Weekly Lines · 2026
Week 4.
16 games, 3 plays posted before kickoff. 0 of 16 played so far. Our number on the three biggest disagreements is free; the rest is the Betting Pass until the week settles.
This week's plays: no graded plays yet. Season through week 4: no graded plays yet.
| Game | Market | Total | Our number | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 KC @  LVSun, Oct 4 16:25 ET | LV +5.5 | 43.5 | LV -1.7 | Sun, Oct 4 16:25 ET |
 TEN @  BALSun, Oct 4 13:00 ET | BAL -8.5 | 47.5 | BAL -1.4 | Sun, Oct 4 13:00 ET |
 MIA @  MINSun, Oct 4 16:05 ET | MIN -7.5 | 43.5 | MIN -1.7 | Sun, Oct 4 16:05 ET |
 DET @  CARSun, Oct 4 20:20 ET | CAR +3 | 47.5 | CAR ••• | Sun, Oct 4 20:20 ET |
 ARI @  NYGSun, Oct 4 13:00 ET | NYG -7 | 45.5 | NYG ••• | Sun, Oct 4 13:00 ET |
 JAX @  CINSun, Oct 4 13:00 ET | CIN -2.5 | 51.5 | CIN ••• | Sun, Oct 4 13:00 ET |
 PIT @  CLEThu, Oct 1 20:15 ET | CLE +2.5 | 40.5 | CLE ••• | Thu, Oct 1 20:15 ET |
 NE @  BUFSun, Oct 4 13:00 ET | BUF -3 | 49.5 | BUF ••• | Sun, Oct 4 13:00 ET |
 NYJ @  CHISun, Oct 4 13:00 ET | CHI -8.5 | 45.5 | CHI ••• | Sun, Oct 4 13:00 ET |
 DAL @  HOUSun, Oct 4 13:00 ET | HOU -2.5 | 47.5 | HOU ••• | Sun, Oct 4 13:00 ET |
 DEN @  SFSun, Oct 4 16:25 ET | SF -2.5 | 46.5 | SF ••• | Sun, Oct 4 16:25 ET |
 ATL @  NOMon, Oct 5 20:15 ET | NO -2.5 | 45.5 | NO ••• | Mon, Oct 5 20:15 ET |
 GB @  TBSun, Oct 4 13:00 ET | TB +1.5 | 47.5 | TB ••• | Sun, Oct 4 13:00 ET |
 LA @  PHISun, Oct 4 13:00 ET | PHI +1.5 | 47.5 | PHI ••• | Sun, Oct 4 13:00 ET |
 LAC @  SEASun, Oct 4 16:25 ET | SEA -3 | 45.5 | SEA ••• | Sun, Oct 4 16:25 ET |
 IND @  WASSun, Oct 4 09:30 ET | WAS -1.5 | 50.5 | WAS ••• | Sun, Oct 4 09:30 ET |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
MIA @ MIN - model fades them by 3.0+, big favorite (7+), in a dome, on turf 82-50 (62%)
- model fades them by 3.0+, big favorite (7+), in a dome 99-63 (61%)
- model fades them by 3.0+, favorite, big favorite (7+), in a dome 99-63 (61%)
- and 1 more angle on this side
ATL @ NO PIT @ CLE TOTALRead it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. Every play is graded at the number we posted before kickoff, never at the closing line. A TEST rule is pre-registered to settle a question in public and is never counted in the record.