Game lines · 2026

NFL Week 1 Game Lines and Results, 2026

16 games, 0 bets on the card. Every number is open.

Game lines

Game	Line	Our number	Final
ARI @ LACSun, Sep 13 16:25 ET	LAC -10.5o/u 47.5 · opened -11.5	LAC -4.2	ARI 26 at LAC 14LAC -8.5 closed · ARI coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
NO @ DETSun, Sep 13 13:00 ET	DET -7o/u 49.5	DET -1.5	NO 30 at DET 31DET -7 closed · NO coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
BAL @ INDSun, Sep 13 13:00 ET	IND +3.5o/u 48.5	IND -1.7	BAL 41 at IND 23IND +3 closed · BAL coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
DEN @ KCMon, Sep 14 20:15 ET	KC -3o/u 42.5	KC +1.8	DEN 10 at KC 31KC -2.5 closed · KC coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
DAL @ NYGSun, Sep 13 20:20 ET	NYG +2.5o/u 47.5	NYG -1.9	DAL 20 at NYG 28NYG +3 closed · NYG coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
BUF @ HOUSun, Sep 13 13:00 ET	HOU +1.5o/u 44.5	HOU -2.6	BUF 36 at HOU 31HOU +1.5 closed · BUF coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
CHI @ CARSun, Sep 13 13:00 ET	CAR +2.5o/u 47.5	CAR -0.5	CHI 59 at CAR 37CAR +3 closed · CHI coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
SF @ LAThu, Sep 10 20:35 ET	LA -3.5o/u 47.5	LA -0.4	SF 27 at LA 7LA -3.5 closed · SF coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
MIA @ LVSun, Sep 13 16:25 ET	LV -3.5o/u 40.5	LV -1.4	MIA 13 at LV 27LV -3 closed · LV coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
TB @ CINSun, Sep 13 13:00 ET	CIN -3.5o/u 50.5	CIN -1.4	TB 27 at CIN 33CIN -3.5 closed · CIN coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
CLE @ JAXSun, Sep 13 13:00 ET	JAX -7.5o/u 40.5	JAX -5.8	CLE 10 at JAX 34JAX -8.5 closed · JAX coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
NE @ SEAWed, Sep 9 20:20 ET	SEA -3.5o/u 44.5	SEA -1.4	NE 10 at SEA 13SEA -3 closed · pushSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
ATL @ PITSun, Sep 13 13:00 ET	PIT -3o/u 40.5	PIT -1.5	ATL 13 at PIT 20PIT -6.5 closed · PIT coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
NYJ @ TENSun, Sep 13 13:00 ET	TEN -1.5o/u 39.5 · opened -3	TEN -2.4	NYJ 23 at TEN 10TEN -1.5 closed · NYJ coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
GB @ MINSun, Sep 13 16:25 ET	MIN -1.5o/u 46.5 · opened +1.5	MIN -2	GB 22 at MIN 39MIN -1.5 closed · MIN coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
WAS @ PHISun, Sep 13 16:25 ET	PHI -4.5o/u 43.5	PHI -4	WAS 22 at PHI 24PHI -6 closed · WAS coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (0) Nothing here this week. Prop spots (0) Nothing here this week. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →

Market and our number as posted before kickoff; the closing line and cover show once a game settles. Triggers is how much we have on the game: click it.

Nothing graded yet; grades land after each week is played.

Model trends

161 fire in week 1. Thursday has 8. Logged before kickoff, graded after. The number is confidence, where 50 is a coin flip; the bright bar is this spot, the faded bar is everywhere else. Every card opens its game.

Cut it

The week's card and what fired, by email

Thursday 1 game · 8 fire

49ers at RamsThu 8:35 PM ET

team history

73SF have gone over 15 of 20 when our model likes themmissed

15 of 20, 75% in this spot

14 of 29, 48% everywhere else

team history

64SF have covered 11 of 17 in prime timehit

11 of 17, 65% in this spot

14 of 34, 41% everywhere else

his history

60Christian McCaffrey has 9 of his last 10 games on the road with 50+ rushing yards.hit (68)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

17 of 27, 63% everywhere else

RB · SFSF at LA, Thu, Sep 10

team history

59SF have gone over 6 of 8 in prime time when our model likes themmissed

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

23 of 41, 56% everywhere else

+ 4 more on this game

team history

59LA have gone over 11 of 25 at homemissed

11 of 25, 44% in this spot

16 of 26, 62% everywhere else

team history

59LA have gone over 7 of 20 with a total of 48 or highermissed

7 of 20, 35% in this spot

20 of 31, 64% everywhere else

team history

54SF have covered 1 of 9 as an underdoghit

1 of 9, 11% in this spot

24 of 42, 57% everywhere else

team history

51LA have covered 13 of 18 in a division gamemissed

13 of 18, 72% in this spot

18 of 32, 56% everywhere else

Sunday early 8 games · 72 fire

Falcons at SteelersSun 1:00 PM ET

his history

72Rico Dowdle has 6 of his last 8 games at home outdoors with 50+ rushing yards.missed (15)

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

12 of 41, 29% everywhere else

RB · PITATL at PIT, Sun, Sep 13

his history

68Aaron Rodgers has 7 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 2+ passing touchdowns.missed (1)

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

7 of 21, 33% everywhere else

QB · PITATL at PIT, Sun, Sep 13

his history

66Michael Pittman has 7 of his last 9 games outdoors as an underdog with 6+ catches.missed (3)

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

24 of 56, 43% everywhere else

WR · PITATL at PIT, Sun, Sep 13

team history

50PIT have covered 8 of 11 outdoors when our model fades themhit

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

22 of 39, 56% everywhere else

PIT

Ravens at ColtsSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

81Josh Downs over 44.5 receiving yards (-115): 10 of 16 as an underdog

10 of 16, 62% in this spot

4 of 14, 29% everywhere else

Over · WR · INDBAL at IND, Sun, Sep 13BAL allows #3 to WRs, 1.2x league ( vs a game)

his history

77Derrick Henry has 10 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ rushing yards.hit (144)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

17 of 27, 63% everywhere else

RB · BALBAL at IND, Sun, Sep 13

his history

77Derrick Henry has 10 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.hit (144)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

17 of 27, 63% everywhere else

RB · BALBAL at IND, Sun, Sep 13

his history

74Josh Downs has 7 of his last 10 games at home as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.missed (37)

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

12 of 35, 34% everywhere else

WR · INDBAL at IND, Sun, Sep 13

+ 7 more on this game

player line

69Josh Downs over 4.5 catches (+120): 4 of 6 at home as an underdog

4 of 6, 67% in this spot

8 of 24, 33% everywhere else

Over · WR · INDBAL at IND, Sun, Sep 13BAL allows #2 to WRs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

his history

66Zay Flowers has 9 of his last 10 games on the road as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.hit (150)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

18 of 29, 62% everywhere else

WR · BALBAL at IND, Sun, Sep 13

his history

66Zay Flowers has 9 of his last 10 games on the road as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.hit (150)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

18 of 29, 62% everywhere else

WR · BALBAL at IND, Sun, Sep 13

team history

56BAL have covered 16 of 25 on the roadhit

16 of 25, 64% in this spot

12 of 26, 46% everywhere else

BAL

player line

54Rashod Bateman over 1.5 catches (-190): 8 of 12 on the road as a favorite

8 of 12, 67% in this spot

10 of 17, 59% everywhere else

Over · WR · BALBAL at IND, Sun, Sep 13IND allows #1 to WRs, 1.22x league ( vs a game)

team history

50IND have gone over 10 of 14 at home when our model likes themhit

10 of 14, 71% in this spot

20 of 37, 54% everywhere else

IND

his history

50Jonathan Taylor has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.hit (98)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

18 of 25, 72% everywhere else

RB · INDBAL at IND, Sun, Sep 13

Bills at TexansSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

73Nico Collins under 68.5 receiving yards: 7 of 11 as an underdog

7 of 11, 64% in this spot

5 of 16, 31% everywhere else

Under · WR · HOUBUF at HOU, Sun, Sep 13BUF allows #30 to WRs, 0.82x league ( vs a game)

his history

72James Cook has 9 of his last 10 games on the road with 50+ rushing yards.hit (57)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

17 of 34, 50% everywhere else

RB · BUFBUF at HOU, Sun, Sep 13

player line

68Dalton Schultz under 3.5 catches: 9 of 14 as an underdog

9 of 14, 64% in this spot

8 of 20, 40% everywhere else

Under · TE · HOUBUF at HOU, Sun, Sep 13BUF allows #32 to TEs, 0.54x league ( vs a game)

his history

66Nico Collins has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ receiving yards.hit (75)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

15 of 26, 58% everywhere else

WR · HOUBUF at HOU, Sun, Sep 13

+ 7 more on this game

player line

64Xavier Hutchinson under 2.5 catches: 12 of 13 as an underdog

12 of 13, 92% in this spot

12 of 17, 71% everywhere else

Under · WR · HOUBUF at HOU, Sun, Sep 13BUF allows #28 to WRs, 0.87x league ( vs a game)

player line

58Xavier Hutchinson under 17.5 receiving yards: 9 of 13 as an underdog

9 of 13, 69% in this spot

9 of 17, 53% everywhere else

Under · WR · HOUBUF at HOU, Sun, Sep 13BUF allows #30 to WRs, 0.82x league ( vs a game)

player line

57Nico Collins under 5.5 catches: 8 of 11 as an underdog

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

10 of 16, 62% everywhere else

Under · WR · HOUBUF at HOU, Sun, Sep 13BUF allows #28 to WRs, 0.87x league ( vs a game)

team history

54HOU have covered 14 of 24 as an underdogmissed

14 of 24, 58% in this spot

11 of 26, 42% everywhere else

HOU

player line

53Dalton Kincaid under 36.5 receiving yards: 5 of 8 on the road as a favorite

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

7 of 17, 41% everywhere else

Under · TE · BUFBUF at HOU, Sun, Sep 13HOU allows #26 to TEs, 0.85x league ( vs a game)

player line

52Woody Marks over 30.5 rushing yards (-115): 5 of 8 at home

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

4 of 8, 50% everywhere else

Over · RB · HOUBUF at HOU, Sun, Sep 13BUF allows #6 to RBs, 1.13x league ( vs a game)

team history

50BUF have gone over 11 of 25 on the roadhit

11 of 25, 44% in this spot

15 of 25, 60% everywhere else

BUF

Bears at PanthersSun 1:00 PM ET

his history

64Caleb Williams has 7 of his last 10 games outdoors with 2+ passing touchdowns.hit (2)

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

3 of 8, 38% everywhere else

QB · CHICHI at CAR, Sun, Sep 13

team history

56CHI have covered 9 of 13 as a favoritehit

9 of 13, 69% in this spot

16 of 32, 50% everywhere else

CHI

team history

56CAR have covered 13 of 24 at homemissed

13 of 24, 54% in this spot

9 of 25, 36% everywhere else

CAR

team history

54CHI have covered 11 of 24 on the roadhit

11 of 24, 46% in this spot

14 of 21, 67% everywhere else

CHI

+ 1 more on this game

his history

50D'Andre Swift has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with 50+ rushing yards.hit (124)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

21 of 33, 64% everywhere else

RB · CHICHI at CAR, Sun, Sep 13

Browns at JaguarsSun 1:00 PM ET

team history

58CLE have gone over 15 of 25 on the roadhit

15 of 25, 60% in this spot

10 of 25, 40% everywhere else

CLE

team history

50CLE have covered 6 of 24 on the roadmissed

6 of 24, 25% in this spot

15 of 25, 60% everywhere else

CLE

Saints at LionsSun 1:00 PM ET

his history

72Chris Olave has 10 of his last 10 games indoors with 50+ receiving yards.hit (182)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

11 of 20, 55% everywhere else

WR · NONO at DET, Sun, Sep 13

his history

70Jared Goff has 7 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 2+ passing touchdowns.hit (2)

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

7 of 22, 32% everywhere else

QB · DETNO at DET, Sun, Sep 13

team history

66DET have gone over 23 of 35 indoorshit

23 of 35, 66% in this spot

7 of 15, 47% everywhere else

DET

team history

62DET have covered 12 of 15 when our model fades themmissed

12 of 15, 80% in this spot

20 of 35, 57% everywhere else

DET

+ 4 more on this game

team history

60DET have gone over 17 of 25 at homehit

17 of 25, 68% in this spot

13 of 25, 52% everywhere else

DET

team history

57NO have gone over 4 of 8 as an underdog of 7 or morehit

4 of 8, 50% in this spot

15 of 43, 35% everywhere else

team history

54DET have covered 10 of 13 as a favorite when our model fades themmissed

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

22 of 37, 60% everywhere else

DET

his history

50Amon-Ra St. Brown has 9 of his last 10 games indoors with 50+ receiving yards.hit (67)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

15 of 21, 71% everywhere else

WR · DETNO at DET, Sun, Sep 13

Jets at TitansSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

76Garrett Wilson over 59.5 receiving yards (-115): 6 of 6 on the road as an underdog

6 of 6, 100% in this spot

6 of 18, 33% everywhere else

Over · WR · NYJNYJ at TEN, Sun, Sep 13TEN allows #4 to WRs, 1.19x league ( vs a game)

his history

64Tony Pollard has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ rushing yards.missed (35)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

20 of 37, 54% everywhere else

RB · TENNYJ at TEN, Sun, Sep 13

his history

64Tony Pollard has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.missed (35)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

20 of 37, 54% everywhere else

RB · TENNYJ at TEN, Sun, Sep 13

player line

60Tony Pollard over 52.5 rushing yards (-115): 4 of 5 at home as a favorite

4 of 5, 80% in this spot

16 of 28, 57% everywhere else

Over · RB · TENNYJ at TEN, Sun, Sep 13NYJ allows #5 to RBs, 1.16x league ( vs a game)

+ 5 more on this game

player line

54Geno Smith over 201.5 passing yards (-115): 9 of 12 outdoors as an underdog

9 of 12, 75% in this spot

11 of 20, 55% everywhere else

Over · QB · NYJNYJ at TEN, Sun, Sep 13TEN allows #7 to QBs, 1.1x league ( vs a game)

player line

53Breece Hall under 17.5 receiving yards: 6 of 10 on the road as an underdog

6 of 10, 60% in this spot

10 of 22, 45% everywhere else

Under · RB · NYJNYJ at TEN, Sun, Sep 13TEN allows #24 to RBs, 0.86x league ( vs a game)

team history

50NYJ have covered 7 of 24 with a total of 41 or underhit

7 of 24, 29% in this spot

12 of 26, 46% everywhere else

NYJ

team history

50TEN have gone over 2 of 9 as a favoritemissed

2 of 9, 22% in this spot

25 of 42, 60% everywhere else

TEN

team history

50TEN have covered 1 of 8 as a favoritemissed

1 of 8, 12% in this spot

15 of 41, 37% everywhere else

TEN

Buccaneers at BengalsSun 1:00 PM ET

player line

85Cade Otton over 27.5 receiving yards (-120): 7 of 8 outdoors as an underdog

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

10 of 21, 48% everywhere else

Over · TE · TBTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13CIN allows #1 to TEs, 1.58x league ( vs a game)

player line

84Kenneth Gainwell over 21.5 receiving yards (-115): 6 of 8 outdoors as an underdog

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

4 of 25, 16% everywhere else

Over · RB · TBTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13CIN allows #4 to RBs, 1.36x league ( vs a game)

player line

79Kenneth Gainwell over 3.5 catches (+135): 5 of 8 outdoors as an underdog

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

4 of 25, 16% everywhere else

Over · RB · TBTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13CIN allows #9 to RBs, 1.11x league ( vs a game)

team history

76TB have covered 17 of 26 on the roadmissed

17 of 26, 65% in this spot

9 of 25, 36% everywhere else

+ 18 more on this game

his history

76Chase Brown has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ rushing yards.hit (56)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

7 of 17, 41% everywhere else

RB · CINTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13

his history

76Chase Brown has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.hit (56)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

7 of 17, 41% everywhere else

RB · CINTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13

his history

72Ja'Marr Chase has 10 of his last 10 games at home with 6+ catches.missed (2)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

17 of 30, 57% everywhere else

WR · CINTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13

player line

72Joe Burrow over 6.5 rushing yards (-125): 7 of 10 at home as a favorite

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

5 of 15, 33% everywhere else

Over · QB · CINTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13TB allows #9 to QBs, 1.16x league ( vs a game)

player line

71Cade Otton over 3.5 catches (+130): 6 of 8 outdoors as an underdog

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

9 of 21, 43% everywhere else

Over · TE · TBTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13CIN allows #1 to TEs, 1.29x league ( vs a game)

player line

70Samaje Perine over 6.5 receiving yards (-120): 14 of 19 as a favorite

14 of 19, 74% in this spot

6 of 12, 50% everywhere else

Over · RB · CINTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13TB allows #1 to RBs, 1.6x league ( vs a game)

player line

70Samaje Perine under 20.5 rushing yards: 15 of 19 as a favorite

15 of 19, 79% in this spot

6 of 12, 50% everywhere else

Under · RB · CINTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13TB allows #27 to RBs, 0.83x league ( vs a game)

his history

70Tee Higgins has 8 of his last 10 games at home with a receiving touchdown.missed (0)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

12 of 28, 43% everywhere else

WR · CINTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13

player line

66Mike Gesicki over 2.5 catches (+125): 11 of 17 as a favorite

11 of 17, 65% in this spot

4 of 11, 36% everywhere else

Over · TE · CINTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13TB allows #9 to TEs, 1.1x league ( vs a game)

his history

64Baker Mayfield has 8 of his last 10 games outdoors as a favorite with 2+ passing touchdowns.missed (0)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

22 of 43, 51% everywhere else

QB · TBTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13

his history

64Baker Mayfield has 8 of his last 10 games outdoors as an underdog with 2+ passing touchdowns.missed (0)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

22 of 43, 51% everywhere else

QB · TBTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13

team history

62TB have covered 15 of 25 as an underdogmissed

15 of 25, 60% in this spot

11 of 26, 42% everywhere else

team history

61TB have covered 7 of 10 on the road when our model likes themmissed

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

19 of 41, 46% everywhere else

player line

58Jalen McMillan under 2.5 catches: 5 of 8 on the road

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

4 of 9, 44% everywhere else

Under · WR · TBTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13CIN allows #31 to WRs, 0.79x league ( vs a game)

player line

58Emeka Egbuka under 4.5 catches: 3 of 5 on the road as an underdog

3 of 5, 60% in this spot

10 of 12, 83% everywhere else

Under · WR · TBTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13CIN allows #31 to WRs, 0.79x league ( vs a game)

player line

58Emeka Egbuka under 53.5 receiving yards: 6 of 9 on the road

6 of 9, 67% in this spot

4 of 8, 50% everywhere else

Under · WR · TBTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13CIN allows #28 to WRs, 0.84x league ( vs a game)

player line

58Jalen McMillan under 34.5 receiving yards: 5 of 8 on the road

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

4 of 9, 44% everywhere else

Under · WR · TBTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13CIN allows #28 to WRs, 0.84x league ( vs a game)

player line

52Bucky Irving over 1.5 catches (-200): 15 of 20 outdoors

15 of 20, 75% in this spot

6 of 7, 86% everywhere else

Over · RB · TBTB at CIN, Sun, Sep 13CIN allows #9 to RBs, 1.11x league ( vs a game)

Sunday late 5 games · 60 fire

Cardinals at ChargersSun 4:25 PM ET

his history

77Jacoby Brissett has 8 of his last 10 games indoors as a favorite with 2+ passing touchdowns.missed (1)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 26, 15% everywhere else

QB · ARIARI at LAC, Sun, Sep 13

his history

77Jacoby Brissett has 8 of his last 10 games indoors as an underdog with 2+ passing touchdowns.missed (1)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 26, 15% everywhere else

QB · ARIARI at LAC, Sun, Sep 13

his history

72Trey McBride has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with a receiving touchdown.hit (1)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

5 of 28, 18% everywhere else

TE · ARIARI at LAC, Sun, Sep 13

his history

72Marvin Harrison Jr. has 7 of his last 10 games indoors with 50+ receiving yards.missed (33)

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

2 of 10, 20% everywhere else

WR · ARIARI at LAC, Sun, Sep 13

+ 4 more on this game

team history

62LAC have covered 10 of 14 indoors when our model fades themmissed

10 of 14, 71% in this spot

17 of 36, 47% everywhere else

LAC

team history

62LAC have gone over 15 of 33 indoorsmissed

15 of 33, 46% in this spot

5 of 18, 28% everywhere else

LAC

team history

54LAC have covered 7 of 10 at home when our model fades themmissed

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

20 of 40, 50% everywhere else

LAC

team history

54ARI have gone over 10 of 25 on the roadmissed

10 of 25, 40% in this spot

18 of 25, 72% everywhere else

ARI

Packers at VikingsSun 4:25 PM ET

team history

78GB have gone over 18 of 26 on the roadhit

18 of 26, 69% in this spot

9 of 24, 38% everywhere else

his history

77Justin Jefferson has 10 of his last 10 games at home as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.hit (92)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

24 of 40, 60% everywhere else

WR · MINGB at MIN, Sun, Sep 13

his history

77Justin Jefferson has 10 of his last 10 games at home as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.hit (92)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

24 of 40, 60% everywhere else

WR · MINGB at MIN, Sun, Sep 13

player line

76Kyler Murray under 22.5 rushing yards: 5 of 7 at home as a favorite

5 of 7, 71% in this spot

4 of 15, 27% everywhere else

Under · QB · MINGB at MIN, Sun, Sep 13GB allows #28 to QBs, 0.8x league ( vs a game)

+ 14 more on this game

his history

72Jauan Jennings has 7 of his last 10 games as an underdog with a receiving touchdown.missed (0)

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

1 of 9, 11% everywhere else

WR · MINGB at MIN, Sun, Sep 13

his history

64Jordan Love has 7 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 250+ passing yards.hit (387)

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

12 of 32, 38% everywhere else

QB · GBGB at MIN, Sun, Sep 13

player line

62Jordan Love under 239.5 passing yards: 5 of 6 on the road indoors

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

13 of 24, 54% everywhere else

Under · QB · GBGB at MIN, Sun, Sep 13MIN allows #31 to QBs, 0.79x league ( vs a game)

player line

60Tucker Kraft under 4.5 catches: 5 of 5 as an underdog

5 of 5, 100% in this spot

14 of 20, 70% everywhere else

Under · TE · GBGB at MIN, Sun, Sep 13MIN allows #27 to TEs, 0.83x league ( vs a game)

his history

59Josh Jacobs has 9 of his last 10 games indoors with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

23 of 36, 64% everywhere else

RB · GBGB at MIN, Sun, Sep 13

player line

58Matthew Golden under 3.5 catches: 5 of 8 on the road

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

6 of 6, 100% everywhere else

Under · WR · GBGB at MIN, Sun, Sep 13MIN allows #31 to WRs, 0.79x league ( vs a game)

player line

58Matthew Golden under 38.5 receiving yards: 5 of 8 on the road

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

5 of 6, 83% everywhere else

Under · WR · GBGB at MIN, Sun, Sep 13MIN allows #29 to WRs, 0.83x league ( vs a game)

player line

57Christian Watson under 4.5 catches: 11 of 11 on the road

11 of 11, 100% in this spot

11 of 13, 85% everywhere else

Under · WR · GBGB at MIN, Sun, Sep 13MIN allows #31 to WRs, 0.79x league ( vs a game)

player line

57Jordan Love under 10.5 rushing yards: 4 of 5 as an underdog

4 of 5, 80% in this spot

15 of 25, 60% everywhere else

Under · QB · GBGB at MIN, Sun, Sep 13MIN allows #25 to QBs, 0.86x league ( vs a game)

team history

57GB have gone over 7 of 10 indoorshit

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

20 of 40, 50% everywhere else

team history

57MIN have gone over 8 of 25 at homehit

8 of 25, 32% in this spot

14 of 26, 54% everywhere else

MIN

player line

54Jayden Reed under 3.5 catches: 6 of 9 in division games

6 of 9, 67% in this spot

6 of 13, 46% everywhere else

Under · WR · GBGB at MIN, Sun, Sep 13MIN allows #31 to WRs, 0.79x league ( vs a game)

team history

50MIN have covered 14 of 30 indoorshit

14 of 30, 47% in this spot

13 of 17, 76% everywhere else

MIN

team history

50GB have covered 9 of 25 on the roadmissed

9 of 25, 36% in this spot

14 of 25, 56% everywhere else

Dolphins at RaidersSun 4:25 PM ET

his history

77De'Von Achane has 10 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.missed (36)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

10 of 23, 44% everywhere else

RB · MIAMIA at LV, Sun, Sep 13

his history

77De'Von Achane has 10 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ rushing yards.missed (36)

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

10 of 23, 44% everywhere else

RB · MIAMIA at LV, Sun, Sep 13

player line

58De'Von Achane under 28.5 receiving yards: 4 of 5 on the road indoors

4 of 5, 80% in this spot

13 of 28, 46% everywhere else

Under · RB · MIAMIA at LV, Sun, Sep 13LV allows #21 to RBs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

team history

56MIA have gone over 8 of 11 on the road when our model likes themmissed

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

19 of 40, 48% everywhere else

MIA

+ 4 more on this game

player line

54Greg Dulcich under 2.5 catches: 3 of 5 on the road

3 of 5, 60% in this spot

3 of 7, 43% everywhere else

Under · TE · MIAMIA at LV, Sun, Sep 13LV allows #29 to TEs, 0.77x league ( vs a game)

player line

53Malik Washington over 2.5 catches (-150): 9 of 15 on the road

9 of 15, 60% in this spot

6 of 14, 43% everywhere else

Over · WR · MIAMIA at LV, Sun, Sep 13LV allows #4 to WRs, 1.12x league ( vs a game)

player line

52Malik Willis under 38.5 rushing yards

6 of 10, 60% in this spot

6 of 10, 60% everywhere else

Under · QB · MIAMIA at LV, Sun, Sep 13LV allows #24 to QBs, 0.87x league ( vs a game)

team history

50MIA have covered 9 of 25 as an underdogmissed

9 of 25, 36% in this spot

16 of 26, 62% everywhere else

MIA

Commanders at EaglesSun 4:25 PM ET

his history

77Saquon Barkley has 8 of his last 10 games in division games outdoors with a rushing touchdown.missed (0)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

18 of 45, 40% everywhere else

RB · PHIWAS at PHI, Sun, Sep 13

his history

77Dallas Goedert has 7 of his last 10 games outdoors with a receiving touchdown.hit (2)

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

3 of 12, 25% everywhere else

TE · PHIWAS at PHI, Sun, Sep 13

player line

76Dontayvion Wicks over 29.5 receiving yards (-110): 5 of 6 in division games as a favorite

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

6 of 24, 25% everywhere else

Over · WR · PHIWAS at PHI, Sun, Sep 13WAS allows #6 to WRs, 1.17x league ( vs a game)

player line

76Rachaad White over 14.5 receiving yards (-120): 7 of 8 outdoors as an underdog

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

11 of 24, 46% everywhere else

Over · RB · WASWAS at PHI, Sun, Sep 13PHI allows #8 to RBs, 1.15x league ( vs a game)

+ 10 more on this game

his history

72Jalen Hurts has 7 of his last 10 games outdoors as an underdog with 2+ passing touchdowns.hit (3)

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

3 of 18, 17% everywhere else

QB · PHIWAS at PHI, Sun, Sep 13

team history

68WAS have gone over 22 of 32 as an underdoghit

22 of 32, 69% in this spot

9 of 19, 47% everywhere else

WAS

player line

62Dallas Goedert over 35.5 receiving yards (-115): 4 of 6 in division games outdoors

4 of 6, 67% in this spot

7 of 19, 37% everywhere else

Over · TE · PHIWAS at PHI, Sun, Sep 13WAS allows #7 to TEs, 1.14x league ( vs a game)

player line

62Saquon Barkley under 2.5 catches: 18 of 26 outdoors

18 of 26, 69% in this spot

3 of 6, 50% everywhere else

Under · RB · PHIWAS at PHI, Sun, Sep 13WAS allows #28 to RBs, 0.8x league ( vs a game)

his history

61Terry McLaurin has 9 of his last 10 games in division games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.missed (14)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

31 of 47, 66% everywhere else

WR · WASWAS at PHI, Sun, Sep 13

his history

61Terry McLaurin has 9 of his last 10 games in division games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.missed (14)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

31 of 47, 66% everywhere else

WR · WASWAS at PHI, Sun, Sep 13

team history

60WAS have gone over 13 of 18 in a division gamehit

13 of 18, 72% in this spot

18 of 33, 55% everywhere else

WAS

player line

59Saquon Barkley over 77.5 rushing yards (-115): 6 of 8 in division games outdoors

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

13 of 24, 54% everywhere else

Over · RB · PHIWAS at PHI, Sun, Sep 13WAS allows #3 to RBs, 1.22x league ( vs a game)

team history

58PHI have gone over 10 of 18 in a division gamehit

10 of 18, 56% in this spot

13 of 33, 39% everywhere else

PHI

team history

50PHI have covered 8 of 17 in a division gamemissed

8 of 17, 47% in this spot

20 of 32, 62% everywhere else

PHI

Cowboys at GiantsSun 8:20 PM ET

his history

72Javonte Williams has 8 of his last 10 games in prime time with 50+ rushing yards.missed (41)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

14 of 34, 41% everywhere else

RB · DALDAL at NYG, Sun, Sep 13

his history

69Dak Prescott has 9 of his last 10 games in prime time as an underdog with 250+ passing yards.missed (175)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

23 of 39, 59% everywhere else

QB · DALDAL at NYG, Sun, Sep 13

his history

69Dak Prescott has 9 of his last 10 games in prime time as a favorite with 250+ passing yards.missed (175)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

23 of 39, 59% everywhere else

QB · DALDAL at NYG, Sun, Sep 13

team history

66DAL have covered 7 of 10 in a division game when our model fades themmissed

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

17 of 41, 42% everywhere else

DAL

+ 8 more on this game

team history

64DAL have covered 11 of 18 in a division gamemissed

11 of 18, 61% in this spot

13 of 33, 39% everywhere else

DAL

player line

61Jaxson Dart over 31.5 rushing yards (-115): 5 of 7 at home

5 of 7, 71% in this spot

3 of 7, 43% everywhere else

Over · QB · NYGDAL at NYG, Sun, Sep 13DAL allows #3 to QBs, 1.3x league ( vs a game)

player line

58Jake Ferguson under 30.5 receiving yards: 4 of 5 in division games outdoors

4 of 5, 80% in this spot

12 of 26, 46% everywhere else

Under · TE · DALDAL at NYG, Sun, Sep 13NYG allows #23 to TEs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

team history

57DAL have covered 7 of 21 with a total of 48 or highermissed

7 of 21, 33% in this spot

17 of 30, 57% everywhere else

DAL

player line

54Malik Nabers over 60.5 receiving yards (-115): 6 of 10 at home

6 of 10, 60% in this spot

8 of 9, 89% everywhere else

Over · WR · NYGDAL at NYG, Sun, Sep 13DAL allows #1 to WRs, 1.23x league ( vs a game)

his history

54George Pickens has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.missed (28)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

22 of 35, 63% everywhere else

WR · DALDAL at NYG, Sun, Sep 13

his history

54George Pickens has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.missed (28)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

22 of 35, 63% everywhere else

WR · DALDAL at NYG, Sun, Sep 13

team history

52NYG have gone over 10 of 18 in a division gamehit

10 of 18, 56% in this spot

13 of 33, 39% everywhere else

NYG

Monday 1 game · 14 fire

Broncos at ChiefsMon 8:15 PM ET

player line

74Noah Gray over 9.5 receiving yards (-120): 18 of 23 as a favorite

18 of 23, 78% in this spot

2 of 6, 33% everywhere else

Over · TE · KCDEN at KC, Mon, Sep 14DEN allows #10 to TEs, 1.11x league ( vs a game)

player line

74Travis Kelce over 42.5 receiving yards (-115): 9 of 10 in division games as a favorite

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

12 of 23, 52% everywhere else

Over · TE · KCDEN at KC, Mon, Sep 14DEN allows #10 to TEs, 1.11x league ( vs a game)

player line

73RJ Harvey under 18.5 rushing yards: 5 of 8 on the road

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

2 of 9, 22% everywhere else

Under · RB · DENDEN at KC, Mon, Sep 14KC allows #25 to RBs, 0.88x league ( vs a game)

his history

72J.K. Dobbins has 8 of his last 10 games outdoors with 75+ rushing yards.missed (36)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

3 of 11, 27% everywhere else

RB · DENDEN at KC, Mon, Sep 14

+ 10 more on this game

player line

62Adam Trautman under 7.5 receiving yards: 5 of 8 in prime time

5 of 8, 62% in this spot

5 of 16, 31% everywhere else

Under · TE · DENDEN at KC, Mon, Sep 14KC allows #22 to TEs, 0.89x league ( vs a game)

his history

62Courtland Sutton has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.missed (11)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

22 of 34, 65% everywhere else

WR · DENDEN at KC, Mon, Sep 14

his history

62Courtland Sutton has 9 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.missed (11)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

22 of 34, 65% everywhere else

WR · DENDEN at KC, Mon, Sep 14

team history

57DEN have gone over 6 of 18 in a division gamemissed

6 of 18, 33% in this spot

20 of 33, 61% everywhere else

DEN

team history

57KC have gone over 6 of 26 at homemissed

6 of 26, 23% in this spot

10 of 25, 40% everywhere else

team history

57KC have gone over 3 of 18 in a division gamemissed

3 of 18, 17% in this spot

13 of 33, 39% everywhere else

his history

54Kenneth Walker III has 5 of his last 6 games in prime time as an underdog with 50+ rushing yards.hit (173)

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

30 of 52, 58% everywhere else

RB · KCDEN at KC, Mon, Sep 14

his history

54Kenneth Walker III has 5 of his last 6 games in prime time as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.hit (173)

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

30 of 52, 58% everywhere else

RB · KCDEN at KC, Mon, Sep 14

his history

50Rashee Rice has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ receiving yards.missed (19)

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

7 of 11, 64% everywhere else

WR · KCDEN at KC, Mon, Sep 14

team history

50DEN have covered 4 of 13 in prime timemissed

4 of 13, 31% in this spot

21 of 37, 57% everywhere else

DEN

Wednesday 1 game · 4 fire

Patriots at SeahawksWed 8:20 PM ET

his history

72Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 75+ receiving yards.hit (122)

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

11 of 26, 42% everywhere else

WR · SEANE at SEA, Wed, Sep 9

team history

60NE have gone over 22 of 35 as an underdogmissed

22 of 35, 63% in this spot

7 of 16, 44% everywhere else

team history

56NE have covered 14 of 24 on the roadpush

14 of 24, 58% in this spot

10 of 25, 40% everywhere else

team history

50SEA have covered 9 of 24 at homepush

9 of 24, 38% in this spot

17 of 25, 68% everywhere else

SEA

The 2026 record Week 2 →

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NFL Week 1 Game Lines and Results, 2026

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Model trends

Thursday 1 game · 8 fire

Sunday early 8 games · 72 fire

Sunday late 5 games · 60 fire

Monday 1 game · 14 fire

Wednesday 1 game · 4 fire

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