Game lines · 2026

NFL Week 4 Game Lines and Results, 2026

16 games, 12 bets on the card. Every number is open.

Game lines

Game	Line	Our number	Final
LA @ PHISun, Oct 4 13:00 ET	PHI +3o/u 42.5 · opened +1.5	PHI -3.2	LA 24 at PHI 20PHI +3.5 closed · LA coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (1) Johnny Mundt over 6.5 receiving yards watchingtiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role check Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
NYJ @ CHISun, Oct 4 13:00 ET	CHI -3.5o/u 43.5 · opened -8.5	CHI -9	NYJ 12 at CHI 23CHI -3.5 closed · CHI coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) CHI -3.5 1uNYJ at CHI · angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (1) Garrett Wilson over 75.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
GB @ TBSun, Oct 4 13:00 ET	TB +3.5o/u 38.5 · opened +1.5	TB -1.9	GB 17 at TB 14TB +3 closed · pushSee the matchup →
On the card (1) Over 38.5 1uGB at TB · angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (1) Jonnu Smith over 7.5 receiving yards watchingtiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role check Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
ARI @ NYGSun, Oct 4 13:00 ET	NYG +2.5o/u 44.5 · opened -7	NYG -1.5	ARI 24 at NYG 36NYG +2.5 closed · NYG coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) Over 44.5 2uARI at NYG · angle card, 4 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (3) Malachi Fields under 1.5 catches watching6'3"+ WR vs a defense beaten by tall receivers: catches under (59.9% of 434) Theo Johnson over 8.5 receiving yards watchingtiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role check Elijah Higgins over 4.5 receiving yards watchingtiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role check Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
DET @ CARSun, Oct 4 20:20 ET	CAR +3.5o/u 52.5 · opened +3	CAR +6.2	DET 26 at CAR 32CAR +4.5 closed · CAR coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (5) Isaac TeSlaa under 1.5 catches watching6'3"+ WR vs a defense beaten by tall receivers: catches under (59.9% of 434) Amon-Ra St. Brown under 77.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Jahmyr Gibbs over 97.5 rushing yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Jameson Williams under 51.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Darren Waller over 23.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
IND @ WASSun, Oct 4 09:30 ET	WAS +3.5o/u 46.5 · opened -1.5	WAS +1.2	IND 30 at WAS 13WAS +4.5 closed · IND coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) Over 46.5 1uIND at WAS · angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (3) Jonathan Taylor over 89.5 rushing yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Chig Okonkwo over 23.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Antonio Williams anytime TD watchinganytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
PIT @ CLEThu, Oct 1 20:15 ET	CLE +2.5o/u 38.5	CLE +0.6	PIT 24 at CLE 27CLE +2.5 closed · CLE coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) Under 38.5 1uPIT at CLE · angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (1) Jerry Jeudy over 13.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
LAC @ SEASun, Oct 4 16:25 ET	SEA -7o/u 42.5 · opened -3	SEA -5.5	LAC 23 at SEA 30SEA -7 closed · pushSee the matchup →
On the card (1) LAC +7 2uLAC at SEA · angle card, 5 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (4) AJ Barner under 3.5 catches watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Sam Darnold under 232.5 passing yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Over 42.5 watchingall-angles evidence +5.8 past luck George Holani under 7.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
NE @ BUFSun, Oct 4 13:00 ET	BUF -6.5o/u 49.5 · opened -3	BUF -7.9	NE 29 at BUF 26BUF -7 closed · NE coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (4) Hunter Henry under 3.5 catches watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Drake Maye under 230.5 passing yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Rhamondre Stevenson under 18.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Josh Allen under 31.5 rushing yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
DAL @ HOUSun, Oct 4 13:00 ET	HOU -3o/u 48.5 · opened -2.5	HOU -4.3	DAL 34 at HOU 30HOU -3 closed · DAL coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) HOU -3 1uDAL at HOU · angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (6) Javonte Williams under 60.5 rushing yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree David Montgomery over 10.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Ryan Flournoy under 3.5 catches watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Nico Collins over 75.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Jaylin Noel over 11.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Foster Moreau over 7.5 receiving yards watchingtiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role check Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
JAX @ CINSun, Oct 4 13:00 ET	CIN -2.5o/u 51.5	CIN -1.7	JAX 22 at CIN 17CIN -2.5 closed · JAX coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) Over 51.5 1uJAX at CIN · angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (3) Parker Washington under 5.5 catches watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Drew Sample over 6.5 receiving yards watchingtiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role check Brian Thomas Jr. anytime TD watchinganytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
TEN @ BALSun, Oct 4 13:00 ET	BAL -11.5o/u 42.5 · opened -8.5	BAL -10.7	TEN 18 at BAL 24BAL -11.5 closed · TEN coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) Over 42.5 2uTEN at BAL · angle card, 3 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (1) Gunnar Helm under 17.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
ATL @ NOMon, Oct 5 20:15 ET	NO -2.5o/u 47.5	NO -3.2	ATL 45 at NO 24NO -1.5 closed · ATL coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (6) Jahan Dotson under 18.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Bijan Robinson under 4.5 catches watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Alvin Kamara over 38.5 rushing yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Michael Penix Jr. under 224.5 passing yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Drake London under 78.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Olamide Zaccheaus over 7.5 receiving yards watchingtiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role check Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
KC @ LVSun, Oct 4 16:25 ET	LV +4.5o/u 47.5 · opened +5.5	LV +4.9	KC 30 at LV 27LV +4.5 closed · LV coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (4) Ashton Jeanty under 60.5 rushing yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Over 47.5 watchingall-angles evidence +3.8 past luck Brock Bowers under 73.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Cody White under 1.5 catches watching6'3"+ WR vs a defense beaten by tall receivers: catches under (59.9% of 434) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
DEN @ SFSun, Oct 4 16:25 ET	SF -3o/u 48.5 · opened -2.5	SF -2.7	DEN 14 at SF 24SF -3 closed · SF coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (1) Over 47.5 1uDEN at SF · angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (4) DEN +3 watchingall-angles evidence +4.1 past luck Kyle Juszczyk under 1.5 catches watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Lil'Jordan Humphrey anytime TD watchinganytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026) Adam Trautman over 5.5 receiving yards watchingtiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role check Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
MIA @ MINSun, Oct 4 16:05 ET	MIN -10.5o/u 38.5 · opened -7.5	MIN -10.3	MIA 10 at MIN 15MIN -10 closed · MIA coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (2) MIA +10.5 2uMIA at MIN · angle card, 5 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay) Over 38.5 1uMIA at MIN · angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay) Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. Watching, not bets (2) Jordan Addison under 54.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree Ryan Miller over 3.5 receiving yards watchingtiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role check Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →

Market and our number as posted before kickoff; the closing line and cover show once a game settles. Triggers is how much we have on the game: click it.

Nothing graded yet; grades land after each week is played.

Model trends

177 fire in week 4. Thursday has 10. Logged before kickoff, graded after. The number is confidence, where 50 is a coin flip; the bright bar is this spot, the faded bar is everywhere else. Every card opens its game.

Cut it

The week's card and what fired, by email

The official card, graded 61 picks in 16 games

Small plays: 3-8-1 (-4.5u)Watching: 22-23

Every pick stamped before kickoff, graded at the price we posted.

MIA at MIN1-1 (+0.8u)

Small play, 2uMIA +10.5 Angle card, 5 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay)WIN
Small play, 1uOver 38.5 Angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay)LOSS
Watching, 0uJordan Addison under 54.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Watching, 0uRyan Miller over 3.5 receiving yards Tiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role checkvoid

LAC at SEA0-0-1 (+0.0u)

Small play, 2uLAC +7 Angle card, 5 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay)push
Watching, 0uAJ Barner under 3.5 catches Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Watching, 0uSam Darnold under 232.5 passing yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Watching, 0uOver 42.5 All-angles evidence +5.8 past luckWIN
Watching, 0uGeorge Holani under 7.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN

ARI at NYG1-0 (+1.8u)

Small play, 2uOver 44.5 Angle card, 4 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay)WIN
Watching, 0uMalachi Fields under 1.5 catches 6'3"+ WR vs a defense beaten by tall receivers: catches under (59.9% of 434)LOSS
Watching, 0uTheo Johnson over 8.5 receiving yards Tiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role checkWIN
Watching, 0uElijah Higgins over 4.5 receiving yards Tiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role checkWIN

TEN at BAL0-1 (-2.0u)

Small play, 2uOver 42.5 Angle card, 3 reasons (59.4% in the 2020-2025 replay)LOSS
Watching, 0uGunnar Helm under 17.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN

PIT at CLE0-1 (-1.0u)

Small play, 1uUnder 38.5 Angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay)LOSS
Watching, 0uJerry Jeudy over 13.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN

DAL at HOU0-1 (-1.0u)

Small play, 1uHOU -3 Angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay)LOSS
Watching, 0uJavonte Williams under 60.5 rushing yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uDavid Montgomery over 10.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uRyan Flournoy under 3.5 catches Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uNico Collins over 75.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Watching, 0uJaylin Noel over 11.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Watching, 0uFoster Moreau over 7.5 receiving yards Tiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role checkLOSS

GB at TB0-1 (-1.0u)

Small play, 1uOver 38.5 Angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay)LOSS
Watching, 0uJonnu Smith over 7.5 receiving yards Tiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role checkWIN

JAX at CIN0-1 (-1.0u)

Small play, 1uOver 51.5 Angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay)LOSS
Watching, 0uParker Washington under 5.5 catches Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Watching, 0uDrew Sample over 6.5 receiving yards Tiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role checkvoid
Watching, 0uBrian Thomas Jr. anytime TD Anytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026)WIN

DEN at SF0-1 (-1.0u)

Small play, 1uOver 47.5 Angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay)LOSS
Watching, 0uDEN +3 All-angles evidence +4.1 past luckLOSS
Watching, 0uKyle Juszczyk under 1.5 catches Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uLil'Jordan Humphrey anytime TD Anytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026)void
Watching, 0uAdam Trautman over 5.5 receiving yards Tiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role checkLOSS

NYJ at CHI1-0 (+0.9u)

Small play, 1uCHI -3.5 Angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay)WIN
Watching, 0uGarrett Wilson over 75.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS

IND at WAS0-1 (-1.0u)

Small play, 1uOver 46.5 Angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay)LOSS
Watching, 0uJonathan Taylor over 89.5 rushing yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Watching, 0uChig Okonkwo over 23.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uAntonio Williams anytime TD Anytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026)LOSS

DET at CARwatching only

Watching, 0uIsaac TeSlaa under 1.5 catches 6'3"+ WR vs a defense beaten by tall receivers: catches under (59.9% of 434)LOSS
Watching, 0uAmon-Ra St. Brown under 77.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Watching, 0uJahmyr Gibbs over 97.5 rushing yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uJameson Williams under 51.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uDarren Waller over 23.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN

NE at BUFwatching only

Watching, 0uHunter Henry under 3.5 catches Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uDrake Maye under 230.5 passing yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uRhamondre Stevenson under 18.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uJosh Allen under 31.5 rushing yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN

KC at LVwatching only

Watching, 0uAshton Jeanty under 60.5 rushing yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Watching, 0uOver 47.5 All-angles evidence +3.8 past luckWIN
Watching, 0uBrock Bowers under 73.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uCody White under 1.5 catches 6'3"+ WR vs a defense beaten by tall receivers: catches under (59.9% of 434)LOSS

LA at PHIwatching only

Watching, 0uJohnny Mundt over 6.5 receiving yards Tiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role checkvoid

ATL at NOwatching only

Watching, 0uJahan Dotson under 18.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uBijan Robinson under 4.5 catches Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Watching, 0uAlvin Kamara over 38.5 rushing yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uMichael Penix Jr. under 224.5 passing yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeWIN
Watching, 0uDrake London under 78.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agreeLOSS
Watching, 0uOlamide Zaccheaus over 7.5 receiving yards Tiny receiving line over (64.6% of 785), with an active and role checkLOSS

Thursday 1 game · 10 fire

Steelers at BrownsThu 8:15 PM ET

player line

82Jerry Jeudy over 1.5 catches (+125)

29 of 36, 81% in this spot

29 of 36, 81% everywhere else

Over · WR · CLEPIT at CLE, Thu, Oct 1PIT allows #4 to WRs, 1.1x league ( vs a game)

team history

77The Browns have gone under 9 of 11 at home when our model likes themmissed

9 of 11, 82% in this spot

17 of 42, 40% everywhere else

CLE

his history

72Quinshon Judkins has 5 of his last 6 games at home as an underdog with 50+ rushing yards.hit (53)

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

4 of 11, 36% everywhere else

RB · CLEPIT at CLE, Thu, Oct 1

his history

72Michael Pittman has 8 of his last 10 games on the road as a favorite with 6+ catches.missed (2)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

22 of 56, 39% everywhere else

WR · PITPIT at CLE, Thu, Oct 1

+ 6 more on this game

team history

72The Steelers have gone over 11 of 15 outdoors in prime timehit

11 of 15, 73% in this spot

14 of 39, 36% everywhere else

PIT

team history

72The Browns have covered 7 of 9 at home in a division gamehit

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

16 of 43, 37% everywhere else

CLE

player line

60Jerry Jeudy over 13.5 receiving yards (-120): 12 of 12 in division games

12 of 12, 100% in this spot

21 of 24, 88% everywhere else

Over · WR · CLEPIT at CLE, Thu, Oct 1PIT allows #7 to WRs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

player line

60Jerry Jeudy over 14.5 receiving yards (-115): 12 of 12 in division games

12 of 12, 100% in this spot

21 of 24, 88% everywhere else

Over · WR · CLEPIT at CLE, Thu, Oct 1PIT allows #7 to WRs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

team history

57The Steelers have gone under 6 of 8 as a favorite in a division gamemissed

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

23 of 46, 50% everywhere else

PIT

team history

57The Steelers have covered 14 of 19 in a division gamemissed

14 of 19, 74% in this spot

18 of 34, 53% everywhere else

PIT

Sunday early 9 games · 90 fire

Colts at CommandersSun 9:30 AM ET

player line

80Darius Slayton over 15.5 receiving yards (-115)

23 of 30, 77% in this spot

23 of 30, 77% everywhere else

Over · WR · INDIND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4WAS allows #3 to WRs, 1.19x league ( vs a game)

player line

80Darius Slayton over 13.5 receiving yards (-105)

23 of 30, 77% in this spot

23 of 30, 77% everywhere else

Over · WR · INDIND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4WAS allows #3 to WRs, 1.19x league ( vs a game)

player line

76Jonathan Taylor over 89.5 rushing yards (-115): 10 of 15 as a favorite

10 of 15, 67% in this spot

7 of 19, 37% everywhere else

Over · RB · INDIND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4WAS allows #5 to RBs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

player line

76Jonathan Taylor over 88.5 rushing yards (-115): 10 of 15 as a favorite

10 of 15, 67% in this spot

7 of 19, 37% everywhere else

Over · RB · INDIND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4WAS allows #5 to RBs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

+ 11 more on this game

player line

76Jonathan Taylor over 90.5 rushing yards (-105): 10 of 15 as a favorite

10 of 15, 67% in this spot

7 of 19, 37% everywhere else

Over · RB · INDIND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4WAS allows #5 to RBs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

team history

72The Commanders have gone over 25 of 35 as an underdogmissed

25 of 35, 71% in this spot

9 of 19, 47% everywhere else

WAS

player line

70Chig Okonkwo over 2.5 catches (-130): 12 of 16 at home

12 of 16, 75% in this spot

9 of 18, 50% everywhere else

Over · TE · WASIND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4IND allows #3 to TEs, 1.16x league ( vs a game)

team history

68The Commanders have gone over 20 of 27 as an underdog outdoorsmissed

20 of 27, 74% in this spot

14 of 27, 52% everywhere else

WAS

player line

68Keenan Allen over 3.5 catches (-135)

25 of 35, 71% in this spot

25 of 35, 71% everywhere else

Over · WR · INDIND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4WAS allows #3 to WRs, 1.14x league ( vs a game)

player line

66Chig Okonkwo over 23.5 receiving yards (-110): 8 of 12 at home as an underdog

8 of 12, 67% in this spot

10 of 22, 45% everywhere else

Over · TE · WASIND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4IND allows #2 to TEs, 1.3x league ( vs a game)

player line

66Chig Okonkwo over 22.5 receiving yards (-110): 8 of 12 at home as an underdog

8 of 12, 67% in this spot

10 of 22, 45% everywhere else

Over · TE · WASIND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4IND allows #2 to TEs, 1.3x league ( vs a game)

player line

60Darius Slayton over 1.5 catches (+165): 10 of 15 on the road

10 of 15, 67% in this spot

10 of 15, 67% everywhere else

Over · WR · INDIND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4WAS allows #3 to WRs, 1.14x league ( vs a game)

his history

60Jonathan Taylor has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.hit (95)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

22 of 31, 71% everywhere else

RB · INDIND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4

team history

60The Commanders have gone over 14 of 19 at home when our model likes themmissed

14 of 19, 74% in this spot

20 of 35, 57% everywhere else

WAS

his history

53Terry McLaurin has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

15 of 26, 58% everywhere else

WR · WASIND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4

Cardinals at GiantsSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

82Theo Johnson over 8.5 receiving yards (-110)

23 of 27, 85% in this spot

23 of 27, 85% everywhere else

Over · TE · NYGARI at NYG, Sun, Oct 4ARI allows #3 to TEs, 1.27x league ( vs a game)

his history

72Trey McBride has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with a receiving touchdown.missed (0)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

6 of 29, 21% everywhere else

TE · ARIARI at NYG, Sun, Oct 4

his history

72Jacoby Brissett has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with 2+ passing touchdowns.hit (2)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 19, 21% everywhere else

QB · ARIARI at NYG, Sun, Oct 4

player line

69Theo Johnson over 1.5 catches (+175)

19 of 27, 70% in this spot

19 of 27, 70% everywhere else

Over · TE · NYGARI at NYG, Sun, Oct 4ARI allows #2 to TEs, 1.16x league ( vs a game)

+ 2 more on this game

team history

60The Giants have gone under 14 of 20 outdoors when our model likes themmissed

14 of 20, 70% in this spot

16 of 34, 47% everywhere else

NYG

team history

50The Cardinals have gone over 7 of 10 as a favoritehit

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

22 of 43, 51% everywhere else

ARI

Cowboys at TexansSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

77Nico Collins over 75.5 receiving yards (-115): 10 of 16 as a favorite

10 of 16, 62% in this spot

4 of 12, 33% everywhere else

Over · WR · HOUDAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4DAL allows #4 to WRs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

player line

77Nico Collins over 76.5 receiving yards (-115): 10 of 16 as a favorite

10 of 16, 62% in this spot

4 of 12, 33% everywhere else

Over · WR · HOUDAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4DAL allows #4 to WRs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

his history

76Nico Collins has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.hit (118)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

17 of 30, 57% everywhere else

WR · HOUDAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4

player line

74Nico Collins over 73.5 receiving yards (-115): 11 of 16 as a favorite

11 of 16, 69% in this spot

5 of 12, 42% everywhere else

Over · WR · HOUDAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4DAL allows #4 to WRs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

+ 12 more on this game

player line

72David Montgomery over 10.5 receiving yards (-115)

23 of 34, 68% in this spot

23 of 34, 68% everywhere else

Over · RB · HOUDAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4DAL allows #3 to RBs, 1.27x league ( vs a game)

player line

72David Montgomery over 11.5 receiving yards (-110)

23 of 34, 68% in this spot

23 of 34, 68% everywhere else

Over · RB · HOUDAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4DAL allows #3 to RBs, 1.27x league ( vs a game)

team history

68The Texans have gone under 8 of 9 as a home favorite after a lossmissed

8 of 9, 89% in this spot

26 of 44, 59% everywhere else

HOU

player line

68Ryan Flournoy under 3.5 catches

18 of 23, 78% in this spot

18 of 23, 78% everywhere else

Under · WR · DALDAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4HOU allows #28 to WRs, 0.89x league ( vs a game)

player line

65Javonte Williams under 58.5 rushing yards: 8 of 11 on the road as an underdog

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

12 of 25, 48% everywhere else

Under · RB · DALDAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4HOU allows #30 to RBs, 0.78x league ( vs a game)

team history

65The Texans have gone under 10 of 12 as a favorite after a lossmissed

10 of 12, 83% in this spot

24 of 41, 58% everywhere else

HOU

player line

60David Montgomery over 1.5 catches (-125): 11 of 18 at home

11 of 18, 61% in this spot

8 of 16, 50% everywhere else

Over · RB · HOUDAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4DAL allows #9 to RBs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

player line

59Javonte Williams under 60.5 rushing yards: 8 of 11 on the road as an underdog

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

14 of 25, 56% everywhere else

Under · RB · DALDAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4HOU allows #30 to RBs, 0.78x league ( vs a game)

player line

58Jaylin Noel over 11.5 receiving yards (-120): 6 of 8 as a favorite

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

5 of 9, 56% everywhere else

Over · WR · HOUDAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4DAL allows #4 to WRs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

player line

58Jaylin Noel over 12.5 receiving yards (-110): 5 of 8 at home

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

4 of 9, 44% everywhere else

Over · WR · HOUDAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4DAL allows #4 to WRs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

his history

58CeeDee Lamb has 10 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.hit (189)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

30 of 38, 79% everywhere else

WR · DALDAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4

team history

57The Texans have gone under 10 of 13 at home after a lossmissed

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

24 of 40, 60% everywhere else

HOU

Packers at BuccaneersSun 1:00 PM ET

team history

74The Packers have gone under 7 of 9 after a loss with extra resthit

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

17 of 44, 39% everywhere else

his history

72Josh Jacobs has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with a rushing touchdown.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

7 of 22, 32% everywhere else

RB · GBGB at TB, Sun, Oct 4

team history

72The Packers have gone under 8 of 11 on the road after a losshit

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

16 of 42, 38% everywhere else

his history

70Bucky Irving has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.hit (61)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

7 of 13, 54% everywhere else

RB · TBGB at TB, Sun, Oct 4

+ 2 more on this game

player line

58Jonnu Smith over 1.5 catches (+155): 6 of 6 on the road as a favorite

6 of 6, 100% in this spot

22 of 30, 73% everywhere else

Over · TE · GBGB at TB, Sun, Oct 4TB allows #8 to TEs, 1.1x league ( vs a game)

team history

52The Packers have gone over 6 of 8 on the road with a total of 41 or undermissed

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

23 of 45, 51% everywhere else

Jaguars at BengalsSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

82Samaje Perine under 13.5 rushing yards: 14 of 18 outdoors as a favorite

14 of 18, 78% in this spot

7 of 16, 44% everywhere else

Under · RB · CINJAX at CIN, Sun, Oct 4JAX allows #32 to RBs, 0.7x league ( vs a game)

player line

79Samaje Perine under 15.5 rushing yards: 16 of 21 as a favorite

16 of 21, 76% in this spot

6 of 13, 46% everywhere else

Under · RB · CINJAX at CIN, Sun, Oct 4JAX allows #32 to RBs, 0.7x league ( vs a game)

team history

76The Bengals have gone over 8 of 9 as a home favorite after a lossmissed

8 of 9, 89% in this spot

46 of 92, 50% everywhere else

CIN

player line

74Parker Washington under 5.5 catches: 20 of 23 outdoors

20 of 23, 87% in this spot

4 of 7, 57% everywhere else

Under · WR · JAXJAX at CIN, Sun, Oct 4CIN allows #32 to WRs, 0.81x league ( vs a game)

+ 5 more on this game

his history

68Chase Brown has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.missed (10)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

8 of 18, 44% everywhere else

RB · CINJAX at CIN, Sun, Oct 4

his history

64Ja'Marr Chase has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 6+ catches.missed (3)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

19 of 32, 59% everywhere else

WR · CINJAX at CIN, Sun, Oct 4

team history

62The Bengals have covered 10 of 12 as a favorite with a total of 48 or highermissed

10 of 12, 83% in this spot

48 of 88, 55% everywhere else

CIN

team history

62The Bengals have gone over 14 of 20 at home after a lossmissed

14 of 20, 70% in this spot

40 of 81, 49% everywhere else

CIN

his history

54Tee Higgins has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.hit (157)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

9 of 16, 56% everywhere else

WR · CINJAX at CIN, Sun, Oct 4

Rams at EaglesSun 1:00 PM ET

his history

72Jalen Hurts has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 2+ passing touchdowns.hit (2)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

9 of 35, 26% everywhere else

QB · PHILA at PHI, Sun, Oct 4

team history

64The Rams have gone under 8 of 10 outdoors after a lossmissed

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

37 of 78, 47% everywhere else

his history

56Saquon Barkley has 9 of his last 10 games outdoors with 50+ rushing yards.missed (8)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

8 of 12, 67% everywhere else

RB · PHILA at PHI, Sun, Oct 4

Patriots at BillsSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

88Hunter Henry under 31.5 receiving yards: 9 of 15 on the road as an underdog

9 of 15, 60% in this spot

4 of 21, 19% everywhere else

Under · TE · NENE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4BUF allows #31 to TEs, 0.61x league ( vs a game)

player line

88Hunter Henry under 30.5 receiving yards: 9 of 15 on the road as an underdog

9 of 15, 60% in this spot

4 of 21, 19% everywhere else

Under · TE · NENE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4BUF allows #31 to TEs, 0.61x league ( vs a game)

player line

74Josh Allen under 31.5 rushing yards: 17 of 28 outdoors

17 of 28, 61% in this spot

2 of 7, 29% everywhere else

Under · QB · BUFNE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4NE allows #24 to QBs, 0.9x league ( vs a game)

player line

72Drake Maye under 230.5 passing yards: 6 of 8 in division games as an underdog

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

10 of 25, 40% everywhere else

Under · QB · NENE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4BUF allows #32 to QBs, 0.82x league ( vs a game)

+ 11 more on this game

player line

72Drake Maye under 232.5 passing yards: 6 of 8 in division games as an underdog

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

10 of 25, 40% everywhere else

Under · QB · NENE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4BUF allows #32 to QBs, 0.82x league ( vs a game)

his history

68James Cook has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.hit (75)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

5 of 9, 56% everywhere else

RB · BUFNE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4

player line

67TreVeyon Henderson under 7.5 receiving yards: 5 of 8 on the road outdoors

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

3 of 11, 27% everywhere else

Under · RB · NENE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4BUF allows #23 to RBs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

player line

65Hunter Henry under 3.5 catches: 4 of 6 in division games on the road

4 of 6, 67% in this spot

14 of 30, 47% everywhere else

Under · TE · NENE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4BUF allows #32 to TEs, 0.6x league ( vs a game)

player line

64Rhamondre Stevenson over 31.5 rushing yards (-115)

21 of 32, 66% in this spot

21 of 32, 66% everywhere else

Over · RB · NENE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4BUF allows #8 to RBs, 1.12x league ( vs a game)

player line

64Rhamondre Stevenson over 32.5 rushing yards (-115)

21 of 32, 66% in this spot

21 of 32, 66% everywhere else

Over · RB · NENE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4BUF allows #8 to RBs, 1.12x league ( vs a game)

his history

62DJ Moore has 8 of his last 10 games in division games outdoors with 50+ receiving yards.missed (11)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

27 of 55, 49% everywhere else

WR · BUFNE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4

player line

58Rhamondre Stevenson under 18.5 receiving yards

22 of 32, 69% in this spot

22 of 32, 69% everywhere else

Under · RB · NENE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4BUF allows #23 to RBs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

his history

56Josh Allen has 8 of his last 10 games at home with a rushing touchdown.hit (1)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

18 of 33, 55% everywhere else

QB · BUFNE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4

team history

56The Patriots have covered 7 of 10 as an underdog of 7 or morehit

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

18 of 41, 44% everywhere else

team history

56The Patriots have gone over 8 of 11 as an underdog of 7 or more outdoorshit

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

21 of 43, 49% everywhere else

Jets at BearsSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

82Kyle Monangai over 38.5 rushing yards (-115): 6 of 9 outdoors as a favorite

6 of 9, 67% in this spot

2 of 11, 18% everywhere else

Over · RB · CHINYJ at CHI, Sun, Oct 4NYJ allows #7 to RBs, 1.12x league ( vs a game)

player line

82Kyle Monangai over 40.5 rushing yards (-110): 6 of 9 outdoors as a favorite

6 of 9, 67% in this spot

2 of 11, 18% everywhere else

Over · RB · CHINYJ at CHI, Sun, Oct 4NYJ allows #7 to RBs, 1.12x league ( vs a game)

player line

79Garrett Wilson over 75.5 receiving yards (-115): 6 of 8 on the road as an underdog

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

4 of 19, 21% everywhere else

Over · WR · NYJNYJ at CHI, Sun, Oct 4CHI allows #8 to WRs, 1.1x league ( vs a game)

player line

79Garrett Wilson over 74.5 receiving yards (-115): 6 of 8 on the road as an underdog

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

4 of 19, 21% everywhere else

Over · WR · NYJNYJ at CHI, Sun, Oct 4CHI allows #8 to WRs, 1.1x league ( vs a game)

+ 3 more on this game

team history

72The Jets have gone under 8 of 10 with extra resthit

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

17 of 44, 39% everywhere else

NYJ

player line

59Kyle Monangai over 5.5 receiving yards (-120): 6 of 9 as a favorite

6 of 9, 67% in this spot

5 of 11, 45% everywhere else

Over · RB · CHINYJ at CHI, Sun, Oct 4NYJ allows #8 to RBs, 1.1x league ( vs a game)

player line

55D'Andre Swift under 2.5 catches: 9 of 12 as a favorite

9 of 12, 75% in this spot

13 of 24, 54% everywhere else

Under · RB · CHINYJ at CHI, Sun, Oct 4NYJ allows #24 to RBs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

Titans at RavensSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

81Calvin Ridley over 6.5 receiving yards (-120)

23 of 26, 88% in this spot

23 of 26, 88% everywhere else

Over · WR · TENTEN at BAL, Sun, Oct 4BAL allows #2 to WRs, 1.2x league ( vs a game)

player line

81Calvin Ridley over 7.5 receiving yards (-110)

23 of 26, 88% in this spot

23 of 26, 88% everywhere else

Over · WR · TENTEN at BAL, Sun, Oct 4BAL allows #2 to WRs, 1.2x league ( vs a game)

team history

80The Titans have gone over 12 of 14 as an underdog of 7 or moremissed

12 of 14, 86% in this spot

16 of 40, 40% everywhere else

TEN

his history

72Derrick Henry has 10 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.hit (73)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

17 of 27, 63% everywhere else

RB · BALTEN at BAL, Sun, Oct 4

+ 9 more on this game

his history

72Zay Flowers has 9 of his last 10 games outdoors as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.hit (118)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

7 of 14, 50% everywhere else

WR · BALTEN at BAL, Sun, Oct 4

his history

72Wan'Dale Robinson has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with 6+ catches.missed (3)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

8 of 28, 29% everywhere else

WR · TENTEN at BAL, Sun, Oct 4

team history

72The Titans have gone over 11 of 15 as a road underdog after a lossmissed

11 of 15, 73% in this spot

17 of 39, 44% everywhere else

TEN

team history

72The Titans have gone over 11 of 15 as an underdog when our model likes themmissed

11 of 15, 73% in this spot

17 of 39, 44% everywhere else

TEN

player line

68Wan'dale Robinson over 3.5 catches (-160): 7 of 7 outdoors in the rain

7 of 7, 100% in this spot

21 of 29, 72% everywhere else

Over · WR · TENTEN at BAL, Sun, Oct 4BAL allows #1 to WRs, 1.19x league ( vs a game)

player line

64Wan'dale Robinson over 37.5 receiving yards (-120)

23 of 36, 64% in this spot

23 of 36, 64% everywhere else

Over · WR · TENTEN at BAL, Sun, Oct 4BAL allows #2 to WRs, 1.2x league ( vs a game)

player line

60Gunnar Helm under 17.5 receiving yards: 5 of 8 on the road as an underdog

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

5 of 11, 45% everywhere else

Under · TE · TENTEN at BAL, Sun, Oct 4BAL allows #25 to TEs, 0.87x league ( vs a game)

player line

60Gunnar Helm under 18.5 receiving yards: 5 of 8 on the road as an underdog

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

5 of 11, 45% everywhere else

Under · TE · TENTEN at BAL, Sun, Oct 4BAL allows #25 to TEs, 0.87x league ( vs a game)

player line

60Gunnar Helm under 19.5 receiving yards: 5 of 8 on the road as an underdog

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

5 of 11, 45% everywhere else

Under · TE · TENTEN at BAL, Sun, Oct 4BAL allows #25 to TEs, 0.87x league ( vs a game)

Sunday late 5 games · 49 fire

Dolphins at VikingsSun 4:05 PM ET

player line

84Greg Dulcich under 2.5 catches: 5 of 6 on the road as an underdog

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

3 of 9, 33% everywhere else

Under · TE · MIAMIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4MIN allows #30 to TEs, 0.8x league ( vs a game)

player line

84Ollie Gordon II under 6.5 receiving yards

16 of 18, 89% in this spot

16 of 18, 89% everywhere else

Under · RB · MIAMIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4MIN allows #32 to RBs, 0.67x league ( vs a game)

player line

82Malik Washington under 4.5 catches

29 of 32, 91% in this spot

29 of 32, 91% everywhere else

Under · WR · MIAMIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4MIN allows #30 to WRs, 0.84x league ( vs a game)

his history

72Justin Jefferson has 10 of his last 10 games at home as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

25 of 42, 60% everywhere else

WR · MINMIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4

+ 10 more on this game

player line

68Malik Washington under 5.5 rushing yards

22 of 32, 69% in this spot

22 of 32, 69% everywhere else

Under · WR · MIAMIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4MIN allows #20 to WRs, 0.73x league ( vs a game)

team history

66The Dolphins have gone over 8 of 10 as a road underdog when our model likes themmissed

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

20 of 44, 46% everywhere else

MIA

player line

65Malik Washington under 4.5 rushing yards

21 of 32, 66% in this spot

21 of 32, 66% everywhere else

Under · WR · MIAMIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4MIN allows #20 to WRs, 0.73x league ( vs a game)

player line

61Jaylen Wright under 5.5 receiving yards: 5 of 5 on the road indoors

5 of 5, 100% in this spot

15 of 19, 79% everywhere else

Under · RB · MIAMIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4MIN allows #32 to RBs, 0.67x league ( vs a game)

player line

60Greg Dulcich under 28.5 receiving yards: 4 of 6 on the road as an underdog

4 of 6, 67% in this spot

4 of 9, 44% everywhere else

Under · TE · MIAMIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4MIN allows #26 to TEs, 0.84x league ( vs a game)

player line

60Greg Dulcich under 29.5 receiving yards: 4 of 6 on the road as an underdog

4 of 6, 67% in this spot

4 of 9, 44% everywhere else

Under · TE · MIAMIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4MIN allows #26 to TEs, 0.84x league ( vs a game)

player line

59Jaylen Wright under 1.5 catches: 5 of 5 indoors as an underdog

5 of 5, 100% in this spot

17 of 19, 89% everywhere else

Under · RB · MIAMIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4MIN allows #31 to RBs, 0.77x league ( vs a game)

player line

59Ollie Gordon II under 1.5 catches: 9 of 9 on the road

9 of 9, 100% in this spot

8 of 9, 89% everywhere else

Under · RB · MIAMIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4MIN allows #31 to RBs, 0.77x league ( vs a game)

player line

56Jordan Addison under 54.5 receiving yards

20 of 32, 62% in this spot

20 of 32, 62% everywhere else

Under · WR · MINMIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4MIA allows #24 to WRs, 0.9x league ( vs a game)

player line

56Jordan Addison under 63.5 receiving yards: 7 of 9 indoors as a favorite

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

16 of 23, 70% everywhere else

Under · WR · MINMIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4MIA allows #24 to WRs, 0.9x league ( vs a game)

Broncos at 49ersSun 4:25 PM ET

his history

72Christian McCaffrey has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with a rushing touchdown.hit (1)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

2 of 12, 17% everywhere else

RB · SFDEN at SF, Sun, Oct 4

his history

71George Kittle has 9 of his last 10 games at home as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.hit (70)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

18 of 34, 53% everywhere else

TE · SFDEN at SF, Sun, Oct 4

player line

62Kyle Juszczyk under 1.5 catches: 15 of 24 outdoors

15 of 24, 62% in this spot

3 of 7, 43% everywhere else

Under · RB · SFDEN at SF, Sun, Oct 4DEN allows #32 to RBs, 0.76x league ( vs a game)

his history

61Courtland Sutton has 9 of his last 10 games outdoors as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.missed (4)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

28 of 45, 62% everywhere else

WR · DENDEN at SF, Sun, Oct 4

+ 1 more on this game

player line

52Adam Trautman over 0.5 catches (-200): 9 of 10 as an underdog

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

12 of 15, 80% everywhere else

Over · TE · DENDEN at SF, Sun, Oct 4SF allows #5 to TEs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

Chiefs at RaidersSun 4:25 PM ET

player line

80Brock Bowers under 73.5 receiving yards: 7 of 7 in division games indoors

7 of 7, 100% in this spot

13 of 23, 57% everywhere else

Under · TE · LVKC at LV, Sun, Oct 4KC allows #24 to TEs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

player line

80Brock Bowers under 72.5 receiving yards: 7 of 7 in division games indoors

7 of 7, 100% in this spot

13 of 23, 57% everywhere else

Under · TE · LVKC at LV, Sun, Oct 4KC allows #24 to TEs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

player line

74Kirk Cousins over 0.5 rushing yards (-110): 5 of 8 indoors as an underdog

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

3 of 19, 16% everywhere else

Over · QB · LVKC at LV, Sun, Oct 4KC allows #9 to QBs, 1.1x league ( vs a game)

team history

71The Raiders have gone over 7 of 9 at home in a division gamehit

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

17 of 45, 38% everywhere else

+ 3 more on this game

player line

66Ashton Jeanty under 60.5 rushing yards: 6 of 7 in division games

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

7 of 13, 54% everywhere else

Under · RB · LVKC at LV, Sun, Oct 4KC allows #26 to RBs, 0.86x league ( vs a game)

player line

62Ashton Jeanty under 58.5 rushing yards: 4 of 5 in division games indoors

4 of 5, 80% in this spot

7 of 15, 47% everywhere else

Under · RB · LVKC at LV, Sun, Oct 4KC allows #26 to RBs, 0.86x league ( vs a game)

his history

62Kenneth Walker III has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.hit (177)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

14 of 28, 50% everywhere else

RB · KCKC at LV, Sun, Oct 4

Chargers at SeahawksSun 4:25 PM ET

player line

80AJ Barner under 3.5 catches

27 of 34, 79% in this spot

27 of 34, 79% everywhere else

Under · TE · SEALAC at SEA, Sun, Oct 4LAC allows #29 to TEs, 0.81x league ( vs a game)

player line

79Sam Darnold under 232.5 passing yards: 7 of 10 at home outdoors

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

6 of 26, 23% everywhere else

Under · QB · SEALAC at SEA, Sun, Oct 4LAC allows #27 to QBs, 0.89x league ( vs a game)

player line

79Sam Darnold under 234.5 passing yards: 7 of 10 at home outdoors

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

6 of 26, 23% everywhere else

Under · QB · SEALAC at SEA, Sun, Oct 4LAC allows #27 to QBs, 0.89x league ( vs a game)

his history

72Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 75+ receiving yards.hit (76)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

13 of 28, 46% everywhere else

WR · SEALAC at SEA, Sun, Oct 4

+ 8 more on this game

player line

69AJ Barner under 30.5 receiving yards

24 of 34, 71% in this spot

24 of 34, 71% everywhere else

Under · TE · SEALAC at SEA, Sun, Oct 4LAC allows #28 to TEs, 0.83x league ( vs a game)

player line

69AJ Barner under 31.5 receiving yards

24 of 34, 71% in this spot

24 of 34, 71% everywhere else

Under · TE · SEALAC at SEA, Sun, Oct 4LAC allows #28 to TEs, 0.83x league ( vs a game)

player line

66George Holani under 7.5 receiving yards

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

7 of 9, 78% everywhere else

Under · RB · SEALAC at SEA, Sun, Oct 4LAC allows #28 to RBs, 0.82x league ( vs a game)

player line

66George Holani under 10.5 receiving yards

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

7 of 9, 78% everywhere else

Under · RB · SEALAC at SEA, Sun, Oct 4LAC allows #28 to RBs, 0.82x league ( vs a game)

player line

66George Holani under 1.5 catches

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

7 of 9, 78% everywhere else

Under · RB · SEALAC at SEA, Sun, Oct 4LAC allows #26 to RBs, 0.83x league ( vs a game)

team history

60The Chargers have gone under 14 of 19 outdoorsmissed

14 of 19, 74% in this spot

20 of 35, 57% everywhere else

LAC

team history

58The Chargers have gone under 8 of 10 as a road underdogmissed

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

26 of 44, 59% everywhere else

LAC

team history

57The Chargers have gone under 7 of 9 as an underdog after a lossmissed

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

27 of 45, 60% everywhere else

LAC

Lions at PanthersSun 8:20 PM ET

player line

74Jahmyr Gibbs over 97.5 rushing yards (-115): 3 of 5 outdoors as a favorite

3 of 5, 60% in this spot

7 of 32, 22% everywhere else

Over · RB · DETDET at CAR, Sun, Oct 4CAR allows #2 to RBs, 1.19x league ( vs a game)

player line

74Jahmyr Gibbs over 96.5 rushing yards (-115): 3 of 5 outdoors as a favorite

3 of 5, 60% in this spot

7 of 32, 22% everywhere else

Over · RB · DETDET at CAR, Sun, Oct 4CAR allows #2 to RBs, 1.19x league ( vs a game)

player line

70Amon-Ra St. Brown under 77.5 receiving yards: 9 of 10 on the road as a favorite

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

15 of 27, 56% everywhere else

Under · WR · DETDET at CAR, Sun, Oct 4CAR allows #26 to WRs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

his history

68Jahmyr Gibbs has 9 of his last 10 games on the road as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.missed (46)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

23 of 37, 62% everywhere else

RB · DETDET at CAR, Sun, Oct 4

+ 7 more on this game

player line

64Darren Waller over 23.5 receiving yards (-120)

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

8 of 11, 73% everywhere else

Over · TE · CARDET at CAR, Sun, Oct 4DET allows #5 to TEs, 1.2x league ( vs a game)

team history

60The Lions have covered 7 of 8 as a road favorite with a total of 48 or highermissed

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

47 of 77, 61% everywhere else

DET

team history

60The Lions have gone over 18 of 25 as a favorite with a total of 48 or higherhit

18 of 25, 72% in this spot

31 of 61, 51% everywhere else

DET

player line

58Darren Waller over 27.5 receiving yards (-120)

7 of 11, 64% in this spot

7 of 11, 64% everywhere else

Over · TE · CARDET at CAR, Sun, Oct 4DET allows #5 to TEs, 1.2x league ( vs a game)

player line

57Jameson Williams under 51.5 receiving yards: 3 of 5 in prime time outdoors

3 of 5, 60% in this spot

13 of 30, 43% everywhere else

Under · WR · DETDET at CAR, Sun, Oct 4CAR allows #26 to WRs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

player line

57Jameson Williams under 50.5 receiving yards: 3 of 5 in prime time outdoors

3 of 5, 60% in this spot

13 of 30, 43% everywhere else

Under · WR · DETDET at CAR, Sun, Oct 4CAR allows #26 to WRs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

team history

56The Lions have covered 13 of 17 as a road favoritemissed

13 of 17, 76% in this spot

41 of 68, 60% everywhere else

DET

Monday 1 game · 19 fire

Falcons at SaintsMon 8:15 PM ET

player line

78Bijan Robinson under 4.5 catches: 8 of 9 in division games indoors

8 of 9, 89% in this spot

15 of 28, 54% everywhere else

Under · RB · ATLATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5NO allows #26 to RBs, 0.83x league ( vs a game)

player line

76Jahan Dotson under 18.5 receiving yards: 6 of 6 in prime time on the road

6 of 6, 100% in this spot

16 of 25, 64% everywhere else

Under · WR · ATLATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5NO allows #29 to WRs, 0.85x league ( vs a game)

player line

76Jahan Dotson under 17.5 receiving yards: 6 of 6 in prime time on the road

6 of 6, 100% in this spot

16 of 25, 64% everywhere else

Under · WR · ATLATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5NO allows #29 to WRs, 0.85x league ( vs a game)

player line

73Michael Penix Jr. under 224.5 passing yards: 6 of 8 on the road

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

3 of 7, 43% everywhere else

Under · QB · ATLATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5NO allows #29 to QBs, 0.89x league ( vs a game)

+ 15 more on this game

player line

73Michael Penix Jr. under 226.5 passing yards: 6 of 8 on the road

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

3 of 7, 43% everywhere else

Under · QB · ATLATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5NO allows #29 to QBs, 0.89x league ( vs a game)

player line

73Michael Penix Jr. under 225.5 passing yards: 6 of 8 on the road

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

3 of 7, 43% everywhere else

Under · QB · ATLATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5NO allows #29 to QBs, 0.89x league ( vs a game)

player line

73Michael Penix Jr. under 228.5 passing yards: 6 of 8 on the road

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

3 of 7, 43% everywhere else

Under · QB · ATLATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5NO allows #29 to QBs, 0.89x league ( vs a game)

his history

72Chris Olave has 10 of his last 10 games indoors with 50+ receiving yards.hit (116)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

12 of 21, 57% everywhere else

WR · NOATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5

player line

72Jahan Dotson under 1.5 catches

23 of 31, 74% in this spot

23 of 31, 74% everywhere else

Under · WR · ATLATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5NO allows #28 to WRs, 0.89x league ( vs a game)

his history

70Bijan Robinson has 9 of his last 10 games in division games with 100+ yards from scrimmage.missed (67)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

18 of 33, 55% everywhere else

RB · ATLATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5

his history

69Drake London has 9 of his last 10 games in division games with 50+ receiving yards.hit (96)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

23 of 42, 55% everywhere else

WR · ATLATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5

player line

67Bijan Robinson under 39.5 receiving yards: 6 of 7 on the road indoors

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

17 of 30, 57% everywhere else

Under · RB · ATLATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5NO allows #29 to RBs, 0.81x league ( vs a game)

player line

64Bijan Robinson under 40.5 receiving yards: 6 of 7 on the road indoors

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

18 of 30, 60% everywhere else

Under · RB · ATLATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5NO allows #29 to RBs, 0.81x league ( vs a game)

player line

62Michael Penix Jr. under 5.5 rushing yards: 5 of 7 on the road as an underdog

5 of 7, 71% in this spot

4 of 8, 50% everywhere else

Under · QB · ATLATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5NO allows #23 to QBs, 0.9x league ( vs a game)

player line

60Drake London under 78.5 receiving yards

21 of 32, 66% in this spot

21 of 32, 66% everywhere else

Under · WR · ATLATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5NO allows #29 to WRs, 0.85x league ( vs a game)

player line

60Drake London under 79.5 receiving yards

21 of 32, 66% in this spot

21 of 32, 66% everywhere else

Under · WR · ATLATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5NO allows #29 to WRs, 0.85x league ( vs a game)

player line

59Alvin Kamara over 38.5 rushing yards (-110): 4 of 5 in division games as an underdog

4 of 5, 80% in this spot

12 of 22, 55% everywhere else

Over · RB · NORATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5ATL allows #9 to RBs, 1.11x league ( vs a game)

player line

59Alvin Kamara over 36.5 rushing yards (-120): 4 of 5 in division games as an underdog

4 of 5, 80% in this spot

12 of 22, 55% everywhere else

Over · RB · NORATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5ATL allows #9 to RBs, 1.11x league ( vs a game)

player line

59Alvin Kamara over 37.5 rushing yards (-120): 4 of 5 in division games as an underdog

4 of 5, 80% in this spot

12 of 22, 55% everywhere else

Over · RB · NORATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5ATL allows #9 to RBs, 1.11x league ( vs a game)

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NFL Week 4 Game Lines and Results, 2026

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Model trends

The official card, graded 61 picks in 16 games

Thursday 1 game · 10 fire

Sunday early 9 games · 90 fire

Sunday late 5 games · 49 fire

Monday 1 game · 19 fire

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