wk 4	at CLE	no
2023 wk 14	at MIN	no
2023 wk 12	at KC	yes

league history

64Underdogs of under 7 have covered 59 of 95 in week 10

59 of 95, 62% in this spot

928 of 1840, 50% everywhere else

inside the luck line · LV hereSEA at LV2016-2026

team history

62The Seahawks have covered 9 of 12 indoors

9 of 12, 75% in this spot

20 of 44, 46% everywhere else

SEASEA at LV2023-2026, new coach in 2024, new QB in 2025

The 12 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 2	at ARI	yes
2025 wk 14	at ATL	yes
2025 wk 11	at LA	yes
2025 wk 4	at ARI	yes
2024 wk 18	at LA	no
2024 wk 14	at ARI	yes
2024 wk 7	at ATL	yes
2024 wk 4	at DET	no
2023 wk 18	at ARI	no
2023 wk 13	at DAL	yes
2023 wk 11	at LA	yes
2023 wk 2	at DET	yes

+ 1 more on this game

league history

54Home teams have covered 13 of 21 in week 10 after the home team lost by 14 or more

13 of 21, 62% in this spot

1306 of 2682, 49% everywhere else

inside the luck line · LV hereSEA at LV2016-2026

49ers at CowboysSun 4:25 PM ET

4Sheet →

his history

67CeeDee Lamb has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with over 87.5 receiving yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

19 of 42, 45% everywhere else

WR · CowboysSF at DAL, Sun, Nov 152024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Mon, Dec 9 24	vs CIN (+5)	93	yes
Sun, Dec 15 24	at CAR (+2.5)	116	yes
Sun, Dec 22 24	vs TB (+4.5)	105	yes
Thu, Sep 4 25	at PHI (+8.5)	110	yes
Sun, Oct 26 25	at DEN (+3.5)	74	no
Sun, Nov 23 25	vs PHI (+3)	75	no
Thu, Nov 27 25	vs KC (+3.5)	112	yes
Thu, Dec 4 25	at DET (+3.5)	121	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	vs BAL (+3)	112	yes
Sun, Oct 4 26	at HOU (+3)	189	yes

league history

66Underdogs have covered 44 of 68 in week 10 after the home team won

44 of 68, 65% in this spot

1334 of 2631, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck line · DAL hereSF at DAL2016-2026

league history

64Underdogs of under 7 have covered 59 of 95 in week 10

59 of 95, 62% in this spot

928 of 1840, 50% everywhere else

inside the luck line · DAL hereSF at DAL2016-2026

his history

56Brock Purdy has 8 of his last 10 games on the road as a favorite with over 240.5 passing yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

18 of 33, 55% everywhere else

QB · 49ersSF at DAL, Sun, Nov 152024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Sep 15 24	at MIN (-4.5)	319	yes
Sun, Sep 22 24	at LA (-6)	292	yes
Thu, Oct 10 24	at SEA (-3.5)	255	yes
Sun, Nov 10 24	at TB (-6.5)	353	yes
Sun, Dec 22 24	at MIA (-2)	313	yes
Sun, Sep 7 25	at SEA (-2.5)	277	yes
Sun, Nov 16 25	at ARI (-3.5)	200	no
Sun, Nov 30 25	at CLE (-5.5)	168	no
Mon, Dec 22 25	at IND (-4.5)	295	yes
Sun, Oct 25 26	at ATL (-2.5)	288	yes

Steelers at BengalsSun 8:20 PM ET

11Sheet →

team history

80The Steelers have gone over 12 of 16 outdoors in prime time

12 of 16, 75% in this spot

16 of 43, 37% everywhere else

PITPIT at CIN2023-2026, new coach in 2026, new QB in 2025

The 16 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 4	at CLE	yes
2025 wk 18	at BAL	yes
2025 wk 15	at MIA	yes
2025 wk 8	at GB	yes
2025 wk 7	at CIN	yes
2024 wk 18	at CIN	no
2024 wk 16	at BAL	yes
2024 wk 12	at CLE	yes
2024 wk 8	at NYG	yes
2024 wk 7	at NYJ	yes
2024 wk 5	at DAL	no
2023 wk 18	at BAL	no
2023 wk 16	at CIN	yes
2023 wk 14	at NE	yes
2023 wk 9	at TEN	no
2023 wk 2	at CLE	yes

his history

72Jaylen Warren has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with 50+ rushing yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

11 of 36, 31% everywhere else

RB · SteelersPIT at CIN, Sun, Nov 152025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Thu, Oct 16 25	at CIN (-5.5)	127	yes
Sun, Nov 9 25	at LAC (+3)	70	yes
Sun, Nov 23 25	at CHI (+3)	68	yes
Sun, Dec 7 25	at BAL (+5.5)	13	no
Sun, Dec 21 25	at DET (+7.5)	143	yes
Sun, Dec 28 25	at CLE (-4.5)	64	yes
Sun, Sep 20 26	at NE (+4.5)	43	no
Thu, Oct 1 26	at CLE (-2.5)	93	yes
Sun, Oct 18 26	at TB (-2.5)	50	yes
Sun, Oct 25 26	at NO (-3)	101	yes

team history

72The Steelers have covered 8 of 9 outdoors with extra rest

8 of 9, 89% in this spot

28 of 49, 57% everywhere else

PITPIT at CIN2023-2026, new coach in 2026, new QB in 2025

The 9 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 5	at IND	yes
2025 wk 8	at GB	no
2025 wk 6	at CLE	yes
2024 wk 18	at CIN	yes
2024 wk 14	at CLE	yes
2024 wk 10	at WAS	yes
2024 wk 7	at NYJ	yes
2023 wk 17	at SEA	yes
2023 wk 10	at GB	yes

his history

68Chase Brown has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

11 of 25, 44% everywhere else

RB · BengalsPIT at CIN, Sun, Nov 152025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Thu, Oct 16 25	vs PIT (+5.5)	108	yes
Sun, Oct 26 25	vs NYJ (-5.5)	73	yes
Sun, Nov 2 25	vs CHI (+3)	37	no
Sun, Nov 23 25	vs NE (+7.5)	107	yes
Sun, Dec 14 25	vs BAL (+2.5)	53	yes
Sun, Dec 28 25	vs ARI (-7)	101	yes
Sun, Jan 4 25	vs CLE (-9.5)	72	yes
Sun, Sep 13 26	vs TB (-3.5)	56	yes
Sun, Oct 4 26	vs JAX (-2.5)	10	no
Sun, Nov 1 26	vs TEN (-13.5)	55	yes

+ 7 more on this game

league history

66Underdogs have covered 44 of 68 in week 10 after the home team won

44 of 68, 65% in this spot

1334 of 2631, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck line · PIT herePIT at CIN2016-2026

team history

64The Steelers have gone over 7 of 10 as an underdog in prime time

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

21 of 49, 43% everywhere else

PITPIT at CIN2023-2026, new coach in 2026, new QB in 2025

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 18	at BAL	yes
2025 wk 10	at LAC	no
2025 wk 8	at GB	yes
2024 wk 18	at CIN	no
2024 wk 16	at BAL	yes
2024 wk 7	at NYJ	yes
2023 wk 16	at CIN	yes
2023 wk 15	at IND	yes
2023 wk 3	at LV	no
2023 wk 2	at CLE	yes

league history

64Underdogs of under 7 have covered 59 of 95 in week 10

59 of 95, 62% in this spot

928 of 1840, 50% everywhere else

inside the luck line · PIT herePIT at CIN2016-2026

league history

62Road teams have covered 26 of 41 in week 10 in a division game

26 of 41, 63% in this spot

1358 of 2662, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck line · PIT herePIT at CIN2016-2026

his history

61Tee Higgins has 9 of his last 10 games in division games with 50+ receiving yards.

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

26 of 42, 62% everywhere else

WR · BengalsPIT at CIN, Sun, Nov 152024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Oct 20 24	at CLE (-5.5)	82	yes
Sun, Dec 1 24	vs PIT (-3)	69	yes
Sun, Dec 22 24	vs CLE (-10)	58	yes
Sat, Jan 4 24	at PIT (-2.5)	53	yes
Sun, Sep 7 25	at CLE (-5.5)	33	no
Thu, Oct 16 25	vs PIT (+5.5)	96	yes
Sun, Nov 16 25	at PIT (+5.5)	63	yes
Sun, Jan 4 25	vs CLE (-9.5)	67	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	at PIT (-3.5)	90	yes
Sun, Oct 25 26	at BAL (-3)	148	yes

his history

52Ja'Marr Chase has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 6+ catches.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

20 of 34, 59% everywhere else

WR · BengalsPIT at CIN, Sun, Nov 152025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Oct 5 25	vs DET (+10.5)	6	yes
Thu, Oct 16 25	vs PIT (+5.5)	16	yes
Sun, Oct 26 25	vs NYJ (-5.5)	12	yes
Sun, Nov 2 25	vs CHI (+3)	6	yes
Sun, Dec 14 25	vs BAL (+2.5)	10	yes
Sun, Dec 28 25	vs ARI (-7)	7	yes
Sun, Jan 4 25	vs CLE (-9.5)	8	yes
Sun, Sep 13 26	vs TB (-3.5)	2	no
Sun, Oct 4 26	vs JAX (-2.5)	3	no
Sun, Nov 1 26	vs TEN (-13.5)	11	yes

his history

52Joe Burrow has 8 of his last 10 games at home as a favorite with 250+ passing yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

20 of 34, 59% everywhere else

QB · BengalsPIT at CIN, Sun, Nov 152024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Nov 3 24	vs LV (-8)	251	yes
Sun, Dec 1 24	vs PIT (-3)	309	yes
Sun, Dec 22 24	vs CLE (-10)	252	yes
Sat, Dec 28 24	vs DEN (-3.5)	412	yes
Sun, Sep 14 25	vs JAX (-3.5)	76	no
Sun, Dec 28 25	vs ARI (-7)	305	yes
Sun, Jan 4 25	vs CLE (-9.5)	236	no
Sun, Sep 13 26	vs TB (-3.5)	254	yes
Sun, Oct 4 26	vs JAX (-2.5)	428	yes
Sun, Nov 1 26	vs TEN (-13.5)	462	yes

Monday 1 game · 10 fire

Chargers at RavensMon 8:15 PM ET

10Sheet →

his history

72Derrick Henry has 10 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

19 of 30, 63% everywhere else

RB · RavensLAC at BAL, Mon, Nov 162025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Thu, Nov 27 25	vs CIN (-7)	60	yes
Sun, Dec 7 25	vs PIT (-5.5)	94	yes
Sun, Dec 14 25	at CIN (-2.5)	100	yes
Sun, Dec 21 25	vs NE (-3.5)	128	yes
Sun, Jan 4 25	at PIT (-4.5)	126	yes
Sun, Sep 13 26	at IND (-3)	144	yes
Sun, Sep 20 26	vs NO (-8.5)	68	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	at DAL (-3)	89	yes
Sun, Oct 4 26	vs TEN (-11.5)	73	yes
Sun, Oct 18 26	at CLE (-3)	58	yes

team history

72The Ravens have covered 10 of 13 as a favorite after a loss

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

20 of 46, 44% everywhere else

BALLAC at BAL2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026

The 13 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 15	at CIN	yes
2025 wk 14	at PIT	no
2025 wk 8	at CHI	yes
2025 wk 4	at KC	no
2025 wk 2	at CLE	yes
2024 wk 15	at NYG	yes
2024 wk 12	at LAC	yes
2024 wk 9	at DEN	yes
2024 wk 3	at DAL	yes
2024 wk 2	at LV	no
2023 wk 11	at CIN	yes
2023 wk 6	at TEN	yes
2023 wk 4	at CLE	yes

team history

72The Ravens have gone over 9 of 10 at home after a loss

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

28 of 50, 56% everywhere else

BALLAC at BAL2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 9	at JAX	yes
2026 wk 7	at CIN	yes
2025 wk 14	at PIT	yes
2025 wk 8	at CHI	yes
2025 wk 6	at LA	no
2025 wk 5	at HOU	yes
2025 wk 2	at CLE	yes
2024 wk 9	at DEN	yes
2024 wk 2	at LV	yes
2023 wk 11	at CIN	yes

his history

68Zay Flowers has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

5 of 9, 56% everywhere else

WR · RavensLAC at BAL, Mon, Nov 162025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Nov 23 25	vs NYJ (-14)	58	yes
Thu, Nov 27 25	vs CIN (-7)	6	no
Sun, Dec 7 25	vs PIT (-5.5)	124	yes
Sun, Dec 14 25	at CIN (-2.5)	68	yes
Sun, Dec 21 25	vs NE (-3.5)	84	yes
Sun, Jan 4 25	at PIT (-4.5)	138	yes
Sun, Sep 13 26	at IND (-3)	150	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	at DAL (-3)	84	yes
Sun, Oct 4 26	vs TEN (-11.5)	118	yes
Sun, Oct 18 26	at CLE (-3)	66	yes

+ 6 more on this game

team history

67The Chargers have gone under 8 of 9 as a road underdog outdoors

8 of 9, 89% in this spot

29 of 50, 58% everywhere else

LACLAC at BAL2023-2026, new coach in 2024

The 9 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 6	at KC	yes
2026 wk 4	at SEA	no
2026 wk 3	at BUF	yes
2025 wk 18	at DEN	yes
2025 wk 15	at KC	yes
2024 wk 14	at KC	yes
2024 wk 3	at PIT	yes
2023 wk 17	at DEN	yes
2023 wk 7	at KC	yes

league history

66Road teams have covered 30 of 42 in November on Monday

30 of 42, 71% in this spot

1354 of 2661, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck line · LAC hereLAC at BAL2016-2026

league history

64Underdogs of under 7 have covered 59 of 95 in week 10

59 of 95, 62% in this spot

928 of 1840, 50% everywhere else

inside the luck line · LAC hereLAC at BAL2016-2026

team history

61The Ravens have gone over 15 of 20 after a loss

15 of 20, 75% in this spot

22 of 40, 55% everywhere else

BALLAC at BAL2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026

The 20 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 9	at JAX	yes
2026 wk 8	at BUF	no
2026 wk 7	at CIN	yes
2026 wk 3	at DAL	yes
2025 wk 17	at GB	yes
2025 wk 15	at CIN	no
2025 wk 14	at PIT	yes
2025 wk 8	at CHI	yes
2025 wk 6	at LA	no
2025 wk 5	at HOU	yes
2025 wk 4	at KC	yes
2025 wk 2	at CLE	yes
2024 wk 15	at NYG	yes
2024 wk 12	at LAC	yes
2024 wk 9	at DEN	yes
2024 wk 3	at DAL	yes
2024 wk 2	at LV	yes
2023 wk 11	at CIN	yes
2023 wk 6	at TEN	no
2023 wk 4	at CLE	no

team history

56The Chargers have gone under 10 of 13 as a road underdog

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

27 of 46, 59% everywhere else

LACLAC at BAL2023-2026, new coach in 2024

The 13 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 8	at LA	yes
2026 wk 6	at KC	yes
2026 wk 4	at SEA	no
2026 wk 3	at BUF	yes
2025 wk 18	at DEN	yes
2025 wk 16	at DAL	no
2025 wk 15	at KC	yes
2024 wk 14	at KC	yes
2024 wk 3	at PIT	yes
2023 wk 17	at DEN	yes
2023 wk 15	at LV	no
2023 wk 7	at KC	yes
2023 wk 3	at MIN	yes

league history

54Home teams have covered 13 of 21 in week 10 after the home team lost by 14 or more

13 of 21, 62% in this spot

1306 of 2682, 49% everywhere else

inside the luck line · BAL hereLAC at BAL2016-2026

← Week 9 The 2026 record

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