Game lines · 2026

NFL Week 5 Game Lines and Results, 2026

15 games, 29 bets on the card. Every number is open.

Game lines

Game	Line	Our number	Final
TB @ DALThu, Oct 8 20:15 ET	DAL -9.5o/u 49.5 · opened -3.5	DAL -3.3	TB 24 at DAL 16DAL -9.5 closed · TB coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) Javonte Williams under 72.5 rushing yards 0.25uTB at DAL · projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (1) Dak Prescott over 265.5 passing yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
NYG @ WASSun, Oct 11 13:00 ET	WAS -3.5o/u 41.5 · opened -1.5	WAS +1.4	NYG 27 at WAS 27WAS -3.5 closed · NYG coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) Jayden Daniels over 28.5 rushing yards 0.4uNYG at WAS · bet score 61 (player line, the story) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree + claude pass: script play Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (4) Malachi Fields under 2.5 catches watching6'3"+ WR vs a defense beaten by tall receivers: catches under (59.9% of 434) Cam Skattebo over 13.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 56 (player line) NYG team total Over 20.5 watchingteam total test: our team total 2+ points off Bovada's posted team total (BEST_BETS_PROCESS phase 3; a test until 20+ graded picks hold up) WAS team total Under 23.5 watchingteam total test: our team total 2+ points off Bovada's posted team total (BEST_BETS_PROCESS phase 3; a test until 20+ graded picks hold up) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
DEN @ LACSun, Oct 11 16:05 ET	LAC +3.5o/u 42.5 · opened -2.5	LAC -0.2	DEN 23 at LAC 17LAC +3.5 closed · DEN coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (2) Keaton Mitchell under 32.5 rushing yards 1uDEN at LAC · spot rushing-yards under: 260-180 (59.1%) at the close 2023-25, every season 54.5%+; 19-10 in 2026 + bet score 66 (player line, the story) Oronde Gadsden II under 3.5 catches 0.25uDEN at LAC · projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (5) LAC +3.5 watchingangle card, 3 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay) + claude pass: claude's best + bet score 56 (team history, the model's number) + all-angles evidence +11.3 past luck DEN -3.5 watchingbet score 51 (team history, the line moved) (contradicts the read) Over 41.5 watchingbet score 52 (team history) Bo Nix over 220.5 passing yards watchingbet score 50 (his history) DEN team total Under 23.5 watchingteam total test: our team total 2+ points off Bovada's posted team total (BEST_BETS_PROCESS phase 3; a test until 20+ graded picks hold up) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
BAL @ ATLSun, Oct 11 20:20 ET	ATL -3o/u 44.5 · opened +4.5	ATL +0.6	BAL 30 at ATL 23ATL -3.5 closed · BAL coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (2) Over 43.5 0.25uBAL at ATL · claude pass: script play + bet score 52 (the v8 total) Tyler Huntley under 173.5 passing yards 0.25uBAL at ATL · projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (2) BAL +3 watchingclaude pass: claude's best + bet score 58 (team history, the model's number) Rashod Bateman over 17.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 55 (player line) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
SF @ SEASun, Oct 11 16:25 ET	SEA -3o/u 46.5 · opened -3.5	SEA +0.2	SF 32 at SEA 29SEA -3 closed · SF coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (2) SF +3 2uSF at SEA · claude pass: claude's best + bet score 76 (an angle from the grid, team history, the model's number, the line moved) Deebo Samuel Sr. under 3.5 catches 1uSF at SEA · spot receptions under: 354-255 (58.1%) at the close 2023-25; a quarter unit because WR unders went 50-60 in 2026 + bet score 76 (player line, the story) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (6) Mike Evans under 49.5 receiving yards watchingprojection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only Cooper Kupp over 24.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 56 (player line) Emanuel Wilson under 60.5 rushing yards watchingbet score 54 (player line) George Holani under 19.5 rushing yards watchingbet score 50 (player line) SF team total Over 21.5 watchingteam total test: our team total 2+ points off Bovada's posted team total (BEST_BETS_PROCESS phase 3; a test until 20+ graded picks hold up) Brock Purdy over 23.5 rushing yards watchingbet score 51 (his history) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
BUF @ LAMon, Oct 12 20:15 ET	LA -3o/u 55.5	LA +0.1	BUF 37 at LA 34LA -3.5 closed · BUF coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (3) Kyren Williams under 69.5 rushing yards 0.5uBUF at LA · claude pass: claude's best + projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only Blake Corum under 36.5 rushing yards 0.25uBUF at LA · claude pass: script play Keon Coleman over 39.5 receiving yards 0.1uBUF at LA · bet score 59 (player line, the story) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (3) Konata Mumpfield over 7.5 receiving yards watchingtiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role check Ty Johnson over 11.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree + bet score 78 (player line, the story) Josh Allen under 37.5 rushing yards watchingclaude pass: script play Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
PHI @ JAXSun, Oct 11 09:30 ET	JAX -7.5o/u 41.5 · opened +1.5	JAX -4.6	PHI 17 at JAX 19JAX -7.5 closed · PHI coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (4) Parker Washington under 4.5 catches 0.7uPHI at JAX · claude pass: script play + bet score 64 (player line, the story) Trevor Lawrence under 229.5 passing yards 0.5uPHI at JAX · claude pass: claude's best + projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only Over 42.5 0.25uPHI at JAX · claude pass: script play + angle card, 3 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay); calm wind not counted, 0 left Jalen Hurts under 26.5 rushing yards 0.25uPHI at JAX · projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (3) PHI +6.5 watchingall-angles evidence +4.8 past luck + bet score 51 (the model's number) (contradicts the read) Brenton Strange under 3.5 catches watchingbet score 60 (player line, the story) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree JAX -7.5 watchingbet score 53 (team history, the line moved) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
HOU @ TENSun, Oct 11 13:00 ET	TEN +7o/u 37.5 · opened +3.5	TEN +4.2	HOU 26 at TEN 3TEN +6.5 closed · HOU coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (3) Nico Collins over 80.5 receiving yards 1.5uHOU at TEN · bet score 70 (player line) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Tony Pollard under 8.5 receiving yards 0.5uHOU at TEN · bet score 62 (player line, the story) Jaylin Noel over 18.5 receiving yards 0.25uHOU at TEN · claude pass: script play Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (8) David Montgomery under 15.5 carries watchingprojection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 54 (player line) HOU -7.5 watchingclaude pass: script play + bet score 50 (the line moved) + all-angles evidence +6.1 past luck TEN +7.5 watchingbet score 60 (an angle from the grid, the model's number) (contradicts the read) Xavier Hutchinson over 14.5 receiving yards watchingclaude pass: claude's best + bet score 53 (his history) Over 38.5 watchingbet score 58 (team history) Gunnar Helm under 2.5 catches watchingbet score 50 (player line, the story) Elic Ayomanor over 17.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 50 (player line) C.J. Stroud over 239.5 passing yards watchingbet score 51 (his history) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
CHI @ GBSun, Oct 11 13:00 ET	GB +1.5o/u 46.5 · opened -3	GB -1	CHI 7 at GB 31GB +1.5 closed · GB coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) GB +3 0.8uCHI at GB · angle card, 4 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay) + claude pass: claude's best + bet score 64 (an angle from the grid, the model's number) + all-angles evidence +9.4 past luck Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (3) Jonnu Smith over 7.5 receiving yards watchingtiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role check Tyson Bagent under 220.5 passing yards watchingbet score 58 (player line) + claude pass: script play Christian Watson over 62.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 52 (player line) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
IND @ PITSun, Oct 11 13:00 ET	PIT -3o/u 41.5 · opened -2.5	PIT -0.6	IND 22 at PIT 34PIT -3 closed · PIT coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) IND +2.5 3uIND at PIT · claude pass: claude's best + bet score 86 (an angle from the grid, the opener model, team history, the model's number) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (4) Josh Downs under 59.5 receiving yards watchingprojection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only Pat Freiermuth over 28.5 receiving yards watchingclaude pass: script play + bet score 62 (player line) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Darnell Washington over 21.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 70 (player line) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Daniel Jones over 207.5 passing yards watchingbet score 50 (his history) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
DET @ ARISun, Oct 11 16:25 ET	ARI +5.5o/u 55.5 · opened +8.5	ARI +3.7	DET 45 at ARI 21ARI +5.5 closed · DET coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (2) Sam LaPorta over 51.5 receiving yards 2uDET at ARI · claude pass: script play + bet score 78 (player line, the story) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Under 54.5 0.25uDET at ARI · claude pass: script play Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (1) Elijah Higgins over 9.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 73 (player line, the story) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree + claude pass: script play Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
LV @ NESun, Oct 11 13:00 ET	NE -3.5o/u 45.5 · opened -8.5	NE -2.1	LV 17 at NE 45NE -3.5 closed · NE coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (5) TreVeyon Henderson over 50 rushing yards 0.4uLV at NE · bet score 62 (his history, the story) + claude pass: script play Rhamondre Stevenson over 36.5 rushing yards 0.4uLV at NE · bet score 61 (player line, the story) Brock Bowers under 73.5 receiving yards 0.25uLV at NE · projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only Romeo Doubs under 52.5 receiving yards 0.25uLV at NE · projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only Drake Maye under 31.5 rushing yards 0.25uLV at NE · projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + claude pass: script play Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (3) Hunter Henry under 3.5 catches watchingclaude pass: script play Kirk Cousins under 231.5 passing yards watchingclaude pass: script play Dareke Young anytime TD watchinganytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
CLE @ NYJSun, Oct 11 13:00 ET	NYJ -2.5o/u 38.5 · opened -1.5	NYJ -3.9	CLE 12 at NYJ 17NYJ -2.5 closed · NYJ coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) Deshaun Watson under 31.5 pass attempts 0.25uCLE at NYJ · projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (4) Under 39.5 watchinggusts 20+ on Open-Meteo only: a test until NWS shows 20+ too + bet score 60 (a rule we registered, the v8 total) Harold Fannin Jr. over 35.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 57 (player line, his history) + claude pass: script play Raheim Sanders under 2.5 catches watchingbet score 60 (player line, the story) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Mason Taylor over 14.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 52 (player line) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
MIN @ NOSun, Oct 11 13:00 ET	NO +2.5o/u 41.5 · opened +1.5	NO +3.8	MIN 23 at NO 13NO +2.5 closed · MIN coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) Alvin Kamara under 32.5 rushing yards 0.25uMIN at NO · claude pass: script play Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (6) NO +1.5 watchingangle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay) (contradicts the read) + all-angles evidence +3.5 past luck Kyler Murray under 213.5 passing yards watchingprojection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 53 (player line) MIN -2.5 watchingclaude pass: claude's best + bet score 58 (team history, the model's number, the line moved) Under 41.5 watchingbet score 56 (team history) Tai Felton anytime TD watchinganytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026) Jauan Jennings anytime TD watchinganytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
CIN @ MIASun, Oct 11 13:00 ET	MIA +7o/u 44.5 · opened +6	MIA +6.4	CIN 31 at MIA 24MIA +7 closed · pushSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (6) Over 42.5 watchingbet score 50 (the v8 total) MIA +6.5 watchingbet score 56 (the opener model) (contradicts the read) CIN -6.5 watchingclaude pass: script play + bet score 50 (team history, the line moved) Tee Higgins over 50 receiving yards watchingbet score 54 (his history) Samaje Perine anytime TD watchinganytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026) Drew Sample anytime TD watchinganytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →

Market and our number as posted before kickoff; the closing line and cover show once a game settles. Triggers is how much we have on the game: click it.

Nothing graded yet; grades land after each week is played.

Model trends

198 fire in week 5. Thursday has 20. Logged before kickoff, graded after. The number is confidence, where 50 is a coin flip; the bright bar is this spot, the faded bar is everywhere else. Every card opens its game.

Cut it

The week's card and what fired, by email

The official card, graded 88 picks in 15 games

C Grade bets: 0-1 (-0.1u)Small plays: 18-10 (+2.5u)Watching: 31-25

Every pick stamped before kickoff, graded at the price we posted.

BUF at LA2-1 (+0.6u)

C Grade, 0.1uKeon Coleman over 39.5 receiving yards Bet score 59 (player line, the story)LOSS
Small play, 0.5uKyren Williams under 69.5 rushing yards Claude's best: projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyWIN
Small play, 0.25uBlake Corum under 36.5 rushing yards Script playWIN
Watching, 0uKonata Mumpfield over 7.5 receiving yards Tiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role checkvoid
Watching, 0uTy Johnson over 11.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree + bet score 78 (player line, the story)WIN
Watching, 0uJosh Allen under 37.5 rushing yards LOSS

IND at PIT0-1 (-3.0u)

Small play, 3uIND +2.5 Bet score 86 (an angle from the grid, the opener model, team history, the model's number)LOSS
Watching, 0uJosh Downs under 59.5 receiving yards Projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyWIN
Watching, 0uPat Freiermuth over 28.5 receiving yards Bet score 62 (player line) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Watching, 0uDarnell Washington over 21.5 receiving yards Bet score 70 (player line) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uDaniel Jones over 207.5 passing yards Bet score 50 (his history)WIN

SF at SEA2-0 (+2.9u)

Small play, 2uSF +3 Bet score 76 (an angle from the grid, team history, the model's number, the line moved)WIN
Small play, 1uDeebo Samuel Sr. under 3.5 catches Spot receptions under: 354-255 (58.1%) at the close 2023-25; a quarter unit because WR unders went 50-60 in 2026 + bet score 76 (player line, the story)WIN
Watching, 0uMike Evans under 49.5 receiving yards Projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyLOSS
Watching, 0uCooper Kupp over 24.5 receiving yards Bet score 56 (player line)LOSS
Watching, 0uEmanuel Wilson under 60.5 rushing yards Bet score 54 (player line)LOSS
Watching, 0uGeorge Holani under 19.5 rushing yards Bet score 50 (player line)WIN
Watching, 0uSF team total Over 21.5 Team total test: our team total 2+ points off Bovada's posted team total (BEST_BETS_PROCESS phase 3; a test until 20+ graded picks hold up)WIN
Watching, 0uBrock Purdy over 23.5 rushing yards Bet score 51 (his history)LOSS

DET at ARI1-1 (+1.6u)

Small play, 2uSam LaPorta over 51.5 receiving yards Bet score 78 (player line, the story) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Small play, 0.25uUnder 54.5 Script playLOSS
Watching, 0uElijah Higgins over 9.5 receiving yards Bet score 73 (player line, the story) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN

HOU at TEN2-1 (-0.8u)

Small play, 1.5uNico Collins over 80.5 receiving yards Bet score 70 (player line) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Small play, 0.5uTony Pollard under 8.5 receiving yards Bet score 62 (player line, the story)WIN
Small play, 0.25uJaylin Noel over 18.5 receiving yards Script playWIN
Watching, 0uDavid Montgomery under 15.5 carries Projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 54 (player line)WIN
Watching, 0uHOU -7.5 Bet score 50 (the line moved) + all-angles evidence +6.1 past luckWIN
Watching, 0uTEN +7.5 Bet score 60 (an angle from the grid, the model's number) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uXavier Hutchinson over 14.5 receiving yards Bet score 53 (his history)WIN
Watching, 0uOver 38.5 Bet score 58 (team history)LOSS
Watching, 0uGunnar Helm under 2.5 catches Bet score 50 (player line, the story)WIN
Watching, 0uElic Ayomanor over 17.5 receiving yards Bet score 50 (player line)LOSS
Watching, 0uC.J. Stroud over 239.5 passing yards Bet score 51 (his history)WIN

DEN at LAC2-0 (+1.1u)

Small play, 1uKeaton Mitchell under 32.5 rushing yards Spot rushing-yards under: 260-180 (59.1%) at the close 2023-25, every season 54.5%+; 19-10 in 2026 + bet score 66 (player line, the story)WIN
Small play, 0.25uOronde Gadsden II under 3.5 catches Early-week under: projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyWIN
Watching, 0uLAC +3.5 Angle card, 3 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay) + bet score 56 (team history, the model's number) + all-angles evidence +11.3 past luckLOSS
Watching, 0uDEN -3.5 Bet score 51 (team history, the line moved) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uOver 41.5 Bet score 52 (team history)LOSS
Watching, 0uBo Nix over 220.5 passing yards Bet score 50 (his history)LOSS
Watching, 0uDEN team total Under 23.5 Team total test: our team total 2+ points off Bovada's posted team total (BEST_BETS_PROCESS phase 3; a test until 20+ graded picks hold up)WIN

CHI at GB1-0 (+0.7u)

Small play, 0.8uGB +3 Angle card, 4 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay) + bet score 64 (an angle from the grid, the model's number) + all-angles evidence +9.4 past luckWIN
Watching, 0uJonnu Smith over 7.5 receiving yards Tiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role checkvoid
Watching, 0uTyson Bagent under 220.5 passing yards Bet score 58 (player line)WIN
Watching, 0uChristian Watson over 62.5 receiving yards Bet score 52 (player line)WIN

PHI at JAX1-3 (-1.2u)

Small play, 0.7uParker Washington under 4.5 catches Bet score 64 (player line, the story)LOSS
Small play, 0.5uTrevor Lawrence under 229.5 passing yards Claude's best: projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyLOSS
Small play, 0.25uOver 42.5 Script play: angle card, 3 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay); calm wind not counted, 0 leftLOSS
Small play, 0.25uJalen Hurts under 26.5 rushing yards Early-week under: projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyWIN
Watching, 0uPHI +6.5 All-angles evidence +4.8 past luck + bet score 51 (the model's number) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uBrenton Strange under 3.5 catches Bet score 60 (player line, the story) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uJAX -7.5 Bet score 53 (team history, the line moved)LOSS

LV at NE3-2 (+0.1u)

Small play, 0.4uTreVeyon Henderson over 50 rushing yards Bet score 62 (his history, the story)LOSS
Small play, 0.4uRhamondre Stevenson over 36.5 rushing yards Bet score 61 (player line, the story)WIN
Small play, 0.25uBrock Bowers under 73.5 receiving yards Early-week under: projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyLOSS
Small play, 0.25uRomeo Doubs under 52.5 receiving yards Early-week under: projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyWIN
Small play, 0.25uDrake Maye under 31.5 rushing yards Early-week under: projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyWIN
Watching, 0uHunter Henry under 3.5 catches WIN
Watching, 0uKirk Cousins under 231.5 passing yards LOSS
Watching, 0uDareke Young anytime TD Anytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026)void

NYG at WAS1-0 (+0.3u)

Small play, 0.4uJayden Daniels over 28.5 rushing yards Bet score 61 (player line, the story) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Watching, 0uMalachi Fields under 2.5 catches 6'3"+ WR vs a defense beaten by tall receivers: catches under (59.9% of 434)WIN
Watching, 0uCam Skattebo over 13.5 receiving yards Bet score 56 (player line)LOSS
Watching, 0uNYG team total Over 20.5 Team total test: our team total 2+ points off Bovada's posted team total (BEST_BETS_PROCESS phase 3; a test until 20+ graded picks hold up)WIN
Watching, 0uWAS team total Under 23.5 Team total test: our team total 2+ points off Bovada's posted team total (BEST_BETS_PROCESS phase 3; a test until 20+ graded picks hold up)LOSS

TB at DAL1-0 (+0.2u)

Small play, 0.25uJavonte Williams under 72.5 rushing yards Early-week under: projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyWIN
Watching, 0uDak Prescott over 265.5 passing yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN

BAL at ATL1-1 (-0.0u)

Small play, 0.25uOver 43.5 Script play: bet score 52 (the v8 total)WIN
Small play, 0.25uTyler Huntley under 173.5 passing yards Early-week under: projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyLOSS
Watching, 0uBAL +3 Bet score 58 (team history, the model's number)WIN
Watching, 0uRashod Bateman over 17.5 receiving yards Bet score 55 (player line)WIN

CLE at NYJ0-1 (-0.2u)

Small play, 0.25uDeshaun Watson under 31.5 pass attempts Early-week under: projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early onlyLOSS
Watching, 0uUnder 39.5 Gusts 20+ on Open-Meteo only: a test until NWS shows 20+ too + bet score 60 (a rule we registered, the v8 total)WIN
Watching, 0uHarold Fannin Jr. over 35.5 receiving yards Bet score 57 (player line, his history)LOSS
Watching, 0uRaheim Sanders under 2.5 catches Bet score 60 (player line, the story) + prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Watching, 0uMason Taylor over 14.5 receiving yards Bet score 52 (player line)WIN

MIN at NO1-0 (+0.2u)

Small play, 0.25uAlvin Kamara under 32.5 rushing yards Script playWIN
Watching, 0uNO +1.5 Angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay) (contradicts the read) + all-angles evidence +3.5 past luckLOSS
Watching, 0uKyler Murray under 213.5 passing yards Projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 53 (player line)LOSS
Watching, 0uMIN -2.5 Bet score 58 (team history, the model's number, the line moved)WIN
Watching, 0uUnder 41.5 Bet score 56 (team history)WIN
Watching, 0uTai Felton anytime TD Anytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026)LOSS
Watching, 0uJauan Jennings anytime TD Anytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026)LOSS

CIN at MIAwatching only

Watching, 0uOver 42.5 Bet score 50 (the v8 total)WIN
Watching, 0uMIA +6.5 Bet score 56 (the opener model) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uCIN -6.5 Bet score 50 (team history, the line moved)WIN
Watching, 0uTee Higgins over 50 receiving yards Bet score 54 (his history)LOSS
Watching, 0uSamaje Perine anytime TD Anytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026)WIN
Watching, 0uDrew Sample anytime TD Anytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026)LOSS

Thursday 1 game · 20 fire

Buccaneers at CowboysThu 8:15 PM ET

player line

86Dak Prescott over 263.5 passing yards (-115): 10 of 13 at home

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

4 of 15, 27% everywhere else

Over · QB · DALTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8TB allows #7 to QBs, 1.11x league ( vs a game)

player line

86Dak Prescott over 265.5 passing yards (-115): 9 of 13 at home

9 of 13, 69% in this spot

4 of 15, 27% everywhere else

Over · QB · DALTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8TB allows #7 to QBs, 1.11x league ( vs a game)

player line

86Dak Prescott over 266.5 passing yards (-115): 9 of 13 at home

9 of 13, 69% in this spot

4 of 15, 27% everywhere else

Over · QB · DALTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8TB allows #7 to QBs, 1.11x league ( vs a game)

player line

86Dak Prescott over 268.5 passing yards (-115): 9 of 13 at home

9 of 13, 69% in this spot

3 of 15, 20% everywhere else

Over · QB · DALTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8TB allows #7 to QBs, 1.11x league ( vs a game)

+ 16 more on this game

his history

84Dak Prescott has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 250+ passing yards.hit (316)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

14 of 29, 48% everywhere else

QB · DALTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8

his history

84Dak Prescott has 9 of his last 10 games indoors with 250+ passing yards.hit (316)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

13 of 27, 48% everywhere else

QB · DALTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8

player line

80Dak Prescott over 9.5 rushing yards (-120): 5 of 7 at home as a favorite

5 of 7, 71% in this spot

7 of 21, 33% everywhere else

Over · QB · DALTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8TB allows #5 to QBs, 1.15x league ( vs a game)

his history

77CeeDee Lamb has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 75+ receiving yards.missed (9)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

14 of 31, 45% everywhere else

WR · DALTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8

player line

75Kenneth Gainwell over 1.5 catches (-160): 11 of 13 as an underdog

11 of 13, 85% in this spot

11 of 23, 48% everywhere else

Over · RB · TBTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8DAL allows #9 to RBs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

his history

73CeeDee Lamb has 8 of his last 10 games at home with over 80.5 receiving yards.missed (9)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

14 of 32, 44% everywhere else

WR · DALTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8

his history

72Javonte Williams has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.missed (45)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

11 of 28, 39% everywhere else

RB · DALTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8

player line

66Emeka Egbuka over 31.5 receiving yards (-110): 7 of 8 as an underdog

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

7 of 12, 58% everywhere else

Over · WR · TBTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8DAL allows #4 to WRs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

his history

66Emeka Egbuka has 5 of his last 6 games on the road as an underdog with over 3.5 catches.hit (6)

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

7 of 15, 47% everywhere else

WR · TBTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8

player line

64Tyler Goodson under 17.5 rushing yards

12 of 17, 71% in this spot

12 of 17, 71% everywhere else

Under · RB · DALTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8TB allows #29 to RBs, 0.8x league ( vs a game)

player line

64Tyler Goodson under 16.5 rushing yards

12 of 17, 71% in this spot

12 of 17, 71% everywhere else

Under · RB · DALTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8TB allows #29 to RBs, 0.8x league ( vs a game)

player line

64Tyler Goodson under 15.5 rushing yards

12 of 17, 71% in this spot

12 of 17, 71% everywhere else

Under · RB · DALTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8TB allows #29 to RBs, 0.8x league ( vs a game)

team history

58The Buccaneers have gone under 6 of 8 indoors when our model likes themhit

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

22 of 48, 46% everywhere else

his history

55George Pickens has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ receiving yards.hit (130)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

19 of 34, 56% everywhere else

WR · DALTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8

player line

52Bucky Irving over 2.5 catches (+115): 8 of 13 on the road

8 of 13, 62% in this spot

8 of 17, 47% everywhere else

Over · RB · TBTB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8DAL allows #9 to RBs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

team history

52The Cowboys have gone over 7 of 8 as a favorite of 7 or moremissed

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

30 of 47, 64% everywhere else

DAL

Sunday early 9 games · 100 fire

Eagles at JaguarsSun 9:30 AM ET

player line

64Will Shipley under 35.5 rushing yards: 12 of 12 on the road

12 of 12, 100% in this spot

8 of 8, 100% everywhere else

Under · RB · PHIPHI at JAX, Sun, Oct 11JAX allows #32 to RBs, 0.68x league ( vs a game)

player line

64Will Shipley under 33.5 rushing yards: 9 of 9 on the road outdoors

9 of 9, 100% in this spot

10 of 11, 91% everywhere else

Under · RB · PHIPHI at JAX, Sun, Oct 11JAX allows #32 to RBs, 0.68x league ( vs a game)

player line

63Will Shipley under 36.5 rushing yards: 12 of 12 on the road

12 of 12, 100% in this spot

7 of 7, 100% everywhere else

Under · RB · PHIPHI at JAX, Sun, Oct 11JAX allows #32 to RBs, 0.7x league ( vs a game)

player line

57Brenton Strange under 3.5 catches

19 of 29, 66% in this spot

19 of 29, 66% everywhere else

Under · TE · JAXPHI at JAX, Sun, Oct 11PHI allows #31 to TEs, 0.74x league ( vs a game)

+ 3 more on this game

his history

56Saquon Barkley has 9 of his last 10 games outdoors with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

8 of 12, 67% everywhere else

RB · PHIPHI at JAX, Sun, Oct 11

his history

52Jalen Hurts has 8 of his last 10 games outdoors with over 0.5 passing touchdowns.hit (1)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

7 of 12, 58% everywhere else

QB · PHIPHI at JAX, Sun, Oct 11

team history

50The Jaguars have covered 11 of 15 as a home favoritemissed

11 of 15, 73% in this spot

23 of 40, 57% everywhere else

JAX

Bears at PackersSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

79D'Andre Swift over 60.5 rushing yards (-115): 5 of 6 in division games on the road

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

12 of 30, 40% everywhere else

Over · RB · CHICHI at GB, Sun, Oct 11GB allows #10 to RBs, 1.11x league ( vs a game)

player line

75Tyson Bagent under 11.5 rushing yards

8 of 8, 100% in this spot

8 of 8, 100% everywhere else

Under · QB · CHICHI at GB, Sun, Oct 11GB allows #27 to QBs, 0.87x league ( vs a game)

player line

75D'Andre Swift under 18.5 receiving yards: 10 of 13 outdoors as a favorite

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

11 of 24, 46% everywhere else

Under · RB · CHICHI at GB, Sun, Oct 11GB allows #25 to RBs, 0.86x league ( vs a game)

player line

74Tucker Kraft under 50.5 receiving yards: 17 of 23 outdoors

17 of 23, 74% in this spot

1 of 6, 17% everywhere else

Under · TE · GBCHI at GB, Sun, Oct 11CHI allows #22 to TEs, 0.89x league ( vs a game)

+ 7 more on this game

his history

72Josh Jacobs has 9 of his last 10 games at home with a rushing touchdown.did not play

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

15 of 31, 48% everywhere else

RB · GBCHI at GB, Sun, Oct 11

his history

72D'Andre Swift has 8 of his last 10 games outdoors with 50+ rushing yards.missed (43)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

9 of 19, 47% everywhere else

RB · CHICHI at GB, Sun, Oct 11

player line

67D'Andre Swift under 14.5 receiving yards: 8 of 12 as a favorite

8 of 12, 67% in this spot

10 of 24, 42% everywhere else

Under · RB · CHICHI at GB, Sun, Oct 11GB allows #24 to RBs, 0.87x league ( vs a game)

player line

63D'Andre Swift under 19.5 receiving yards: 5 of 6 in division games on the road

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

17 of 31, 55% everywhere else

Under · RB · CHICHI at GB, Sun, Oct 11GB allows #25 to RBs, 0.86x league ( vs a game)

his history

57D'Andre Swift has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with 50+ rushing yards.missed (43)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

22 of 35, 63% everywhere else

RB · CHICHI at GB, Sun, Oct 11

his history

56Rome Odunze has 5 of his last 6 games in division games outdoors with over 2.5 catches.hit (3)

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

14 of 27, 52% everywhere else

WR · CHICHI at GB, Sun, Oct 11

player line

56Colston Loveland under 37.5 receiving yards: 4 of 5 in division games outdoors

4 of 5, 80% in this spot

7 of 14, 50% everywhere else

Under · TE · CHICHI at GB, Sun, Oct 11GB allows #29 to TEs, 0.8x league ( vs a game)

Bengals at DolphinsSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

76Malik Washington under 4.5 catches

29 of 32, 91% in this spot

29 of 32, 91% everywhere else

Under · WR · MIACIN at MIA, Sun, Oct 11CIN allows #32 to WRs, 0.81x league ( vs a game)

player line

73Mike Gesicki over 30.5 receiving yards (-115): 12 of 19 outdoors as a favorite

12 of 19, 63% in this spot

4 of 12, 33% everywhere else

Over · TE · CINCIN at MIA, Sun, Oct 11MIA allows #2 to TEs, 1.29x league ( vs a game)

his history

70Joe Burrow has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with over 256.5 passing yards.missed (190)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

13 of 26, 50% everywhere else

QB · CINCIN at MIA, Sun, Oct 11

his history

70Joe Burrow has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with over 254.5 passing yards.missed (190)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

13 of 26, 50% everywhere else

QB · CINCIN at MIA, Sun, Oct 11

+ 6 more on this game

team history

70The Bengals have covered 9 of 10 as a road favorite after a losspush

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

49 of 91, 54% everywhere else

CIN

his history

68Chase Brown has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.missed (39)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

8 of 18, 44% everywhere else

RB · CINCIN at MIA, Sun, Oct 11

his history

59Joe Burrow has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with 250+ passing yards.missed (190)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

15 of 25, 60% everywhere else

QB · CINCIN at MIA, Sun, Oct 11

his history

59Joe Burrow has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with over 245.5 passing yards.missed (190)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

16 of 26, 62% everywhere else

QB · CINCIN at MIA, Sun, Oct 11

his history

54Tee Higgins has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.missed (22)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

9 of 16, 56% everywhere else

WR · CINCIN at MIA, Sun, Oct 11

his history

50Ja'Marr Chase has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 6+ catches.hit (6)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

14 of 22, 64% everywhere else

WR · CINCIN at MIA, Sun, Oct 11

Browns at JetsSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

80Garrett Wilson under 6.5 catches: 11 of 12 as a favorite

11 of 12, 92% in this spot

8 of 15, 53% everywhere else

Under · WR · NYJCLE at NYJ, Sun, Oct 11CLE allows #31 to WRs, 0.83x league ( vs a game)

his history

77Harold Fannin Jr. has 6 of his last 7 games on the road outdoors with over 36.5 receiving yards.missed (4)

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

5 of 13, 38% everywhere else

TE · CLECLE at NYJ, Sun, Oct 11

his history

72Harold Fannin Jr. has 6 of his last 7 games on the road outdoors with over 35.5 receiving yards.missed (4)

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

6 of 13, 46% everywhere else

TE · CLECLE at NYJ, Sun, Oct 11

team history

65The Browns have gone over 11 of 15 on the road with a total of 41 or undermissed

11 of 15, 73% in this spot

17 of 39, 44% everywhere else

CLE

+ 7 more on this game

player line

64Garrett Wilson under 67.5 receiving yards: 9 of 12 as a favorite

9 of 12, 75% in this spot

8 of 16, 50% everywhere else

Under · WR · NYJCLE at NYJ, Sun, Oct 11CLE allows #30 to WRs, 0.86x league ( vs a game)

his history

62Jerry Jeudy has 6 of his last 7 games in the rain as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.missed (19)

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

31 of 60, 52% everywhere else

WR · CLECLE at NYJ, Sun, Oct 11

player line

60Braelon Allen under 13.5 receiving yards: 10 of 11 at home

10 of 11, 91% in this spot

10 of 14, 71% everywhere else

Under · RB · NYJCLE at NYJ, Sun, Oct 11CLE allows #28 to RBs, 0.84x league ( vs a game)

player line

60Braelon Allen under 14.5 receiving yards: 10 of 11 at home

10 of 11, 91% in this spot

10 of 14, 71% everywhere else

Under · RB · NYJCLE at NYJ, Sun, Oct 11CLE allows #28 to RBs, 0.84x league ( vs a game)

his history

54Geno Smith has 8 of his last 10 games at home outdoors with over 206.5 passing yards.missed (182)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

26 of 42, 62% everywhere else

QB · NYJCLE at NYJ, Sun, Oct 11

his history

54Geno Smith has 8 of his last 10 games at home outdoors with over 205.5 passing yards.missed (182)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

27 of 42, 64% everywhere else

QB · NYJCLE at NYJ, Sun, Oct 11

player line

53Raheim Sanders under 2.5 catches

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

6 of 8, 75% everywhere else

Under · RB · CLECLE at NYJ, Sun, Oct 11NYJ allows #24 to RBs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

Texans at TitansSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

87Nico Collins over 80.5 receiving yards (-115): 8 of 10 in division games

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 18, 22% everywhere else

Over · WR · HOUHOU at TEN, Sun, Oct 11TEN allows #5 to WRs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

player line

87Nico Collins over 81.5 receiving yards (-115): 8 of 10 in division games

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 18, 22% everywhere else

Over · WR · HOUHOU at TEN, Sun, Oct 11TEN allows #5 to WRs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

player line

87Nico Collins over 76.5 receiving yards (-115): 6 of 6 in division games as a favorite

6 of 6, 100% in this spot

9 of 23, 39% everywhere else

Over · WR · HOUHOU at TEN, Sun, Oct 11TEN allows #4 to WRs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

player line

87Nico Collins over 77.5 receiving yards (-115): 6 of 6 in division games as a favorite

6 of 6, 100% in this spot

9 of 23, 39% everywhere else

Over · WR · HOUHOU at TEN, Sun, Oct 11TEN allows #4 to WRs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

+ 11 more on this game

his history

84Nico Collins has 8 of his last 8 games in division games as a favorite with 75+ receiving yards.missed (56)

8 of 8, 100% in this spot

17 of 45, 38% everywhere else

WR · HOUHOU at TEN, Sun, Oct 11

his history

80Xavier Hutchinson has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with over 15.5 receiving yards.hit (65)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

8 of 21, 38% everywhere else

WR · HOUHOU at TEN, Sun, Oct 11

his history

80Xavier Hutchinson has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with over 14.5 receiving yards.hit (65)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

8 of 21, 38% everywhere else

WR · HOUHOU at TEN, Sun, Oct 11

his history

80Xavier Hutchinson has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with over 16.5 receiving yards.hit (65)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

7 of 21, 33% everywhere else

WR · HOUHOU at TEN, Sun, Oct 11

player line

78Nico Collins over 5.5 catches (-125): 4 of 6 in division games on the road

4 of 6, 67% in this spot

6 of 22, 27% everywhere else

Over · WR · HOUHOU at TEN, Sun, Oct 11TEN allows #5 to WRs, 1.1x league ( vs a game)

team history

77The Titans have gone over 12 of 15 as an underdog of 7 or moremissed

12 of 15, 80% in this spot

16 of 40, 40% everywhere else

TEN

team history

70The Titans have gone over 11 of 15 as an underdog when our model likes themmissed

11 of 15, 73% in this spot

17 of 40, 42% everywhere else

TEN

player line

66Woody Marks under 1.5 catches: 7 of 9 on the road

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

5 of 10, 50% everywhere else

Under · RB · HOUHOU at TEN, Sun, Oct 11TEN allows #30 to RBs, 0.78x league ( vs a game)

player line

65Woody Marks under 8.5 receiving yards: 7 of 9 on the road

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

5 of 10, 50% everywhere else

Under · RB · HOUHOU at TEN, Sun, Oct 11TEN allows #26 to RBs, 0.85x league ( vs a game)

his history

59C.J. Stroud has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with over 9.5 rushing yards.missed (5)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

11 of 21, 52% everywhere else

QB · HOUHOU at TEN, Sun, Oct 11

team history

51The Texans have gone under 10 of 13 as a favorite after a losshit

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

24 of 41, 58% everywhere else

HOU

Colts at SteelersSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

86Keenan Allen over 2.5 catches (-170)

30 of 35, 86% in this spot

30 of 35, 86% everywhere else

Over · WR · INDIND at PIT, Sun, Oct 11PIT allows #4 to WRs, 1.1x league ( vs a game)

player line

85Keenan Allen over 27.5 receiving yards (-115)

27 of 35, 77% in this spot

27 of 35, 77% everywhere else

Over · WR · INDIND at PIT, Sun, Oct 11PIT allows #7 to WRs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

player line

85Keenan Allen over 28.5 receiving yards (-115)

27 of 35, 77% in this spot

27 of 35, 77% everywhere else

Over · WR · INDIND at PIT, Sun, Oct 11PIT allows #7 to WRs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

player line

82Keenan Allen over 29.5 receiving yards (-115)

26 of 35, 74% in this spot

26 of 35, 74% everywhere else

Over · WR · INDIND at PIT, Sun, Oct 11PIT allows #7 to WRs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

+ 10 more on this game

player line

78Keenan Allen over 3.5 catches (+130)

25 of 35, 71% in this spot

25 of 35, 71% everywhere else

Over · WR · INDIND at PIT, Sun, Oct 11PIT allows #4 to WRs, 1.1x league ( vs a game)

player line

78Darnell Washington over 22.5 receiving yards (-110): 9 of 15 at home

9 of 15, 60% in this spot

3 of 15, 20% everywhere else

Over · TE · PITIND at PIT, Sun, Oct 11IND allows #4 to TEs, 1.24x league ( vs a game)

player line

74Keenan Allen over 30.5 receiving yards (-115)

24 of 35, 69% in this spot

24 of 35, 69% everywhere else

Over · WR · INDIND at PIT, Sun, Oct 11PIT allows #7 to WRs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

player line

69Pat Freiermuth over 27.5 receiving yards (-120): 10 of 15 outdoors as a favorite

10 of 15, 67% in this spot

9 of 20, 45% everywhere else

Over · TE · PITIND at PIT, Sun, Oct 11IND allows #2 to TEs, 1.3x league ( vs a game)

team history

65The Colts have covered 11 of 15 on the road when our model likes themmissed

11 of 15, 73% in this spot

19 of 40, 48% everywhere else

IND

player line

63Pat Freiermuth over 28.5 receiving yards (-115): 9 of 15 outdoors as a favorite

9 of 15, 60% in this spot

9 of 20, 45% everywhere else

Over · TE · PITIND at PIT, Sun, Oct 11IND allows #2 to TEs, 1.3x league ( vs a game)

team history

63The Steelers have covered 7 of 8 outdoors with extra resthit

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

25 of 46, 54% everywhere else

PIT

player line

62Pat Freiermuth over 26.5 receiving yards (-115): 11 of 17 at home

11 of 17, 65% in this spot

10 of 19, 53% everywhere else

Over · TE · PITIND at PIT, Sun, Oct 11IND allows #4 to TEs, 1.24x league ( vs a game)

his history

54Daniel Jones has 8 of his last 10 games outdoors as an underdog with over 8.5 rushing yards.missed (4)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

14 of 25, 56% everywhere else

QB · INDIND at PIT, Sun, Oct 11

team history

54The Colts have covered 7 of 10 as a road underdog outdoorsmissed

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

23 of 45, 51% everywhere else

IND

Raiders at PatriotsSun 1:00 PM ET

his history

81TreVeyon Henderson has 8 of his last 10 games outdoors as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.missed (22)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

2 of 8, 25% everywhere else

RB · NELV at NE, Sun, Oct 11

his history

81TreVeyon Henderson has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.missed (22)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

2 of 8, 25% everywhere else

RB · NELV at NE, Sun, Oct 11

his history

81TreVeyon Henderson has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with over 45.5 rushing yards.missed (22)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

2 of 8, 25% everywhere else

RB · NELV at NE, Sun, Oct 11

his history

81TreVeyon Henderson has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with over 46.5 rushing yards.missed (22)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

2 of 8, 25% everywhere else

RB · NELV at NE, Sun, Oct 11

+ 1 more on this game

player line

53Ashton Jeanty under 59.5 rushing yards: 6 of 10 on the road

6 of 10, 60% in this spot

5 of 10, 50% everywhere else

Under · RB · LVLV at NE, Sun, Oct 11NE allows #28 to RBs, 0.84x league ( vs a game)

Vikings at SaintsSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

75Kyler Murray under 18.5 rushing yards: 8 of 13 as a favorite

8 of 13, 62% in this spot

1 of 12, 8% everywhere else

Under · QB · MINMIN at NO, Sun, Oct 11NO allows #28 to QBs, 0.87x league ( vs a game)

player line

75Jordan Addison under 3.5 catches: 5 of 5 on the road indoors

5 of 5, 100% in this spot

14 of 28, 50% everywhere else

Under · WR · MINMIN at NO, Sun, Oct 11NO allows #29 to WRs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

player line

74Aaron Jones under 3.5 catches: 16 of 18 as a favorite

16 of 18, 89% in this spot

8 of 14, 57% everywhere else

Under · RB · MINMIN at NO, Sun, Oct 11NO allows #26 to RBs, 0.83x league ( vs a game)

his history

72Chris Olave has 10 of his last 10 games indoors with 50+ receiving yards.missed (46)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

12 of 21, 57% everywhere else

WR · NOMIN at NO, Sun, Oct 11

+ 6 more on this game

his history

72Justin Jefferson has 10 of his last 10 games indoors as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.hit (79)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

25 of 41, 61% everywhere else

WR · MINMIN at NO, Sun, Oct 11

team history

72The Vikings have gone under 18 of 23 when our model likes themhit

18 of 23, 78% in this spot

14 of 32, 44% everywhere else

MIN

player line

62Justin Jefferson under 77.5 receiving yards: 4 of 5 on the road indoors

4 of 5, 80% in this spot

14 of 32, 44% everywhere else

Under · WR · MINMIN at NO, Sun, Oct 11NO allows #28 to WRs, 0.86x league ( vs a game)

his history

62Juwan Johnson has 8 of his last 10 games at home with over 3.5 catches.hit (4)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

16 of 32, 50% everywhere else

TE · NOMIN at NO, Sun, Oct 11

team history

58The Vikings have covered 10 of 13 as a road favoritehit

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

20 of 38, 53% everywhere else

MIN

player line

54Juwan Johnson under 4.5 catches

22 of 35, 63% in this spot

22 of 35, 63% everywhere else

Under · TE · NOMIN at NO, Sun, Oct 11MIN allows #30 to TEs, 0.8x league ( vs a game)

Giants at CommandersSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

82Darnell Mooney over 18.5 receiving yards (-120): 11 of 11 in division games

11 of 11, 100% in this spot

16 of 24, 67% everywhere else

Over · WR · NYGNYG at WAS, Sun, Oct 11WAS allows #6 to WRs, 1.16x league ( vs a game)

player line

82Jayden Daniels over 31.5 rushing yards (-110): 11 of 12 at home outdoors

11 of 12, 92% in this spot

8 of 14, 57% everywhere else

Over · QB · WASNYG at WAS, Sun, Oct 11NYG allows #4 to QBs, 1.2x league ( vs a game)

player line

82Jayden Daniels over 32.5 rushing yards (-110): 11 of 12 at home outdoors

11 of 12, 92% in this spot

8 of 14, 57% everywhere else

Over · QB · WASNYG at WAS, Sun, Oct 11NYG allows #5 to QBs, 1.2x league ( vs a game)

player line

80Darnell Mooney over 17.5 receiving yards (-120): 11 of 11 in division games

11 of 11, 100% in this spot

16 of 23, 70% everywhere else

Over · WR · NYGNYG at WAS, Sun, Oct 11WAS allows #3 to WRs, 1.19x league ( vs a game)

+ 13 more on this game

player line

80Darnell Mooney over 1.5 catches (-115): 11 of 11 in division games

11 of 11, 100% in this spot

16 of 23, 70% everywhere else

Over · WR · NYGNYG at WAS, Sun, Oct 11WAS allows #3 to WRs, 1.14x league ( vs a game)

player line

74Jayden Daniels over 28.5 rushing yards (-115): 11 of 12 at home

11 of 12, 92% in this spot

9 of 14, 64% everywhere else

Over · QB · WASNYG at WAS, Sun, Oct 11NYG allows #5 to QBs, 1.2x league ( vs a game)

his history

72Jacory Croskey-Merritt has 5 of his last 6 games in division games outdoors with a rushing touchdown.hit (1)

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

2 of 14, 14% everywhere else

RB · WASNYG at WAS, Sun, Oct 11

team history

72The Commanders have gone over 11 of 13 in a division game after a losshit

11 of 13, 85% in this spot

23 of 42, 55% everywhere else

WAS

team history

71The Commanders have gone over 13 of 16 at home after a losshit

13 of 16, 81% in this spot

21 of 39, 54% everywhere else

WAS

player line

68Jameis Winston over 197.5 passing yards (-115): 6 of 10 outdoors as an underdog

6 of 10, 60% in this spot

2 of 6, 33% everywhere else

Over · QB · NYGNYG at WAS, Sun, Oct 11WAS allows #2 to QBs, 1.16x league ( vs a game)

player line

68Jameis Winston over 196.5 passing yards (-115): 6 of 10 outdoors as an underdog

6 of 10, 60% in this spot

2 of 6, 33% everywhere else

Over · QB · NYGNYG at WAS, Sun, Oct 11WAS allows #2 to QBs, 1.16x league ( vs a game)

player line

66Rachaad White over 23.5 rushing yards (-120)

23 of 35, 66% in this spot

23 of 35, 66% everywhere else

Over · RB · WASNYG at WAS, Sun, Oct 11NYG allows #1 to RBs, 1.21x league ( vs a game)

player line

66Rachaad White over 25.5 rushing yards (-115)

23 of 35, 66% in this spot

23 of 35, 66% everywhere else

Over · RB · WASNYG at WAS, Sun, Oct 11NYG allows #1 to RBs, 1.21x league ( vs a game)

team history

64The Commanders have gone over 15 of 20 in a division gamehit

15 of 20, 75% in this spot

19 of 35, 54% everywhere else

WAS

player line

63Jameis Winston over 2.5 rushing yards (-110): 5 of 7 on the road

5 of 7, 71% in this spot

4 of 9, 44% everywhere else

Over · QB · NYGNYG at WAS, Sun, Oct 11WAS allows #7 to QBs, 1.15x league ( vs a game)

team history

62The Giants have covered 6 of 8 in a division game when our model likes themhit

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

19 of 46, 41% everywhere else

NYG

player line

57Malik Nabers over 4.5 catches (-160): 6 of 6 on the road outdoors

6 of 6, 100% in this spot

12 of 16, 75% everywhere else

Over · WR · NYGNYG at WAS, Sun, Oct 11WAS allows #3 to WRs, 1.14x league ( vs a game)

Sunday late 4 games · 59 fire

Broncos at ChargersSun 4:05 PM ET

player line

82Bo Nix under 219.5 passing yards: 14 of 19 on the road

14 of 19, 74% in this spot

7 of 19, 37% everywhere else

Under · QB · DENDEN at LAC, Sun, Oct 11LAC allows #29 to QBs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

player line

82Bo Nix under 220.5 passing yards: 13 of 18 on the road

13 of 18, 72% in this spot

7 of 19, 37% everywhere else

Under · QB · DENDEN at LAC, Sun, Oct 11LAC allows #27 to QBs, 0.89x league ( vs a game)

player line

78Bo Nix under 217.5 passing yards: 13 of 19 on the road

13 of 19, 68% in this spot

7 of 19, 37% everywhere else

Under · QB · DENDEN at LAC, Sun, Oct 11LAC allows #29 to QBs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

his history

77Bo Nix has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with over 14.5 rushing yards.missed (10)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

7 of 19, 37% everywhere else

QB · DENDEN at LAC, Sun, Oct 11

+ 10 more on this game

his history

77Bo Nix has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with over 13.5 rushing yards.missed (10)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

7 of 19, 37% everywhere else

QB · DENDEN at LAC, Sun, Oct 11

player line

72RJ Harvey under 4.5 catches

15 of 19, 79% in this spot

15 of 19, 79% everywhere else

Under · RB · DENDEN at LAC, Sun, Oct 11LAC allows #26 to RBs, 0.83x league ( vs a game)

player line

68Keaton Mitchell under 31.5 rushing yards

13 of 17, 76% in this spot

13 of 17, 76% everywhere else

Under · RB · LACDEN at LAC, Sun, Oct 11DEN allows #27 to RBs, 0.85x league ( vs a game)

player line

62RJ Harvey under 26.5 receiving yards: 6 of 7 in division games

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

7 of 12, 58% everywhere else

Under · RB · DENDEN at LAC, Sun, Oct 11LAC allows #28 to RBs, 0.82x league ( vs a game)

team history

58The Broncos have gone over 6 of 8 as a road favoritemissed

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

21 of 47, 45% everywhere else

DEN

player line

58Keaton Mitchell under 32.5 rushing yards: 7 of 9 at home

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

6 of 9, 67% everywhere else

Under · RB · LACDEN at LAC, Sun, Oct 11DEN allows #27 to RBs, 0.85x league ( vs a game)

his history

56J.K. Dobbins has 6 of his last 7 games indoors as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.hit (68)

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

16 of 28, 57% everywhere else

RB · DENDEN at LAC, Sun, Oct 11

team history

55The Broncos have covered 7 of 10 as a favorite after a losshit

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

20 of 44, 46% everywhere else

DEN

team history

54The Chargers have covered 7 of 10 indoors when our model likes themmissed

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

20 of 43, 46% everywhere else

LAC

team history

50The Chargers have gone under 6 of 8 as an underdog in a division gamehit

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

28 of 47, 60% everywhere else

LAC

Lions at CardinalsSun 4:25 PM ET

player line

84Tyler Allgeier under 11.5 receiving yards

31 of 37, 84% in this spot

31 of 37, 84% everywhere else

Under · RB · ARIDET at ARI, Sun, Oct 11DET allows #31 to RBs, 0.76x league ( vs a game)

player line

84Tyler Allgeier under 10.5 receiving yards

32 of 38, 84% in this spot

32 of 38, 84% everywhere else

Under · RB · ARIDET at ARI, Sun, Oct 11DET allows #31 to RBs, 0.74x league ( vs a game)

player line

82Tyler Allgeier under 9.5 receiving yards

30 of 38, 79% in this spot

30 of 38, 79% everywhere else

Under · RB · ARIDET at ARI, Sun, Oct 11DET allows #31 to RBs, 0.74x league ( vs a game)

team history

77The Cardinals have gone over 16 of 19 at home after a losshit

16 of 19, 84% in this spot

14 of 35, 40% everywhere else

ARI

+ 7 more on this game

his history

72Michael Wilson has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.missed (30)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

2 of 9, 22% everywhere else

WR · ARIDET at ARI, Sun, Oct 11

his history

71Jameson Williams has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with over 3.5 catches.missed (2)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

5 of 12, 42% everywhere else

WR · DETDET at ARI, Sun, Oct 11

team history

66The Lions have gone over 19 of 26 as a favorite with a total of 48 or higherhit

19 of 26, 73% in this spot

31 of 61, 51% everywhere else

DET

his history

61Jahmyr Gibbs has 9 of his last 10 games on the road as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.hit (151)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

23 of 37, 62% everywhere else

RB · DETDET at ARI, Sun, Oct 11

team history

56The Lions have covered 13 of 17 as a favorite after a losshit

13 of 17, 76% in this spot

41 of 69, 59% everywhere else

DET

team history

54The Lions have covered 7 of 9 as a road favorite with a total of 48 or higherhit

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

47 of 77, 61% everywhere else

DET

player line

54Elijah Higgins over 9.5 receiving yards (-115): 15 of 22 as an underdog

15 of 22, 68% in this spot

5 of 9, 56% everywhere else

Over · TE · ARIDET at ARI, Sun, Oct 11DET allows #5 to TEs, 1.19x league ( vs a game)

49ers at SeahawksSun 4:25 PM ET

player line

84Sam Darnold under 3.5 rushing yards: 12 of 20 outdoors as a favorite

12 of 20, 60% in this spot

4 of 16, 25% everywhere else

Under · QB · SEASF at SEA, Sun, Oct 11SF allows #30 to QBs, 0.67x league ( vs a game)

player line

84Sam Darnold under 4.5 rushing yards: 12 of 20 outdoors as a favorite

12 of 20, 60% in this spot

4 of 16, 25% everywhere else

Under · QB · SEASF at SEA, Sun, Oct 11SF allows #30 to QBs, 0.67x league ( vs a game)

his history

80Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 9 of his last 10 games in division games with 75+ receiving yards.hit (102)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

14 of 35, 40% everywhere else

WR · SEASF at SEA, Sun, Oct 11

his history

80Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 8 of his last 10 games at home with over 90.5 receiving yards.hit (102)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

10 of 28, 36% everywhere else

WR · SEASF at SEA, Sun, Oct 11

+ 10 more on this game

his history

80Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 8 of his last 10 games at home with over 91.5 receiving yards.hit (102)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

10 of 28, 36% everywhere else

WR · SEASF at SEA, Sun, Oct 11

team history

77The 49ers have gone over 17 of 21 outdoors when our model likes themhit

17 of 21, 81% in this spot

23 of 49, 47% everywhere else

his history

75Christian McCaffrey has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with over 4.5 catches.missed (3)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

14 of 30, 47% everywhere else

RB · SFSF at SEA, Sun, Oct 11

player line

74Christian McCaffrey over 36.5 receiving yards (-115)

17 of 24, 71% in this spot

17 of 24, 71% everywhere else

Over · RB · SFSF at SEA, Sun, Oct 11SEA allows #7 to RBs, 1.16x league ( vs a game)

his history

74Christian McCaffrey has 9 of his last 10 games on the road with over 51.5 rushing yards.hit (68)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

18 of 30, 60% everywhere else

RB · SFSF at SEA, Sun, Oct 11

his history

71Christian McCaffrey has 9 of his last 10 games on the road with 50+ rushing yards.hit (68)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

18 of 29, 62% everywhere else

RB · SFSF at SEA, Sun, Oct 11

his history

70Christian McCaffrey has 9 of his last 10 games on the road with over 50.5 rushing yards.hit (68)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

19 of 30, 63% everywhere else

RB · SFSF at SEA, Sun, Oct 11

team history

62The 49ers have gone over 10 of 13 on the road in a division gamehit

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

30 of 57, 53% everywhere else

team history

62The 49ers have covered 10 of 13 on the road in a division gamehit

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

29 of 59, 49% everywhere else

his history

58Brock Purdy has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with 2+ passing touchdowns.hit (2)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

15 of 28, 54% everywhere else

QB · SFSF at SEA, Sun, Oct 11

Ravens at FalconsSun 8:20 PM ET

player line

85Michael Penix Jr. over 221.5 passing yards (-115): 5 of 6 in prime time

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

3 of 10, 30% everywhere else

Over · QB · ATLBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11BAL allows #5 to QBs, 1.12x league ( vs a game)

his history

82Derrick Henry has 10 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.hit (102)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

17 of 27, 63% everywhere else

RB · BALBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11

his history

80Michael Penix Jr. has 5 of his last 6 games in prime time with over 219.5 passing yards.hit (240)

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

4 of 10, 40% everywhere else

QB · ATLBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11

his history

80Michael Penix Jr. has 5 of his last 6 games in prime time with over 218.5 passing yards.hit (240)

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

4 of 10, 40% everywhere else

QB · ATLBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11

+ 16 more on this game

player line

76Olamide Zaccheaus over 0.5 catches (-250)

31 of 33, 94% in this spot

31 of 33, 94% everywhere else

Over · WR · ATLBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11BAL allows #1 to WRs, 1.2x league ( vs a game)

player line

76Michael Penix Jr. over 219.5 passing yards (-115): 4 of 5 in prime time

4 of 5, 80% in this spot

4 of 10, 40% everywhere else

Over · QB · ATLBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11BAL allows #4 to QBs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

player line

76Michael Penix Jr. over 216.5 passing yards (-115): 4 of 5 in prime time

4 of 5, 80% in this spot

4 of 10, 40% everywhere else

Over · QB · ATLBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11BAL allows #4 to QBs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

his history

71Lamar Jackson has 8 of his last 10 games in prime time with 2+ passing touchdowns.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

17 of 41, 42% everywhere else

QB · BALBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11

his history

70Derrick Henry has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with over 84.5 rushing yards.hit (102)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

18 of 35, 51% everywhere else

RB · BALBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11

his history

70Derrick Henry has 10 of his last 10 games in prime time with 50+ rushing yards.hit (102)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

38 of 49, 78% everywhere else

RB · BALBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11

his history

70Drake London has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ receiving yards.hit (118)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

18 of 33, 55% everywhere else

WR · ATLBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11

team history

68The Falcons have covered 7 of 10 as an underdog in prime timemissed

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

15 of 45, 33% everywhere else

ATL

his history

63Zay Flowers has 9 of his last 10 games on the road with 50+ receiving yards.hit (53)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

16 of 25, 64% everywhere else

WR · BALBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11

his history

62Zay Flowers has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with over 67.5 receiving yards.missed (53)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

14 of 26, 54% everywhere else

WR · BALBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11

his history

60Derrick Henry has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with over 80.5 rushing yards.hit (102)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

21 of 35, 60% everywhere else

RB · BALBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11

his history

60Derrick Henry has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with over 79.5 rushing yards.hit (102)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

22 of 35, 63% everywhere else

RB · BALBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11

his history

56Bijan Robinson has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 100+ yards from scrimmage.missed (16)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

12 of 22, 55% everywhere else

RB · ATLBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11

player line

53Mark Andrews under 4.5 catches: 16 of 19 on the road

16 of 19, 84% in this spot

14 of 19, 74% everywhere else

Under · TE · BALBAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11ATL allows #27 to TEs, 0.84x league ( vs a game)

team history

50The Falcons have gone under 6 of 8 as a home underdogmissed

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

25 of 47, 53% everywhere else

ATL

team history

50The Ravens have covered 7 of 10 on the road in prime timehit

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

22 of 44, 50% everywhere else

BAL

Monday 1 game · 9 fire

Bills at RamsMon 8:15 PM ET

team history

76The Bills have gone under 7 of 9 on the road in prime timemissed

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

18 of 45, 40% everywhere else

BUF

player line

74Colby Parkinson under 16.5 receiving yards: 5 of 7 in prime time at home

5 of 7, 71% in this spot

9 of 25, 36% everywhere else

Under · TE · LABUF at LA, Mon, Oct 12BUF allows #31 to TEs, 0.65x league ( vs a game)

team history

72The Rams have gone under 10 of 13 as a home favorite with a total of 48 or highermissed

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

35 of 76, 46% everywhere else

his history

72James Cook has 9 of his last 10 games on the road with 50+ rushing yards.hit (111)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

19 of 36, 53% everywhere else

RB · BUFBUF at LA, Mon, Oct 12

+ 5 more on this game

player line

70Ty Johnson over 12.5 receiving yards (-110): 4 of 6 on the road indoors

4 of 6, 67% in this spot

9 of 30, 30% everywhere else

Over · RB · BUFBUF at LA, Mon, Oct 12LA allows #9 to RBs, 1.14x league ( vs a game)

player line

69Colby Parkinson under 2.5 catches: 6 of 7 in prime time at home

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

14 of 25, 56% everywhere else

Under · TE · LABUF at LA, Mon, Oct 12BUF allows #32 to TEs, 0.62x league ( vs a game)

team history

68The Rams have gone under 9 of 12 in prime time with a total of 48 or highermissed

9 of 12, 75% in this spot

36 of 77, 47% everywhere else

player line

62Ty Johnson over 11.5 receiving yards (-110): 4 of 6 on the road indoors

4 of 6, 67% in this spot

11 of 30, 37% everywhere else

Over · RB · BUFBUF at LA, Mon, Oct 12LA allows #9 to RBs, 1.14x league ( vs a game)

his history

58Josh Allen has 8 of his last 10 games in prime time with 2+ passing touchdowns.missed (1)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

23 of 43, 54% everywhere else

QB · BUFBUF at LA, Mon, Oct 12

← Week 4 The 2026 record Week 6 →

Go deeper

Opens This week's board Model trends Shop every book

NFL Week 5 Game Lines and Results, 2026

Game lines

On the card (1)

Prop spots (0)

Watching, not bets (1)

On the card (1)

Prop spots (0)

Watching, not bets (4)

On the card (2)

Prop spots (0)

Watching, not bets (5)

On the card (2)

Prop spots (0)

Watching, not bets (2)

On the card (2)

Prop spots (0)

Watching, not bets (6)

On the card (3)

Prop spots (0)

Watching, not bets (3)

On the card (4)

Prop spots (0)

Watching, not bets (3)

On the card (3)

Prop spots (0)

Watching, not bets (8)

On the card (1)

Prop spots (0)

Watching, not bets (3)

On the card (1)

Prop spots (0)

Watching, not bets (4)

On the card (2)

Prop spots (0)

Watching, not bets (1)

On the card (5)

Prop spots (0)

Watching, not bets (3)

On the card (1)

Prop spots (0)

Watching, not bets (4)

On the card (1)

Prop spots (0)

Watching, not bets (6)

On the card (0)

Prop spots (0)

Watching, not bets (6)

Model trends

The official card, graded 88 picks in 15 games

Thursday 1 game · 20 fire

Sunday early 9 games · 100 fire

Sunday late 4 games · 59 fire

Monday 1 game · 9 fire

Go deeper