Last game Week 5 report card: every player graded against the league at his position that week.
B- Team grade, 10th of 30 teams this week Defense grades land Wednesday. No line grades yet.
This week Week 6: the game, one key, one trend, and how this team plays.
Texans at Jaguars
The line
Jaguars -2.5 · O/U 42.5
The script
Close on paper, so neither side is scripted to chase: Lawrence and Stroud both throw, and the backs (Tuten, Marks) carry it on whichever side gets ahead.
Full write-up → Texans have to
Find Boutte against zone In 2025: 0.53 EPA a target vs zone on 46 targets, 9th of 101 among receivers with 50+ targets. Jaguars played zone 76.2% in 2025, 7th.
Jaguars have to
Run the offense Jaguars are 6th in EPA a play. Texans are 18th-worst in EPA allowed. Nothing fancy needed.
Trend
The Jaguars have covered 14 of 18 in a division game 14 of 18, 78%
20 of 38, 53% the rest of the time
2023-2026, new coach in 2025 What the model would bet 10 picks on the official card: the total, a side, a player line and a teaser leg. See the card −$64.0M against an average roster, position by position · 31st of 32
Pay vs worth
PAID, $M a year WORTH worth more than they pay Jr. Washington Harrison Armstead Lawrence Player Movement Who came, who went, and where the next move is.
Room grades · the starters, ranked
LB A- 5th
CB B+ 9th
EDGE B- 16th
IOL B- 18th
OT C+ 19th
TE C+ 19th
QB C+ 20th
WR C+ 20th
S C 26th
RB C- 28th
IDL F 32nd
The top need is S on succession: the IDL room ranks 32nd.
Free agency · graded 22 moves
In $12.4M
Ruke Orhorhoro IDL · from ATL
$2.5M Jahlani Tavai LB · from NE
$1.4M Geron Christian LT · from DEN
$1.3M Corey Ballentine CB · from DAL
$1.3M 7 more
Out $49.1M
Devin Lloyd LB · to CAR
$15.0M Travis Etienne RB · to NO
$13.0M Greg Newsome II CB · to NYG
$8.0M Andrew Wingard S · to ARI
$3.0M 7 more
Net −$36.7M a year
FA fits · unsigned 2026 free agents at positions of need
S Donovan Wilson last with DAL · age 31 · one of your biggest holes
$7.0M/yr IDL Justin Jones last with ARI · age 30 · one of your biggest holes
$10.1M/yr CB Trevon Diggs last with GB · age 28 · one of your biggest holes
$19.4M/yr The trade block and the trade targets are priced live in the app.
Draft Build your board and see who fits this roster.
2027 pick No. 28 from 32 to 22
No. 1 overall 0.0% of the seasons
Playoffs 96.2% 3000 seasons, 80 games in
Prospects at your needs · 2027 class
S
Tae Johnson S · Notre Dame Ours 20 · Consensus 25 ↑
84.5model KJ Bolden S · Georgia Ours 21 · Consensus 23 ↑
72.8model Kingston Lopa S · California Ours 51 · Consensus 56 ↑
68.5model All S prospects → IDL
Xavier Gilliam IDL · Tennessee Ours 34 · Consensus 35 ↑
Marquise Lightfoot IDL · Miami Ours 110 · Consensus 100 ↓
80.2model All IDL prospects → CB
Leonard Moore CB · Notre Dame Ours 3 · Consensus 3
99.0model Ashton Hampton CB · Clemson Ours 13 · Consensus 15 ↑
86.7model Kelley Jones CB · Mississippi State Ours 16 · Consensus 21 ↑
93.0model All CB prospects → Movers on our board · since Oct 5
Risers
Zereoue Williams OT · Utah
↑ 426 No. 462 → 36 Jay'Vion Cole CBN · Arizona
↑ 104 No. 183 → 79 Maraad Watson DL1T · Texas
↑ 75 No. 203 → 128 Demond Williams Jr QB · Washington
↑ 70 No. 212 → 142 Fallers
Kemari Copeland DL5T · Virginia Tech
↓ 156 No. 124 → 280 CJ Bailey QB · NC State
↓ 133 No. 112 → 245 Cole Sullivan LB · Oklahoma
↓ 120 No. 140 → 260 Drew Azzopardi OT · Washington
↓ 118 No. 119 → 237 The 2026 class · 10 picks
Nate Boerkircher TE · TA&M Pick 56 Albert Regis DT · TA&M Pick 81 · via trade Emmanuel Pregnon OG · ORE Pick 88 Jalen Huskey CB · MD Pick 100 · via trade Wesley Williams EDGE · DUKE Pick 119 · via trade Tanner Koziol TE · HOU Pick 164 Josh Cameron WR · BAY Pick 191 · via trade CJ Williams WR · STAN Pick 203 · via trade Zach Durfee EDGE · WASH Pick 233 · via trade Parker Hughes LB · MTSU Pick 240 Go deeper Everything in the NFL hub, one tap from here.