2026 Fantasy Football QB Rankings (Half-PPR)

Every skill player ranked by our projection model, Half-PPR scoring. Rankings, ADP and last-year stats are free. Our 2026 projections - points, target share, run share and volume - are a Fantasy Pass feature. Click any column header to sort.
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1Josh AllenQBBUF25.8Allen finished QB1 in 2025 at 391 points and projects nearly identical in 2026, but the market prices him 11 picks below where the model lands him.
2Drake MayeQBNE57.2Tier-1 passing offense, elite weapons added, and a 353-point projection that the market is pricing nearly two rounds too late.
3Brock PurdyQBSF96.6Purdy sits roughly four rounds ahead of his ADP as a tier-1 QB situation with a 260-floor and 390-ceiling playing behind the league's most complete supporting cast.
4Jalen HurtsQBPHI70.2Hurts jumps from 326 to a projected 343 fantasy points as a tier-4 pass offense, yet ADP prices him nearly two rounds too late.
5Jaxson DartQBNYG92.6Dart stepped into a tier-6 offense in 2025 and still posted 295 fantasy points; a tier-4 upgrade and 338 pass attempts project him as a QB3 priced 60 picks deep.
6Trevor LawrenceQBJAX80.8Lawrence's 342-point 2025 finish projects nearly flat in 2026, but his ADP sits roughly two rounds past where the model values him as a QB1.
7Lamar JacksonQBBAL46.0Lamar's QB situation tier dropped from tier-1 to tier-2 and the market still prices him 25 picks ahead of our projection.
8Patrick MahomesQBKC94.4Mahomes projects as a QB9 with roughly 25 points of value over his ADP, though a tier-4 pass offense keeps the ceiling tighter than his name implies.
9Dak PrescottQBDAL75.6A tier-1 passing offense with CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens in the target tree keeps Prescott a viable QB2 near his ADP despite modest ceiling.
10Matthew StaffordQBLAR92.6Tier-1 offense, 46 pass TDs last year. The projection trims that monster touchdown rate hard; still good for 300+ points anchored by elite Nacua/Adams pass-game.
11Jared GoffQBDET103.2Goff has led a tier-1 passing offense three straight years and projects 576 attempts in 2026, yet the market prices him roughly two rounds too high for a non-rushing QB13.
12Joe BurrowQBCIN54.2Burrow's pass offense upgraded from tier-3 to tier-2, but the market has him priced roughly 40 picks ahead of where we land.
13Bo NixQBDEN106.2Bo Nix is a high-volume QB2 in a tier-4 pass offense whose legs and 596 projected attempts keep him near streaming value at a favorable ADP.
14Justin HerbertQBLAC79.8Herbert projects for 283.5 fantasy points in 2026, a step back from his 306.85 actual finish, and the market is already pricing him roughly a quarter-round ahead of where we have him.
15Jayden DanielsQBWAS61.4Daniels elevated from a tier-7 QB situation to a tier-3 one in a single offseason, and his 281-point 2025 floor already projects to climb to 310 in 2026.
16Kyler MurrayQBMIN114.0Minnesota's pass offense dropped from tier-2 to tier-7, and Murray is essentially a low-volume game-manager projected at just 161 pass attempts.
17Caleb WilliamsQBCHI68.8Williams scored 317 points in year two but the model sees a step back in 2026, and the market is pricing him 12 picks ahead of where we land.
18Daniel JonesQBIND148.2Jones finished as a QB1 in 2025 but projects to slide back in 2026, and a tier-4 pass offense with limited weapons makes the regression case easy to build.
19Jordan LoveQBGB117.6Love projects nearly identical to his 2025 actual at QB20, but a slipping QB situation tier and a 12.5% spike rate make him a streaming option, not a roster anchor.
20Baker MayfieldQBTB118.2Mayfield's passing offense upgraded from tier-5 to tier-4, but a 33% spike rate and negative ADP value make him a fade at current price.
21Sam DarnoldQBSEA138.4Darnold projects as a QB18 in a tier-3 passing offense, but his ADP sits nearly 30 picks later than his projected value, making him a useful late-round streamer target.
22C.J. StroudQBHOU140.4Stroud's 2026 projection barely budges from his 253-point 2025 finish, and a tier-5 QB situation with just 420 projected attempts makes the ceiling hard to reach.
23Jacoby BrissettQBARI175.0Brissett finished QB19 in 2025 and now projects as a bottom-tier QB situation in Arizona, making him a late-round dart with a 37-pick ADP cushion.
24Aaron RodgersQBPIT169.8Tier-5 pass-O. Last year's 3,144 yards / 24 TDs at age-25 (proxy). Projection sees 243-point output — back end of QB1 range with Metcalf/Pickens-replacement.
25Shedeur SandersQBCLE229.8NA
26Tyler ShoughQBNO119.0The market prices Shough as a QB1 streamer, but a tier-6 pass offense and 324 projected attempts make him a hard fade at ADP 117.
27Bryce YoungQBCAR157.0NA
28Cam WardQBTEN143.8NA
29Fernando MendozaQBLV174.2NA
30Michael Penix Jr.QBATL227.6NA
31Geno SmithQBNYJ181.8NA
32Quinn EwersQBMIA343.0NA
33Kirk CousinsQBLV235.4NA
34Ty SimpsonQBLAR340.0NA
35Justin FieldsQBKC281.8Fields enters 2026 as a near-200-pick ADP bargain with legitimate QB1 weeks in a KC offense finally climbing out of the tier-8 basement.
36Carson BeckQBARI280.8NA
37Drew AllarQBPIT387.0NA
38Joe FlaccoQBCIN361.5NA
39Mac JonesQBSF333.5NA
40Tua TagovailoaQBMIA198.2NA
41Tyrod TaylorQBGB332.5NA
42J.J. McCarthyQBMIN306.0NA
43Marcus MariotaQBWAS374.5NA
44Jake BrowningQBTB294.0NA
45Tyler HuntleyQBBAL336.0NA
46Spencer RattlerQBNO342.0NA
47Cade KlubnikQBNYJ304.0NA
48Carson WentzQBMINNA
49Trey LanceQBLAC287.0NA
50Davis MillsQBHOU360.5NA
51Riley LeonardQBIND263.0NA
52Mason RudolphQBPITNA
53Dillon GabrielQBCLENA
54Josh JohnsonQBCINNA
55Jameis WinstonQBNYG324.0NA
56Chris OladokunQBKCNA
57Brady CookQBNYJNA
58Max BrosmerQBMINNA
59Cole PaytonQBPHINA
60Taylen GreenQBCLE333.0NA
61Athan KaliakmanisQBWASNA
62Behren MortonQBNENA
63Garrett NussmeierQBKCNA
64Kenny PickettQBCAR265.0NA